Worcester Wolves vs Plymouth Raiders Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 84-87

32-18 20-34 21-14 11-21

Position#4

Record5-9

FormLLWWL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game83.4

Worcester Wolves

Plymouth Raiders 🏆

Position#9

Record8-6

FormLWWLW

Points / game93.1

Allowed / game83.5

SLB

Other2016-17

Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Plymouth Raiders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

79-102

102

-23

A23/10

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

67-87

-20

H28/10

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

91-84

A30/10

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

75-94

-19

H06/11

SLB Cup

Glasgow Rocks

77-82

-5

A13/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

88-89

-1

H18/11

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

81-94

-13

A20/11

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

91-77

+14

A25/11

SLB

Bristol Flyers

88-56

+32

H02/12

SLB

Bristol Flyers

74-81

-7

H16/12

SLB

32-30

17-25

14-25

16-22

12-21

18-14

12-29

25-23

31-16

25-21

22-27

13-20

–

18-12

23-27

20-24

16-19

22-24

19-17

19-23

28-25

17-20

28-24

16-22

20-28

27-19

24-20

20-19

30-12

24-14

19-16

15-14

17-17

18-18

31-28

8-18

165.7Avg total

81.1Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	80.4	83.4	163.8	-3.1	36%
Season at home (8)	80.0	81.5	161.5	-1.5	38%
Season away (6)	80.8	86.0	166.8	-5.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	84.6	165.7	-3.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	79.4	163.8	+5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	70.5	78.5	149.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (12)	76.4	86.5	162.9	-10.1	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	85.1	81.7	166.8	+3.4	69%

This opponent (Plymouth Raiders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Plymouth Raiders United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Newcastle Eagles

93-103

103

-10

A21/10

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

84-92

-8

H23/10

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

93-84

A30/10

SLB

London Lions

64-84

-20

H06/11

SLB

Worcester Wolves

94-81

+13

H20/11

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

78-87

-9

A25/11

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

112-96

112

+16

H27/11

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

104-87

104

+17

A11/12

SLB

Leicester Riders

93-96 OT

-3

H18/12

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

113-82

113

+31

H28/12

SLB

24-27

26-30

26-21

17-25

35-36

11-29

24-17

14-10

18-12

30-26

19-24

26-22

20-18

18-20

15-18

11-28

20-17

24-28

22-16

28-20

21-25

16-26

26-21

15-15

26-29

31-18

29-29

26-20

25-14

25-19

27-28

27-26

17-19

25-19

28-20

7-19

30-20

18-24

29-15

36-23

182.0Avg total

92.8Scored

89.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	93.1	83.5	176.6	+9.6	57%
Season at home (8)	95.1	82.1	177.2	+13.0	62%
Season away (6)	90.5	85.3	175.8	+5.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	92.8	89.2	182.0	+3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	100.0	89.6	189.6	+10.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	86.4	88.5	174.8	-2.1	45%
vs Similar (9)	81.6	83.7	165.2	-2.1	33%
vs Weaker (9)	90.0	73.6	163.6	+16.4	78%

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Worcester WolvesPlymouth Raiders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+3.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	23.8	40.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.2	21.5	43.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.5	19.1	41.6	+3.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	18.8	42.3	+4.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.7	45.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.6	16.7	40.2	+6.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.6	41.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	17.5	41.2	+6.2	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.6	23.1	41.7	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.7	20.2	40.8	+0.5	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	21.8	43.4	-0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.9	46.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.5	22.5	44.1	-1.0	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.6	17.6	39.1	+4.0	67%	-

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

49-55

-6

A23/10

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

30-35

-5

H28/10

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

56-37

+19

A30/10

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

41-39

A13/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

41-41

H18/11

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

45-44

A20/11

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

51-39

+12

A25/11

SLB

Bristol Flyers

54-26

+28

H02/12

SLB

Bristol Flyers

35-35

H16/12

SLB

83.7Avg total

44.7Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.9	41.7	83.6	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	40.9	81.5	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	42.6	85.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.7	39.0	83.7	+5.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	37.0	82.2	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.5	41.2	81.8	-0.8	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.8	44.6	85.4	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.2	39.2	82.5	+4.0	46%	-

This opponent (Plymouth Raiders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Plymouth RaidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Newcastle Eagles

