PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Osaka vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:05
Final 88-105
21-30 24-29 23-20 20-26
Position#17
Record13-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#8
Record20-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.4
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Osaka v Alvark
12 Oct 2026
OSAK78
ALVA103
25 Jan 2026
OSAK88
ALVA105
24 Jan 2026
OSAK76
ALVA91
25 Oct 2020
OSAK77
ALVA85
24 Oct 2020
OSAK69
ALVA97
30 Dec 2019
OSAK55
ALVA62
29 Dec 2019
OSAK66
ALVA67
01 Oct 2017
OSAK65
ALVA68
30 Sep 2017
OSAK60
ALVA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
78avg 77
A13/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 77
A14/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
68-86
68
86
-18
62avg 77
H20/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
77avg 77
H21/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
60avg 77
A24/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
61avg 77
A27/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
78-51
78
51
+27
73avg 77
A28/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
86-56
86
56
+30
92avg 77
H03/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 77
H04/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
76-91
76
91
-15
73avg 77
H24/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
24-23
15-18
15-20
13-18
20-16
15-14
23-15
16-19
12-22
24-15
16-30
28-18
16-21
16-18
13-18
18-24
10-20
20-14
22-22
14-18
17-14
19-26
15-15
13-14
24-19
22-11
19-7
24-10
20-20
16-15
26-11
13-18
28-5
11-18
24-17
28-26
15-16
17-22
16-27
146.3Avg total
74.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.080.8160.8-0.842%
Season at home (16)80.281.6161.8-1.438%
Season away (15)79.879.9159.7-0.147%
Last 10 (10)74.372.0146.3+2.340%
Last 5 (5)76.265.8142.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.685.2161.8-8.610%
vs Similar (16)79.278.4157.7+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)90.275.8166.0+14.5100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
LG Sakers
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
96avg 74
H17/12
EASL
Hokkaido
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
72avg 74
H20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 74
H21/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 74
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 74
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
82avg 74
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 74
H03/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
88avg 74
H04/01
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 74
A21/01
EASL
Osaka
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 74
A24/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
22-18
23-17
30-21
22-17
28-14
16-17
15-11
20-19
21-19
19-20
24-22
24-16
17-19
26-22
25-21
30-15
21-21
18-12
13-25
16-19
24-23
22-13
20-24
20-23
28-17
12-25
19-22
23-21
26-19
25-15
21-17
24-30
22-13
23-23
19-15
26-28
16-15
22-17
27-16
162.4Avg total
86.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.777.4157.1+2.365%
Season at home (16)76.674.2150.8+2.462%
Season away (15)82.980.9163.8+2.167%
Last 10 (10)86.675.8162.4+10.890%
Last 5 (5)87.079.0166.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.076.5138.5-14.50%
vs Similar (12)79.377.2156.5+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.678.2166.8+10.394%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
OsakaAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A13/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A14/12
B League
Sendai
#11
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H20/12
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H21/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A24/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H04/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H24/01
B League
74.6Avg total
37.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.081.0+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.039.679.6+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.382.3+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.774.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.071.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.041.978.9-4.940%-
vs Similar (16)42.338.981.2+3.456%-
vs Weaker (4)45.839.585.2+6.275%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LG Sakers
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H17/12
EASL
Hokkaido
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/01
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A21/01
EASL
Osaka
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/01
B League
83.0Avg total
44.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.380.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.477.5+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.184.1+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.383.0+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.686.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.538.380.8+4.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.240.082.2+2.256%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.4
50.3%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
33.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.39.5
66.4%
73.1%9.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.7
53.5%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.2
39.9%
33.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.0
70.7%
73.1%13.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LWWWLLLLWL
Alvark
WWWLWWWWWW
#17
League position
#8
+2.9
Net rating
+14.8
102.3
Offensive rating
116.6
99.4
Defensive rating
101.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
12.7%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
39.9%
74.1%
Assist %
75.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 116.6Defence99.4 · 101.8Shooting52.0% · 56.2%3-point %36.3% · 39.9%Ball care20.4% · 12.7%Off. rebounds34.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Osaka   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Osaka wins
8
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Osaka v Alvark76-91
13/04/25Alvark v Osaka82-47
12/04/25Alvark v Osaka66-68
28/01/24Alvark v Osaka83-81
27/01/24Alvark v Osaka77-68
05/02/23Alvark v Osaka68-61
04/02/23Alvark v Osaka74-66
23/01/22Alvark v Osaka99-71
22/01/22Alvark v Osaka90-77
03/01/21Alvark v Osaka67-73
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HAlvark76-91
04/01/26HKoshigaya Alphas76-58
03/01/26HKoshigaya Alphas86-56
28/12/25ASun Rockers Shibuya78-51
27/12/25ASun Rockers Shibuya65-73
24/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa70-80
21/12/25HSendai73-75
20/12/25HSendai68-86
14/12/25AYokohama71-63
13/12/25AYokohama80-87
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AOsaka91-76
21/01/26ALG Sakers88-81
04/01/26HHiroshima D.95-72
03/01/26HHiroshima D.79-87
28/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-79
27/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-73
24/12/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles92-78
21/12/25HHokkaido84-80
20/12/25HHokkaido81-59
17/12/25HLG Sakers92-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL42%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%38%47%
Points / game80.080.279.8
Allowed / game80.881.679.9
Point differential-0.8-1.4-0.1
Avg total160.8161.8159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%62%67%
Points / game79.776.682.9
Allowed / game77.474.280.9
Point differential+2.3+2.4+2.1
Avg total157.1150.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3128390%94.277.0+17.1
2 Diamond Dolphins3124777%83.672.2+11.4
3 Chiba3124777%82.975.0+7.9
4 Utsunomiya Brex3124777%85.177.7+7.4
5 Hokkaido3124777%87.682.4+5.3
6 Gunma31201165%83.174.6+8.5
7 SeaHorses Mikawa31201165%83.978.8+5.1
8 Alvark31201165%79.777.4+2.3
9 Ryukyu31191261%82.576.3+6.2
10 Sendai31181358%79.378.2+1.1
11 Hiroshima D.31171455%85.483.0+2.4
12 Shimane31171455%83.181.3+1.8
13 Saga31161552%80.982.0-1.1
14 Osaka31131842%80.080.8-0.8
15 NeoPhoenix31131842%82.183.0-0.9
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles31131842%81.283.5-2.3
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya31121939%76.682.1-5.5
18 Yokohama31112035%77.982.4-4.5
19 Shiga31112035%80.786.9-6.2
20 Koshigaya Alphas31112035%71.979.3-7.4
21 Ibaraki Robots3192229%75.979.7-3.8
22 Altiri Chiba3192229%79.484.9-5.6
23 Toyama3192229%82.590.4-7.9
24 Brave Thunders3182326%76.283.8-7.5
25 Kyoto3182326%70.480.6-10.3
26 Akita3152616%71.784.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka2124232088
Alvark30292026105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.