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Xavier vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 64-71
34-40 30-31
Position#46
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game73.2
Xavier
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#39
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game52.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#18
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H16/03
NIT
Florida
#16
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H20/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H23/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H29/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#2
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A31/03
NIT
Morgan State
#223
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H08/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H12/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-28
0-0
43-40
0-0
33-33
0-0
39-23
0-0
29-31
0-0
46-42
0-0
38-23
0-0
46-54
0-0
32-40
0-0
41-32
0-0
50-26
0-0
46-47
0-0
49-37
0-0
37-27
0-0
35-37
0-0
43-28
0-0
40-38
0-0
39-43
0-0
42-38
0-0
48-45
151.7Avg total
80.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.873.2159.0+12.680%
Season at home (5)85.873.2159.0+12.680%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.571.2151.7+9.390%
Last 5 (5)85.873.2159.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.269.4134.6-4.240%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.776.1149.8-2.540%
vs Weaker (9)83.370.8154.1+12.689%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H25/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H27/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H03/04
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
71-44
71
44
+27
H08/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
84-38
84
38
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
46-41
29-33
49-40
45-33
33-36
37-34
40-47
42-26
29-18
43-18
41-20
29-33
35-36
42-36
50-22
41-33
33-24
29-27
25-24
137.3Avg total
75.7Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.252.8126.0+20.383%
Season at home (4)80.249.2129.5+31.0100%
Season away (2)59.060.0119.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)75.761.6137.3+14.180%
Last 5 (5)73.654.6128.2+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.772.0144.7+0.767%
vs Weaker (27)77.865.7143.5+12.181%
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +7.3+7.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +7.3+7.3
XavierDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#18
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H16/03
NIT
Florida
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H29/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A31/03
NIT
Morgan State
#223
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H08/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/11
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H24/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
37.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.068.2+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.533.268.8+2.350%-
Last 30 away (10)31.335.666.9-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.170.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.278.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.636.668.2-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.136.168.1-4.020%-
vs Weaker (9)39.629.969.4+9.767%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#46
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H25/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/04
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H08/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A24/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
37.6Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.031.269.3+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.333.472.7+5.968%-
Last 30 away (11)35.827.563.4+8.391%-
Last 10 (10)37.630.868.4+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)36.829.466.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.333.066.3+0.333%-
vs Weaker (27)38.631.069.6+7.581%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Xavier wins
0
Duke wins
No previous meetings.
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22HFlorida90-83
18/11/22HIndiana79-81
16/11/22HFairfield78-65
12/11/22HMontana86-64
08/11/22HMorgan State96-73
31/03/22ATexas A&M73-72
29/03/22HSt. Bonaventure84-77
23/03/22HVanderbilt75-73
20/03/22HFlorida72-56
16/03/22HCleveland State72-68
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22AOregon State54-51
22/11/22HBellarmine74-57
19/11/22HDelaware92-58
16/11/22AKansas64-69
11/11/22HUSC Upstate84-38
08/11/22HJacksonville71-44
03/04/22HNorth Carolina77-81
27/03/22HArkansas78-69
25/03/22HTexas Tech78-73
20/03/22HMichigan State85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWLW80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game85.885.8-
Allowed / game73.273.2-
Point differential+12.6+12.6-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game73.280.259.0
Allowed / game52.849.260.0
Point differential+20.3+31.0-1.0
Avg total126.0129.5119.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn660100%86.557.3+29.2
2 St. John's (N.Y.)660100%82.567.5+15.0
3 Creighton76186%83.967.1+16.7
4 Seton Hall54180%75.658.4+17.2
5 Xavier54180%85.873.2+12.6
6 Marquette64267%80.065.5+14.5
7 Butler64267%75.861.8+14.0
8 Providence64267%77.268.8+8.3
9 Georgetown63350%76.573.7+2.8
10 DePaul63350%72.071.0+1.0
11 Villanova62433%71.070.5+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia440100%79.560.8+18.8
2 North Carolina550100%82.470.6+11.8
3 Notre Dame550100%79.471.6+7.8
4 Duke65183%73.252.8+20.3
5 NC State65183%83.866.3+17.5
6 Virginia Tech65183%79.765.5+14.2
7 Wake Forest65183%79.268.2+11.0
8 Clemson54180%73.461.2+12.2
9 Boston College64267%66.264.3+1.8
10 Syracuse53260%75.469.4+6.0
11 Georgia Tech53260%68.864.4+4.4
12 Miami (FL)116555%73.869.8+4.0
13 Stanford63350%69.764.5+5.2
14 Pittsburgh63350%69.869.3+0.5
15 SMU Mustangs52340%65.868.2-2.4
16 Florida State71614%67.375.4-8.1
17 California5050%60.467.0-6.6
18 Louisville6060%58.772.0-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Xavier343064
Duke403171
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