Worcester Wolves vs Plymouth Raiders Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 77-70

24-18 13-16 16-15 24-21

Position#4

Record17-10

FormLLWWL

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game81.0

Worcester Wolves 🏆

Plymouth Raiders

Position#9

Record11-15

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game85.4

SLBRound 27

Other2015-16

Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Plymouth Raiders winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

#12

96-88 OT

A24/01

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

85-66

+19

H31/01

SLB Trophy

Newcastle Eagles

66-73

-7

A05/02

SLB Trophy

Manchester Giants

#11

79-74

A07/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

69-81

-12

H12/02

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

88-94

-6

H14/02

SLB Trophy

London Lions

72-80

-8

A16/02

SLB

Manchester Giants

#11

83-70

+13

H19/02

SLB

Leeds Force

92-91 OT

A04/03

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

75-81

-6

A11/03

SLB

28-15

16-22

20-25

17-19

28-21

26-17

19-15

12-13

13-27

23-18

20-11

10-17

24-19

18-20

13-20

24-15

20-22

27-20

12-19

10-20

18-28

29-29

18-21

23-16

21-22

20-21

20-20

11-17

15-13

23-15

22-19

23-23

21-16

18-23

22-25

22-19

16-23

26-15

10-23

23-20

160.3Avg total

80.5Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	83.0	81.0	164.0	+2.0	63%
Season at home (13)	83.3	79.8	163.1	+3.5	69%
Season away (14)	82.7	82.2	164.9	+0.5	57%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	79.8	160.3	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	83.2	165.2	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	77.2	82.9	160.1	-5.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	82.2	86.2	168.4	-4.0	33%
vs Weaker (10)	88.7	75.4	164.1	+13.3	100%

This opponent (Plymouth Raiders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Plymouth Raiders United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leicester Riders

80-90

-10

H24/01

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

68-74

-6

A29/01

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

73-99

-26

H31/01

SLB Trophy

Leeds Force

75-62

+13

H07/02

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

90-104

104

-14

A12/02

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

#12

73-64

A14/02

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

100-89

100

+11

H21/02

SLB

Manchester Giants

#11

83-91

-8

A28/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

82-77

H04/03

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

73-69

H13/03

SLB

18-24

26-14

15-27

21-25

26-16

17-26

9-19

16-13

21-28

20-27

14-19

18-25

13-12

17-15

27-17

18-18

24-22

21-27

21-22

24-33

17-18

14-20

26-12

16-14

29-14

25-21

22-32

24-22

23-30

23-11

14-28

23-22

19-18

19-20

25-26

19-13

21-15

19-16

18-19

15-19

161.6Avg total

79.7Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	83.0	85.4	168.3	-2.4	42%
Season at home (13)	81.2	82.6	163.8	-1.5	54%
Season away (13)	84.8	88.2	172.9	-3.4	31%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	81.9	161.6	-2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	78.0	160.2	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	80.0	86.5	166.5	-6.5	31%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	88.0	90.0	178.0	-2.0	60%
vs Weaker (10)	83.5	84.4	167.9	-0.9	40%

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Worcester WolvesPlymouth Raiders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.8	41.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.4	24.4	42.9	-6.0	11%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.4	17.1	39.5	+5.3	90%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	20.9	42.4	+0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.1	42.2	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.7	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	25.6	21.8	47.4	+3.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.8	20.6	42.3	+1.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.7	16.8	39.5	+5.9	70%	-

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

#12

44-37

A24/01

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

54-38

+16

H31/01

SLB Trophy

Newcastle Eagles

36-45

-9

A05/02

SLB Trophy

Manchester Giants

#11

42-39

A07/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

47-42

H12/02

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

47-57

-10

H14/02

SLB Trophy

London Lions

41-43

-2

A16/02

SLB

Manchester Giants

#11

38-28

+10

H19/02

SLB

Leeds Force

39-39

A04/03

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

42-38

A11/03

SLB

83.6Avg total

43.0Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	41.2	82.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.2	40.7	83.9	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	41.6	81.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	40.6	83.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.0	82.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.7	43.2	84.9	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.2	45.8	86.0	-5.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.0	34.5	77.5	+8.5	80%	-

This opponent (Plymouth Raiders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Plymouth RaidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leicester Riders

