Xac Broncos vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026

Tip-off: 11:10

Final 93-97

20-22 21-22 24-22 28-31

Position#6

Record3-2

FormWWWLL

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game85.8

Xac Broncos

Alvark 🏆

Position#4

Record4-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game81.2

EASL· M Bank Arena

Other2026

Meetings · Xac Broncos v Alvark

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xac Broncos winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Xac BroncosLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBroncos

Date

Competition

Alvark

84-69

+15

87avg 88

A08/10

EASL

New Taipei Kings

90-76

+14

89avg 88

H01/11

EASL

LG Sakers

#11

105-77

105

+28

101avg 88

H05/11

EASL

New Taipei Kings

94-109

109

-15

85avg 88

A06/12

EASL

LG Sakers

#11

83-98

-15

77avg 88

A09/12

EASL

28-25

18-24

16-10

22-10

35-18

17-20

12-14

26-24

30-25

23-17

26-22

26-13

29-34

16-27

16-23

33-25

14-22

27-27

14-21

28-28

177.0Avg total

91.2Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	91.2	85.8	177.0	+5.4	60%
Season at home (2)	97.5	76.5	174.0	+21.0	100%
Season away (3)	87.0	92.0	179.0	-5.0	33%
Last 10 (5)	91.2	85.8	177.0	+5.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.2	85.8	177.0	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	84.0	69.0	153.0	+15.0	100%
vs Weaker (4)	93.0	90.0	183.0	+3.0	50%

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlvarkLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlvark

Date

Competition

Hiroshima D.

#13

95-72

+23

88avg 74

H04/01

B League

LG Sakers

#11

88-81

80avg 74

A21/01

EASL

Osaka

#17

91-76

+15

87avg 74

A24/01

B League

Osaka

#17

105-88

105

+17

109avg 74

A25/01

B League

Akita

#26

98-74

+24

102avg 74

A28/01

B League

Toyama

#24

75-66

69avg 74

H31/01

B League

Toyama

#24

70-69

56avg 74

H01/02

B League

New Taipei Kings

92-79

+13

97avg 74

H04/02

EASL

Chiba

75-73

72avg 74

A07/02

B League

Chiba

64-72

-8

58avg 74

A08/02

B League

23-21

26-19

25-15

21-17

24-30

22-13

23-23

19-15

26-28

16-15

22-17

27-16

30-21

29-24

20-23

26-20

32-18

23-14

22-22

21-20

26-13

8-23

23-17

18-13

21-24

18-24

23-8

8-13

20-13

22-24

30-20

20-22

23-20

21-21

21-16

10-16

10-23

16-18

27-14

11-17

160.3Avg total

85.3Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	89.6	81.2	170.8	+8.4	80%
Season at home (3)	84.3	78.7	163.0	+5.7	67%
Season away (2)	97.5	85.0	182.5	+12.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	75.0	160.3	+10.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	71.8	147.0	+3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	62.0	76.5	138.5	-14.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	77.9	76.5	154.4	+1.4	64%
vs Weaker (14)	87.1	76.6	163.7	+10.4	93%

This opponent (Xac Broncos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Xac BroncosAlvark

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	27.2	24.8	52.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	32.5	21.5	54.0	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (3)	23.7	27.0	50.7	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (5)	27.2	24.8	52.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	24.8	52.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	28.0	25.0	53.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.0	24.8	51.8	+2.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	20.9	43.9	+2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.1	44.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.0	20.5	33.5	-7.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	19.4	38.4	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	20.3	26.0	46.3	-5.7	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	22.8	43.5	-2.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.5	40.3	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	43%	-

Xac BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

46-49

-3

A08/10

EASL

New Taipei Kings

52-38

+14

H01/11

EASL

LG Sakers

#11

53-42

+11

H05/11

EASL

New Taipei Kings

45-61

-16

A06/12

EASL

LG Sakers

#11

41-49

-8

A09/12

EASL

95.2Avg total

47.4Scored

47.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	47.4	47.8	95.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	52.5	40.0	92.5	+12.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (3)	44.0	53.0	97.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	47.4	47.8	95.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	47.8	95.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	46.0	49.0	95.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.8	47.5	95.2	+0.2	50%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hiroshima D.

#13

49-40

H04/01

B League

LG Sakers

#11

46-43

A21/01

EASL

Osaka

#17

42-43

-1

A24/01

B League

Osaka

#17

59-45

+14

A25/01

B League

Akita

#26

55-32

+23

A28/01

B League

Toyama

#24

34-36

-2

H31/01

B League

Toyama

#24

39-48

-9

H01/02

B League

New Taipei Kings

42-37

H04/02

EASL

Chiba

44-41

A07/02

B League

Chiba

26-41

-15

A08/02

B League

84.2Avg total

43.6Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	39.4	80.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	38.3	77.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	40.5	84.1	+3.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	40.6	84.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	40.6	77.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.0	39.0	69.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.4	38.7	80.1	+2.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.2	40.1	83.3	+3.1	64%	-