50-57

-7

A21/10

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

46-65

-19

H23/10

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

48-38

+10

A30/10

SLB

London Lions

38-38

H06/11

SLB

Worcester Wolves

44-45

-1

H20/11

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

37-51

-14

A25/11

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

57-47

+10

H27/11

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

50-33

+17

A11/12

SLB

Leicester Riders

42-38

H18/12

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

48-44

H28/12

SLB

91.6Avg total

46.0Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	41.0	84.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.7	38.8	83.5	+5.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.0	43.8	84.8	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	45.6	91.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	42.6	89.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	42.0	45.2	87.2	-3.2	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.8	40.6	83.3	+2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.1	34.2	79.3	+10.9	89%	-

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	23.7	42.9	-4.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	17.2	32.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	46%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.5	43.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	20.9	45.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	22.6	50.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	23.4	22.2	45.5	+1.2	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	21.6	41.4	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.1	39.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	20.9	37.0	-4.7	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.8	20.0	34.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.3	20.8	37.2	-4.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.2	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.2	55%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.9	21.6	40.4	-2.7	22%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	18.6	40.4	+3.3	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.0	41.0	78.0	-4.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	40.2	79.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.4	41.9	76.3	-7.4	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.1	44.6	81.7	-7.4	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.4	81.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.0	37.2	67.2	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.6	41.9	77.5	-6.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.4	41.3	81.7	-0.9	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.5	83.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.0	40.1	82.1	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.3	43.2	85.5	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	41.7	86.9	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	43.2	93.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	42.9	41.5	84.5	+1.4	55%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.8	43.1	81.9	-4.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (9)	44.9	39.3	84.2	+5.6	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Worcester Wolves wins

Plymouth Raiders wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/16	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	94-81
18/03/16	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	77-70
22/11/15	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	91-101
14/11/15	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	80-91
06/03/15	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	86-85
04/01/15	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	90-95
07/12/14	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	88-95
21/03/14	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	96-86
08/02/14	Plymouth Raiders v Worcester Wolves	63-93
01/11/13	Worcester Wolves v Plymouth Raiders	71-74

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/16	H	Bristol Flyers	74-81
02/12/16	H	Bristol Flyers	88-56
25/11/16	A	Leeds Force	91-77
20/11/16	A	Plymouth Raiders	81-94
18/11/16	H	Manchester Giants	88-89
13/11/16	A	Glasgow Rocks	77-82
06/11/16	H	Surrey Scorchers	75-94
30/10/16	A	Manchester Giants	91-84
28/10/16	H	Newcastle Eagles	67-87
23/10/16	A	Cheshire Phoenix	79-102

Plymouth Raiderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/16	H	Manchester Giants	113-82
18/12/16	H	Leicester Riders	93-96 OT
11/12/16	A	Leeds Force	104-87
27/11/16	H	Newcastle Eagles	112-96
25/11/16	A	Sheffield Sharks	78-87
20/11/16	H	Worcester Wolves	94-81
06/11/16	H	London Lions	64-84
30/10/16	A	Cheshire Phoenix	93-84
23/10/16	H	Newcastle Eagles	84-92
21/10/16	A	Newcastle Eagles	93-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	36%
Home	WLLWL	38%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	36%	38%	33%
Points / game	80.4	80.0	80.8
Allowed / game	83.4	81.5	86.0
Point differential	-3.1	-1.5	-5.2
Avg total	163.8	161.5	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	12%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

Plymouth Raiders

SLB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	57%
Home	LWWLW	62%
Away	WLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	57%	62%	50%
Points / game	93.1	95.1	90.5
Allowed / game	83.5	82.1	85.3
Point differential	+9.6	+13.0	+5.2
Avg total	176.6	177.2	175.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	62%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Newcastle Eagles	16	14	2	88%	92.0	77.4	+14.6
2	Leicester Riders	14	12	2	86%	88.4	73.1	+15.2
3	Glasgow Rocks	12	10	2	83%	83.4	70.7	+12.8
4	London Lions	11	8	3	73%	87.5	76.9	+10.6
5	Sheffield Sharks	15	9	6	60%	75.3	77.0	-1.7
6	Plymouth Raiders	14	8	6	57%	93.1	83.5	+9.6
7	Worcester Wolves	14	5	9	36%	80.4	83.4	-3.1
8	Surrey Scorchers	16	5	11	31%	74.1	82.2	-8.1
9	Bristol Flyers	15	4	11	27%	71.2	81.4	-10.2
10	Cheshire Phoenix	13	3	10	23%	83.9	87.5	-3.6
11	Leeds Force	13	3	10	23%	71.5	86.2	-14.8
12	Manchester Giants	15	3	12	20%	75.4	92.8	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Worcester Wolves	32	20	21	11	84
Plymouth Raiders	18	34	14	21	87

← all games of the day

Worcester Wolves vs Plymouth Raiders Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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