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Xinjiang vs Beijing Royal Fighters Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 114-111
41-21 28-28 25-38 20-24
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game107.5
vs
Position#11
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game91.5
ChinaCBARound 3· Hongshan Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Xinjiang v Beijing Royal Fighters
01 Apr 2027
XINJ v BEIJ
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
XINJ103
BEIJ89
31 Mar 2025
XINJ85
BEIJ81
17 Oct 2024
XINJ114
BEIJ111
10 Mar 2024
XINJ102
BEIJ95
29 Mar 2023
XINJ98
BEIJ92
07 Nov 2021
XINJ84
BEIJ91
28 Dec 2020
XINJ113
BEIJ97
21 Oct 2020
XINJ123
BEIJ92
03 Aug 2020
XINJ103
BEIJ91
29 Nov 2019
XINJ128
BEIJ83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beijing Royal Fighters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
125-90
125
90
+35
126avg 99
H02/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
85-95
85
95
-10
75avg 99
H04/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
105-93
105
93
+12
104avg 99
A07/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
108-95
108
95
+13
106avg 99
A09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
112-121
112
121
-9
102avg 99
A15/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
86-97
86
97
-11
68avg 99
A17/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
91-98
91
98
-7
82avg 99
H20/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 99
H22/05
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
112-98
112
98
+14
94avg 99
H13/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
130-117
130
117
+13
127avg 99
H15/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
33-26
24-20
38-17
28-27
16-28
24-25
17-15
26-26
29-29
20-24
30-14
36-22
19-23
21-18
32-32
18-34
28-25
32-31
34-31
31-32
15-25
21-20
19-20
20-29
27-31
18-17
26-21
21-25
26-28
25-31
23-20
28-29
29-28
27-23
28-18
42-19
39-32
26-34
23-32
205.7Avg total
104.9Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)121.0107.5228.5+13.5100%
Season at home (2)121.0107.5228.5+13.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)104.9100.8205.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)102.8102.8205.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)99.198.8197.9+0.333%
vs Weaker (21)108.898.4207.2+10.476%
This opponent (Beijing Royal Fighters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Beijing Royal FightersChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFighters
Date
Competition
Shandong
#15
L
85-111
85
111
-26
65avg 99
A26/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
113-120
113
120
-7
95avg 99
A28/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
100-84
100
84
+16
104avg 99
A30/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
125-109
125
109
+16
126avg 99
H02/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
103-117
103
117
-14
95avg 99
A06/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
102-106
102
106
-4
92avg 99
A10/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
99-94
99
94
+5
91avg 99
H13/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
97-117
97
117
-20
84avg 99
A15/04
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
100-99
100
99
+1
93avg 99
A13/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
109-84
109
84
+25
109avg 99
H15/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
24-25
18-33
21-24
23-25
33-37
26-25
31-33
27-22
24-27
25-15
24-20
34-19
39-27
30-36
22-27
27-40
23-31
21-20
32-26
32-29
27-28
16-23
27-26
32-22
25-31
20-25
22-16
33-29
26-27
17-29
21-32
29-24
21-32
21-26
29-17
33-21
20-20
34-16
22-27
207.4Avg total
103.3Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.591.5196.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)109.084.0193.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)100.099.0199.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)103.3104.1207.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)101.4100.0201.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)108.0112.4220.4-4.420%
vs Similar ◀ (12)102.1107.9210.0-5.842%
vs Weaker (13)110.398.8209.1+11.585%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
XinjiangBeijing Royal Fighters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H02/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H04/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A07/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A15/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A17/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H20/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H22/05
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H13/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H15/10
CBA
108.6Avg total
54.1Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.651.0103.6+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.551.2107.8+5.250%-
Last 30 away (14)48.150.798.9-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)54.154.5108.6-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)55.655.6111.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)50.153.3103.4-3.233%-
vs Weaker (21)53.750.0103.7+3.752%-
This opponent (Beijing Royal Fighters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Beijing Royal FightersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#15
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A26/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A28/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A30/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H02/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A06/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A10/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H13/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A15/04
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A13/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/10
CBA
109.9Avg total
55.4Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.154.1109.2+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.051.9105.9+2.154%-
Last 30 away (17)55.955.8111.7+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)55.454.5109.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)55.652.6108.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.458.0111.4-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)51.857.5109.3-5.733%-
vs Weaker (13)58.849.5108.2+9.385%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 102.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.629.5
52.1%
52.6%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.218.1
74.8%
76.3%18.1
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beijing Royal Fighterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing Royal Fighters: 102.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.329.5
51.5%
52.6%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.516.7
68.2%
76.3%16.7
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
WWLLLLWWLW
Beijing Royal Fighters
WWLWLLWWLL
#5
League position
#11
+6.7
Net rating
+1.7
110.2
Offensive rating
107.5
103.6
Defensive rating
105.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
12.0%
Turnover %
13.3%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.1%
3-point %
35.2%
54.2%
Assist %
62.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 107.5Defence103.6 · 105.8Shooting50.4% · 51.9%3-point %31.1% · 35.2%Ball care12.0% · 13.3%Off. rebounds30.8% · 26.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Beijing Royal Fighters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24HShenzhen130-117
13/10/24HJiangsu Dragons112-98
22/05/24HLiaoning95-104
20/05/24HLiaoning91-98
17/05/24ALiaoning86-97
15/05/24ALiaoning112-121
09/05/24AZhejiang Chouzhou108-95
07/05/24AZhejiang Chouzhou105-93
04/05/24HZhejiang Chouzhou85-95
02/05/24HZhejiang Chouzhou125-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24HJiangsu Dragons109-84
13/10/24AJilin100-99
15/04/24AShenzhen97-117
13/04/24HShenzhen99-94
10/04/24AShenzhen102-106
06/04/24AShanxi Zhongyu103-117
02/04/24HJilin125-109
30/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-84
28/03/24AQingdao113-120
26/03/24AShandong85-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game121.0121.0-
Allowed / game107.5107.5-
Point differential+13.5+13.5-
Avg total228.5228.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Beijing Royal Fighters
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.5109.0100.0
Allowed / game91.584.099.0
Point differential+13.0+25.0+1.0
Avg total196.0193.0199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning220100%119.594.0+25.5
2 Qingdao220100%105.088.5+16.5
3 Shanxi Zhongyu220100%109.095.0+14.0
4 Xinjiang220100%121.0107.5+13.5
5 Beijing Royal Fighters220100%104.591.5+13.0
6 Beijing330100%102.791.0+11.7
7 Tianjin110100%115.0104.0+11.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha330100%110.3103.3+7.0
9 Nanjing Tongxi32167%114.0107.0+7.0
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou21150%116.5118.0-1.5
11 Shandong31233%104.3107.0-2.7
12 Ningbo Rockets31233%105.3112.0-6.7
13 Shanghai2020%102.0105.5-3.5
14 Jilin2020%106.0110.5-4.5
15 Guangdong2020%102.0112.5-10.5
16 Shenzhen2020%104.0117.0-13.0
17 Sichuan3030%98.7112.0-13.3
18 Jiangsu Dragons2020%91.0110.5-19.5
19 Fujian2020%90.0115.5-25.5
20 Guangzhou1010%80.0109.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Xinjiang41282520114
Beijing Royal Fighters21283824111
← all games of the day
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