This opponent (Xac Broncos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	15.3	18.0	33.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	16.0	10.0	26.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.5	38.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	17.5	41.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	15.0	39.8	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	17.9	37.6	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.6	19.1	40.8	+2.5	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	26.0	18.5	44.5	+7.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (3)	27.7	21.0	48.7	+6.7	67%	-
Last 10 (5)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	22.0	10.0	32.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	28.2	22.5	50.8	+5.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	16.5	35.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	16.9	35.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	16.2	29.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.0	16.5	29.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.9	19.9	36.7	-3.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.6	16.9	38.6	+4.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	43.8	38.0	81.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	45.0	36.5	81.5	+8.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	43.0	39.0	82.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (5)	43.8	38.0	81.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	38.0	81.8	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (1)	38.0	20.0	58.0	+18.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.2	42.5	87.8	+2.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	37.0	76.3	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	35.1	74.0	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	38.9	78.7	+0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	34.4	76.1	+7.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	31.2	69.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	37.5	69.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.5	37.8	74.3	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.3	36.1	79.4	+7.2	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Xac Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xac Broncos: 90.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game

50%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	21.6	51.7%	52.3%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	10.4	40.9%	36.8%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	18.0	15.8	87.8%	75.1%	15.8

They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 85.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game

50%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.8	53.7%	52.3%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.8	37.4%	36.8%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.3	76.2%	75.1%	16.3

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	21.0	48.8%	52.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.6	34.4%	36.8%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.6	80.0%	75.1%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	21.2	51.1%	52.3%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	6.7	30.9%	36.8%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	17.3	12.0	69.4%	75.1%	12.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	18.6	52.4%	52.3%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.4	36.8%	36.8%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.1	70.9%	75.1%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	21.0	48.8%	52.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.6	34.4%	36.8%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.6	80.0%	75.1%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	20.1	49.5%	52.3%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	7.9	33.2%	36.8%	23.6
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.1	69.5%	75.1%	12.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Xac Broncos

LLWWW

Alvark

LWWWWWWWWW

League position

+6.2

Net rating

+13.1

116.1

Offensive rating

103.8

109.9

Defensive rating

90.6

55.4%

Effective FG%

54.7%

49.9%

Opp. effective FG%

49.4%

18.6%

Turnover %

13.6%

35.1%

Off. rebound %

34.2%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.34

40.9%

3-point %

37.4%

61.9%

Assist %

70.3%

60%

Form (last 5/10)

90%

Profile

■ Xac Broncos ■ Alvark

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Xac Broncos wins

Alvark wins

Date	Game	Score
08/10/25	Alvark v Xac Broncos	69-84

Xac Broncoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/25	A	LG Sakers	83-98
06/12/25	A	New Taipei Kings	94-109
05/11/25	H	LG Sakers	105-77
01/11/25	H	New Taipei Kings	90-76
08/10/25	A	Alvark	84-69

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/26	A	Chiba	64-72
07/02/26	A	Chiba	75-73
04/02/26	H	New Taipei Kings	92-79
01/02/26	H	Toyama	70-69
31/01/26	H	Toyama	75-66
28/01/26	A	Akita	98-74
25/01/26	A	Osaka	105-88
24/01/26	A	Osaka	91-76
21/01/26	A	LG Sakers	88-81
04/01/26	H	Hiroshima D.	95-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xac Broncos

EASL 2026

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	60%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	60%	100%	33%
Points / game	91.2	97.5	87.0
Allowed / game	85.8	76.5	92.0
Point differential	+5.4	+21.0	-5.0
Avg total	177.0	174.0	179.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	100%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alvark

EASL 2026

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	80%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	67%	100%
Points / game	89.6	84.3	97.5
Allowed / game	81.2	78.7	85.0
Point differential	+8.4	+5.7	+12.5
Avg total	170.8	163.0	182.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alvark	5	4	1	80%	89.6	81.2	+8.4
2	Ryukyu	5	4	1	80%	87.6	81.6	+6.0
3	Taoyuan Pauian Pilots	6	4	2	67%	88.8	82.3	+6.5
4	Utsunomiya Brex	6	4	2	67%	93.2	88.3	+4.8
5	Seoul Knights	6	4	2	67%	87.8	85.8	+2.0
6	Xac Broncos	5	3	2	60%	91.2	85.8	+5.4
7	Meralco Bolts	5	3	2	60%	82.8	80.8	+2.0
8	New Taipei Kings	6	3	3	50%	89.3	91.3	-2.0
9	Hong Kong Eastern	6	2	4	33%	87.8	89.5	-1.7
10	Fubon Braves	6	2	4	33%	90.3	95.5	-5.2
11	LG Sakers	6	1	5	17%	82.3	91.8	-9.5
12	Macau Black Bears	6	0	6	0%	82.3	95.5	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Xac Broncos	20	21	24	28	93
Alvark	22	22	22	31	97

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Xac Broncos vs Alvark Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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