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Xinjiang vs Beijing Royal Fighters Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 102-95
27-18 18-31 29-26 28-20
Position#3
Record33-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game96.2
vs
Position#10
Record23-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game104.0
ChinaCBARound 41· Hongshan Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Xinjiang v Beijing Royal Fighters
01 Apr 2027
XINJ v BEIJ
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
XINJ103
BEIJ89
31 Mar 2025
XINJ85
BEIJ81
17 Oct 2024
XINJ114
BEIJ111
10 Mar 2024
XINJ102
BEIJ95
29 Mar 2023
XINJ98
BEIJ92
07 Nov 2021
XINJ84
BEIJ91
28 Dec 2020
XINJ113
BEIJ97
21 Oct 2020
XINJ123
BEIJ92
03 Aug 2020
XINJ103
BEIJ91
29 Nov 2019
XINJ128
BEIJ83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beijing Royal Fighters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
L
98-101
98
101
-3
79avg 99
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
121-92
121
92
+29
115avg 99
H20/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
134-94
134
94
+40
143avg 99
H22/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
134-102
134
102
+32
133avg 99
H24/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
102-98
102
98
+4
96avg 99
A27/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
110-84
110
84
+26
106avg 99
A29/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
103-87
103
87
+16
no box
A31/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
108-111
108
111
-3
103avg 99
A02/02
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
117-98
117
98
+19
102avg 99
H05/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
130-121
130
121
+9
126avg 99
H07/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
19-27
25-31
22-22
30-29
27-17
25-28
39-18
38-21
27-15
37-29
32-29
41-26
27-23
33-19
33-34
31-37
20-23
28-18
23-20
27-17
40-28
21-18
22-21
31-21
21-26
25-21
26-19
33-23
30-26
22-36
23-26
16-19
17-24
40-23
44-32
38-35
28-33
29-28
35-25
214.5Avg total
115.7Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)107.096.2203.2+10.882%
Season at home (20)111.396.4207.8+14.990%
Season away (20)102.696.0198.6+6.575%
Last 10 (10)115.798.8214.5+16.980%
Last 5 (5)113.6100.2213.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)111.2101.8213.0+9.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)108.795.5204.2+13.285%
This opponent (Beijing Royal Fighters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Beijing Royal FightersChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFighters
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
119-102
119
102
+17
113avg 101
A18/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
113-97
113
97
+16
109avg 101
H20/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
116-114
116
114
+2
118avg 101
H22/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
120-111
120
111
+9
115avg 101
H24/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
114-81
114
81
+33
121avg 101
A26/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
114-112
114
112
+2
113avg 101
A28/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
103-97
103
97
+6
102avg 101
H30/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
114-106
114
106
+8
110avg 101
H02/02
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
110-122
110
122
-12
92avg 101
A04/02
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
131-134 OT
131
134
-3
no box
A07/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-35
35-28
24-16
24-23
28-22
34-15
26-25
25-35
36-29
27-20
24-24
29-41
33-32
26-31
35-31
26-17
39-25
35-12
28-18
12-26
23-36
36-29
31-19
24-28
25-16
25-27
32-27
21-27
23-27
31-30
26-23
34-26
22-28
26-37
36-25
26-32
38-31
27-37
26-24
29-28
223.0Avg total
115.4Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)106.6104.0210.6+2.657%
Season at home (22)108.0103.5211.6+4.564%
Season away (18)104.9104.6209.4+0.350%
Last 10 (10)115.4107.6223.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)114.4114.2228.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)100.9108.9209.8-8.012%
vs Similar (9)109.7106.8216.4+2.967%
vs Weaker (13)108.098.8206.8+9.277%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
XinjiangBeijing Royal Fighters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H20/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H22/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H24/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A27/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A29/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A31/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A02/02
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H05/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H07/03
CBA
106.4Avg total
57.3Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.646.9102.4+8.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.045.2101.2+10.875%-
Last 30 away (14)55.148.8103.9+6.379%-
