PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Xavier vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-57
31-28 44-29
Position#248
Record7-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game72.9
Xavier 🏆
USA
vs
Position#223
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#106
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H04/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
68-87
68
87
-19
H11/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A15/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H22/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H28/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H02/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-19
37-43
43-36
31-33
20-39
48-48
29-45
33-36
51-29
48-40
41-53
36-25
36-28
42-40
43-33
45-34
44-33
52-41
37-37
42-37
151.6Avg total
78.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.772.9151.6+5.870%
Season at home (9)80.672.0152.6+8.678%
Season away (1)62.081.0143.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)78.772.9151.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)83.672.2155.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.475.3148.8-1.944%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.073.1149.1+2.962%
vs Weaker (8)83.170.2153.4+12.9100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
60-68 OT
60
68
-8
A02/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri Southern State
#417
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern Oklahoma State
#615
W
106-57
106
57
+49
H09/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H12/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A15/11
NCAA
Rio Grande Redmen
#199
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H22/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H25/11
NCAA
Northeastern State
#422
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
31-30
23-38
31-32
40-43
48-27
55-21
51-36
46-33
39-53
25-34
24-33
28-30
46-37
40-35
21-40
60-33
32-38
32-48
42-50
147.2Avg total
74.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.673.9152.5+4.850%
Season at home (6)84.371.0155.3+13.367%
Season away (2)61.582.5144.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)74.372.9147.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)70.075.6145.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)66.672.4139.0-5.718%
vs Similar ◀ (9)61.469.4130.9-8.011%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -1.1-1.1
XavierMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#106
W
29-19
29
19
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H11/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A15/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H22/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H28/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/12
NCAA
72.5Avg total
37.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.671.2+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.433.672.0+4.967%-
Last 30 away (12)36.433.670.0+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.272.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.877.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.736.170.8-1.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.733.970.6+2.846%-
vs Weaker (8)42.530.172.6+12.4100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A02/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri Southern State
#417
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern Oklahoma State
#615
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H09/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H12/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A15/11
NCAA
Rio Grande Redmen
#199
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H22/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Northeastern State
#422
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H30/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A06/12
NCAA
72.1Avg total
37.7Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.164.7+0.533%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.831.466.2+3.541%-
Last 30 away (13)29.633.162.7-3.523%-
Last 10 (10)37.734.472.1+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.433.464.8-2.124%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)29.630.460.0-0.944%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Xavier wins
0
Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HCincinnati79-74
02/12/25HSt. Francis (PA)96-74
28/11/25HTexas A&M-CC88-67
23/11/25HWest Virginia78-68
22/11/25HGeorgia77-78
19/11/25HOld Dominion99-69
15/11/25AIowa62-81
11/11/25HSanta Clara68-87
07/11/25HLe Moyne74-69
04/11/25HMarist66-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ATulsa74-98
30/11/25HNortheastern State92-71
25/11/25HLIU Sharks61-75
22/11/25HRio Grande Redmen74-67
15/11/25AUT Arlington49-67
12/11/25HArkansas State85-86
09/11/25HNorthwestern Oklahoma State106-57
05/11/25HMissouri Southern State88-70
06/03/25AIllinois State54-70
02/03/25ADrake60-68 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1091
Win %70%78%0%
Points / game78.780.662.0
Allowed / game72.972.081.0
Point differential+5.8+8.6-19.0
Avg total151.6152.6143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game78.684.361.5
Allowed / game73.971.082.5
Point differential+4.8+13.3-21.0
Avg total152.5155.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn109190%79.861.7+18.1
2 Seton Hall109190%76.161.9+14.2
3 Butler97278%87.672.2+15.3
4 Villanova97278%80.668.9+11.7
5 DePaul107370%79.068.8+10.2
6 Xavier107370%78.772.9+5.8
7 Georgetown96367%78.474.8+3.7
8 Providence117464%90.082.1+7.9
9 Creighton95456%74.471.4+3.0
10 St. John's (N.Y.)105550%81.576.7+4.8
11 Marquette105550%80.976.4+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State87188%74.265.6+8.6
2 Kennesaw State108280%97.275.3+21.9
3 Liberty96367%80.366.7+13.7
4 Sam Houston St.96367%86.375.3+11.0
5 Western Kentucky96367%82.978.2+4.7
6 Louisiana Tech85362%72.258.5+13.8
7 Florida International85362%84.476.5+7.9
8 Middle Tenn. St.95456%79.673.3+6.2
9 Jacksonville State84450%76.060.2+15.8
10 Missouri State84450%78.673.9+4.8
11 UTEP83538%73.572.4+1.1
12 Delaware93633%69.073.9-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Xavier314475
Missouri State282957
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.