PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alvark vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 95-72
23-21 26-19 25-15 21-17
Position#8
Record18-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.7
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Hiroshima D.
Japan
Position#13
Record17-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game82.3
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvark v Hiroshima D.
01 Apr 2027
ALVA v HIRO
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
ALVA v HIRO
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
ALVA95
HIRO72
03 Jan 2026
ALVA79
HIRO87
10 Nov 2024
ALVA95
HIRO79
09 Nov 2024
ALVA71
HIRO56
03 Dec 2023
ALVA61
HIRO76
02 Dec 2023
ALVA88
HIRO75
20 Mar 2022
ALVA74
HIRO66
19 Mar 2022
ALVA100
HIRO89
22 Feb 2015
ALVA86
HIRO66
21 Feb 2015
ALVA80
HIRO67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
74avg 72
H10/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 72
A13/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-67
93
67
+26
97avg 72
A14/12
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
96avg 72
H17/12
EASL
Hokkaido
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
72avg 72
H20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 72
H21/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 72
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 72
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
82avg 72
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 72
H03/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
24-15
13-21
23-12
24-16
22-26
18-21
28-19
29-18
19-24
21-15
24-10
17-17
22-18
23-17
30-21
22-17
28-14
16-17
15-11
20-19
21-19
19-20
24-22
24-16
17-19
26-22
25-21
30-15
21-21
18-12
13-25
16-19
24-23
22-13
20-24
20-23
28-17
12-25
19-22
159.6Avg total
85.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.877.7156.4+1.162%
Season at home (15)75.474.3149.7+1.160%
Season away (14)82.481.2163.6+1.164%
Last 10 (10)85.174.5159.6+10.690%
Last 5 (5)83.879.4163.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.278.2155.3-1.058%
vs Weaker (14)88.478.2166.6+10.293%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 77
H07/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
74-105
74
105
-31
64avg 77
H10/12
B League
Shimane
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
62avg 77
A13/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
48avg 77
A14/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 77
A20/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 77
A21/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
105-90
105
90
+15
100avg 77
H24/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
72-87
72
87
-15
61avg 77
H27/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
98-88
98
88
+10
91avg 77
H28/12
B League
Alvark
#8
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 77
A03/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
23-27
15-18
15-9
11-18
21-33
15-23
27-31
17-18
20-20
12-18
24-15
20-24
29-22
10-21
29-29
26-23
25-22
17-11
20-9
20-18
16-24
23-15
24-19
20-27
28-17
31-30
26-16
24-20
18-16
23-30
7-21
23-23
38-23
16-24
21-18
23-20
17-28
25-12
22-19
166.7Avg total
83.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.782.3168.0+3.459%
Season at home (14)86.186.3172.4-0.243%
Season away (15)85.478.5163.9+6.973%
Last 10 (10)83.683.1166.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)89.084.0173.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.880.6156.4-4.938%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.582.5170.0+4.960%
vs Weaker (7)93.781.7175.4+12.086%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
AlvarkHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H10/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A13/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/12
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H17/12
EASL
Hokkaido
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/01
B League
81.7Avg total
44.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.780.1+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.877.9+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.841.582.3-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.581.7+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.282.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.042.571.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.538.881.3+3.758%-
vs Weaker (14)41.939.681.5+2.457%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H07/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H10/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/12
B League
Shimane
#14
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A14/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A20/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A21/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H28/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/01
B League
87.7Avg total
43.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.588.5+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.543.991.3+3.660%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.285.7-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.387.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.288.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.044.683.6-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.744.190.8+2.753%-
vs Weaker (7)48.041.189.1+6.9100%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.9
55.1%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.7
39.5%
33.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.311.2
64.7%
73.1%11.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.216.8
53.8%
53.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.911.6
33.2%
33.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
73.1%14.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
LWWWWWWWWW
Hiroshima D.
WWLWWWLWLL
#8
League position
#13
+14.5
Net rating
+0.4
118.3
Offensive rating
111.4
103.8
Defensive rating
111.0
57.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.5%
3-point %
33.2%
81.0%
Assist %
62.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 111.4Defence103.8 · 111.0Shooting57.0% · 51.7%3-point %39.5% · 33.2%Ball care13.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds29.0% · 30.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Alvark   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alvark wins
2
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Alvark v Hiroshima D.79-87
10/11/24Alvark v Hiroshima D.95-79
09/11/24Alvark v Hiroshima D.71-56
03/12/23Alvark v Hiroshima D.61-76
02/12/23Alvark v Hiroshima D.88-75
22/01/23Hiroshima D. v Alvark63-66
21/01/23Hiroshima D. v Alvark71-74
20/03/22Alvark v Hiroshima D.74-66
19/03/22Alvark v Hiroshima D.100-89
10/10/20Hiroshima D. v Alvark71-81
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HHiroshima D.79-87
28/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-79
27/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-73
24/12/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles92-78
21/12/25HHokkaido84-80
20/12/25HHokkaido81-59
17/12/25HLG Sakers92-73
14/12/25ABrave Thunders93-67
13/12/25ABrave Thunders92-82
10/12/25HYokohama74-67
Hiroshima D.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AAlvark87-79
28/12/25HIbaraki Robots98-88
27/12/25HIbaraki Robots72-87
24/12/25HShiga105-90
21/12/25AGunma83-76
20/12/25AGunma88-65
14/12/25AShimane88-96
13/12/25AShimane73-71
10/12/25HNagasaki74-105
07/12/25HRyukyu68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game78.875.482.4
Allowed / game77.774.381.2
Point differential+1.1+1.1+1.1
Avg total156.4149.7163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %10%7%14%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%43%73%
Points / game85.786.185.4
Allowed / game82.386.378.5
Point differential+3.4-0.2+6.9
Avg total168.0172.4163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2926390%94.277.2+17.0
2 Chiba3024680%83.674.4+9.2
3 Utsunomiya Brex3024680%85.477.1+8.2
4 Hokkaido2923679%88.082.7+5.3
5 Diamond Dolphins3023777%83.772.0+11.6
6 SeaHorses Mikawa30201067%84.178.7+5.5
7 Gunma30191163%82.874.5+8.3
8 Alvark29181162%78.877.7+1.1
9 Ryukyu30181260%82.276.8+5.4
10 Hiroshima D.29171259%85.782.3+3.4
11 Shimane29171259%83.581.2+2.3
12 Sendai30171357%79.278.3+0.9
13 Saga30151550%80.782.3-1.6
14 Osaka30131743%80.180.5-0.3
15 NeoPhoenix29121741%82.483.0-0.6
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles30121840%80.883.3-2.4
17 Yokohama29111838%78.482.3-3.9
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya30111937%76.682.3-5.7
19 Shiga30111937%80.886.7-5.9
20 Koshigaya Alphas30102033%71.579.2-7.7
21 Ibaraki Robots3092130%75.779.6-3.8
22 Toyama3092130%82.790.8-8.1
23 Altiri Chiba2982128%79.485.2-5.7
24 Kyoto3072323%70.281.2-11.0
25 Brave Thunders2962321%75.484.1-8.7
26 Akita2952417%71.184.1-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2326252195
Hiroshima D.2119151772
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.