Last 10 (10)57.349.1106.4+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)56.250.4106.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)59.047.0106.0+12.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)55.046.8101.9+8.277%-
This opponent (Beijing Royal Fighters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Beijing Royal FightersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A18/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H20/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H22/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H24/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
74-37
74
37
+37
A26/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A28/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H30/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H02/02
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A04/02
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A07/03
CBA
115.2Avg total
60.5Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.252.9107.0+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.949.5103.4+4.461%-
Last 30 away (12)54.557.9112.4-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)60.554.7115.2+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)55.259.6114.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)50.958.8109.6-7.912%-
vs Similar (9)52.753.7106.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker (13)57.248.7105.9+8.577%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.728.6
52.3%
52.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.6
39.2%
34.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws29.221.8
74.7%
76.0%21.8
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beijing Royal Fighterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing Royal Fighters: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.730.6
54.9%
52.7%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.510.1
41.2%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.219.1
75.8%
76.0%19.1
They take 80.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
WWLWWWWWWL
Beijing Royal Fighters
LLWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#10
+17.1
Net rating
+7.4
119.9
Offensive rating
121.6
102.8
Defensive rating
114.2
54.6%
Effective FG%
57.0%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.2%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.2%
3-point %
41.2%
69.2%
Assist %
65.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 121.6Defence102.8 · 114.2Shooting54.6% · 57.0%3-point %39.2% · 41.2%Ball care12.7% · 12.2%Off. rebounds34.9% · 28.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Beijing Royal Fighters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HShandong130-121
05/02/24HQingdao117-98
02/02/24AShanxi Zhongyu108-111
31/01/24AJiangsu Dragons103-87
29/01/24AQingdao110-84
27/01/24AShandong102-98
24/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou134-102
22/01/24HNingbo Rockets134-94
20/01/24HSichuan121-92
17/01/24HShenzhen98-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AGuangdong131-134 OT
04/02/24ANanjing Tongxi110-122
02/02/24HLiaoning114-106
30/01/24HNanjing Tongxi103-97
28/01/24AZhejiang Guangsha114-112
26/01/24ANingbo Rockets114-81
24/01/24HShanghai120-111
22/01/24HTianjin116-114
20/01/24HGuangzhou113-97
18/01/24ASichuan119-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %82%90%75%
Points / game107.0111.3102.6
Allowed / game96.296.496.0
Point differential+10.8+14.9+6.5
Avg total203.2207.8198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%65%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Beijing Royal Fighters
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game106.6108.0104.9
Allowed / game104.0103.5104.6
Point differential+2.6+4.5+0.3
Avg total210.6211.6209.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%18%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)38% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %10%14%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4134783%104.093.5+10.5
2 Xinjiang4033782%107.096.2+10.8
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou41301173%108.599.9+8.6
4 Guangdong41271466%109.3105.3+4.0
5 Zhejiang Guangsha40261465%103.896.7+7.1
6 Shenzhen40261465%106.2102.5+3.7
7 Shanghai41251661%106.2103.4+2.8
8 Qingdao41241759%101.999.7+2.1
9 Beijing Royal Fighters40231757%106.6104.0+2.6
10 Shanxi Zhongyu40202050%109.2111.0-1.8
11 Guangzhou41202149%101.799.3+2.4
12 Beijing41202149%100.7100.8-0.1
13 Tianjin40182245%106.3108.6-2.2
14 Nanjing Tongxi40182245%102.5104.9-2.4
15 Shandong41162539%102.4104.5-2.1
16 Fujian40152538%103.0106.5-3.5
17 Jilin41152637%104.1108.0-3.9
18 Ningbo Rockets4063415%92.1105.5-13.4
19 Jiangsu Dragons4153612%93.2104.0-10.7
20 Sichuan4043610%98.0112.6-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Xinjiang27182928102
Beijing Royal Fighters1831262095
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