44-38

H24/01

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

43-42

A29/01

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

41-55

-14

H31/01

SLB Trophy

Leeds Force

30-27

H07/02

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

45-49

-4

A12/02

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

#12

31-38

-7

A14/02

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

54-35

+19

H21/02

SLB

Manchester Giants

#11

46-41

A28/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

38-38

H04/03

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

40-31

H13/03

SLB

80.6Avg total

41.2Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.9	40.8	83.7	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	40.9	82.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	40.6	84.7	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	36.6	78.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	41.7	43.8	85.5	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	48.0	42.0	90.0	+6.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.3	37.2	78.5	+4.1	90%	-

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.1	38.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.1	39.6	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.9	41.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.8	21.8	40.7	-3.0	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.9	35.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	22.4	41.7	-3.1	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	13%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	23.3	42.9	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.2	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.2	26.2	46.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	24.1	43.7	-4.5	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	39.9	80.1	+0.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	38.6	78.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	37.7	72.8	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.6	79.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.6	39.7	75.2	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.0	40.4	82.4	+1.6	78%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.3	39.4	82.7	+3.9	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.5	44.1	83.6	-4.6	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	43.9	83.0	-4.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	44.2	84.2	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	42.5	81.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.4	81.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.7	41.9	78.6	-5.2	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	40.0	48.0	88.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.6	46.5	88.1	-4.9	30%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Worcester Wolves wins

Plymouth Raiders wins

Date	Game	Score
22/11/15	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	91-101
14/11/15	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	80-91
06/03/15	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	86-85
04/01/15	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	90-95
07/12/14	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	88-95
21/03/14	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	96-86
08/02/14	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	63-93
01/11/13	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	71-74
06/04/13	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	69-106
29/03/13	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	89-69

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/16	A	Newcastle Eagles	75-81
04/03/16	A	Leeds Force	92-91 OT
19/02/16	H	Manchester Giants	83-70
16/02/16	A	London Lions	72-80
14/02/16	H	Newcastle Eagles	88-94
12/02/16	H	Sheffield Sharks	69-81
07/02/16	A	Manchester Giants	79-74
05/02/16	A	Newcastle Eagles	66-73
31/01/16	H	Glasgow Rocks	85-66
24/01/16	A	Surrey Scorchers	96-88 OT

Plymouth Raiderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/16	H	Glasgow Rocks	73-69
04/03/16	H	Sheffield Sharks	82-77
28/02/16	A	Manchester Giants	83-91
21/02/16	H	Cheshire Phoenix	100-89
14/02/16	A	Surrey Scorchers	73-64
12/02/16	A	Newcastle Eagles	90-104
07/02/16	H	Leeds Force	75-62
31/01/16	H	Sheffield Sharks	73-99
29/01/16	A	Sheffield Sharks	68-74
24/01/16	H	Leicester Riders	80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	63%
Home	WWWLW	69%
Away	WWLWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	63%	69%	57%
Points / game	83.0	83.3	82.7
Allowed / game	81.0	79.8	82.2
Point differential	+2.0	+3.5	+0.5
Avg total	164.0	163.1	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	46%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

Plymouth Raiders

SLB 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	42%
Home	LWWWW	54%
Away	LLLWL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	42%	54%	31%
Points / game	83.0	81.2	84.8
Allowed / game	85.4	82.6	88.2
Point differential	-2.4	-1.5	-3.4
Avg total	168.3	163.8	172.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	15%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	80% (5)	0% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Newcastle Eagles	26	24	2	92%	92.6	77.5	+15.2
2	Leicester Riders	21	19	2	90%	81.8	67.5	+14.3
3	Worcester Wolves	27	17	10	63%	83.0	81.0	+2.0
4	Sheffield Sharks	25	15	10	60%	83.0	75.2	+7.8
5	Glasgow Rocks	26	14	12	54%	78.6	77.7	+1.0
6	London Lions	24	11	13	46%	81.0	77.0	+4.0
7	Cheshire Phoenix	26	11	15	42%	83.5	85.7	-2.1
8	Plymouth Raiders	26	11	15	42%	83.0	85.4	-2.4
9	Leeds Force	26	10	16	38%	71.2	80.9	-9.7
10	Bristol Flyers	24	7	17	29%	70.8	77.0	-6.2
11	Manchester Giants	28	7	21	25%	77.9	87.8	-10.0
12	Surrey Scorchers	25	6	19	24%	76.5	87.2	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Worcester Wolves	24	13	16	24	77
Plymouth Raiders	18	16	15	21	70

← all games of the day

Worcester Wolves vs Plymouth Raiders Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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