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Xinjiang vs Jilin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#11
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game87.1
ChinaCBARound 40· Hongshan Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Xinjiang v Jilin
21 Mar 2027
XINJ v JILI
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
XINJ82
JILI89
13 Dec 2024
XINJ122
JILI89
31 Mar 2024
XINJ147
JILI107
10 Dec 2022
XINJ91
JILI112
28 Jan 2022
XINJ96
JILI117
15 Jan 2021
XINJ109
JILI99
23 Oct 2020
XINJ97
JILI108
07 Jul 2020
XINJ106
JILI105
13 Nov 2019
XINJ112
JILI107
11 Nov 2018
XINJ117
JILI115
28 Oct 2017
XINJ106
JILI95
25 Nov 2016
XINJ139
JILI117
27 Nov 2015
XINJ127
JILI114
05 Dec 2014
XINJ109
JILI110
09 Feb 2014
XINJ119
JILI101
16 Jan 2013
XINJ102
JILI92
05 Feb 2012
XINJ97
JILI99
18 Dec 2011
XINJ94
JILI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
116avg 82
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
82avg 82
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
no box
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
84-106
84
106
-22
no box
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
22-30
29-18
16-33
17-25
21-22
29-23
14-23
20-19
176.4Avg total
87.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.889.5175.2-3.838%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (4)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)87.988.5176.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.891.0173.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.295.8179.1-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.488.6178.0+0.846%
vs Weaker (4)84.876.8161.5+8.050%
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
65-84
65
84
-19
49avg 72
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
55-105
55
105
-50
38avg 72
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-25
18-21
20-12
8-27
13-34
25-23
9-21
25-16
21-21
12-18
24-29
22-24
20-24
26-22
20-21
21-18
28-21
29-20
11-24
20-24
22-23
19-22
21-12
18-29
23-21
27-15
17-11
22-19
22-26
16-18
21-19
21-33
24-15
18-28
16-14
24-25
25-27
21-24
28-22
170.1Avg total
81.5Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.987.1174.0-0.238%
Season at home (5)83.886.0169.8-2.220%
Season away (3)92.089.0181.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)81.588.6170.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)87.287.8175.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.394.5174.8-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.686.0166.6-5.440%
vs Weaker (5)92.283.4175.6+8.860%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
XinjiangJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A03/11
CBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.992.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.548.493.8-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.047.291.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.895.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.250.594.6-6.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.247.592.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
21-61
21
61
-40
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A03/11
CBA
88.4Avg total
40.6Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.548.288.7-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.646.489.0-3.835%-
Last 30 away (13)37.750.588.2-12.815%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.888.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.492.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.749.187.8-10.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.645.688.2-3.020%-
vs Weaker (5)45.447.092.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
74.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
53.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
35.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.8%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
LLWLLLWWLW
Jilin
LLLWWWLLLL
#15
League position
#11
-3.7
Net rating
-12.7
102.0
Offensive rating
90.3
105.7
Defensive rating
103.1
55.3%
Effective FG%
48.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
31.2%
69.1%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 90.3Defence105.7 · 103.1Shooting55.3% · 48.8%3-point %34.7% · 31.2%Ball care11.2% · 13.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Xinjiang wins
6
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
22/10/26Jilin v Xinjiang89-83
13/03/26Xinjiang v Jilin82-89
20/12/25Jilin v Xinjiang92-86
23/01/25Jilin v Xinjiang120-137
13/12/24Xinjiang v Jilin122-89
31/03/24Xinjiang v Jilin147-107
03/12/23Jilin v Xinjiang99-112
19/03/23Jilin v Xinjiang103-99
10/12/22Xinjiang v Jilin91-112
28/01/22Xinjiang v Jilin96-117
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu84-87
31/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-106
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanghai109-110 OT
01/11/26HGuangzhou79-90
30/10/26HShenzhen81-82
26/10/26ANingbo Rockets85-76
24/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-81
22/10/26HXinjiang89-83
20/10/26HSichuan88-91
18/10/26HBeijing82-84
24/04/26ABeijing55-105
20/04/26ANingbo Rockets65-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-3.8+3.0-10.5
Avg total175.2171.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jilin
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%20%67%
Points / game86.983.892.0
Allowed / game87.186.089.0
Point differential-0.2-2.2+3.0
Avg total174.0169.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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