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Xinjiang vs Shenzhen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game93.9
ChinaCBARound 33· Hongshan Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Xinjiang v Shenzhen
30 Jan 2027
XINJ v SHEN
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
XINJ96
SHEN104
06 Apr 2026
XINJ97
SHEN102
12 Mar 2025
XINJ118
SHEN102
15 Oct 2024
XINJ130
SHEN117
17 Jan 2024
XINJ98
SHEN101
15 Nov 2023
XINJ99
SHEN91
11 Jan 2023
XINJ92
SHEN91
14 Mar 2022
XINJ104
SHEN105
09 Mar 2021
XINJ98
SHEN114
13 Jul 2020
XINJ122
SHEN86
05 Jan 2019
XINJ110
SHEN106
30 Dec 2017
XINJ102
SHEN94
15 Jan 2017
XINJ113
SHEN107
20 Nov 2015
XINJ115
SHEN84
21 Nov 2014
XINJ96
SHEN102
09 Mar 2014
XINJ108
SHEN100
07 Mar 2014
XINJ114
SHEN111
06 Dec 2013
XINJ99
SHEN86
17 Feb 2013
XINJ118
SHEN71
02 Mar 2012
XINJ109
SHEN88
26 Feb 2012
XINJ121
SHEN115
24 Feb 2012
XINJ93
SHEN82
12 Feb 2012
XINJ97
SHEN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
116avg 81
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
82avg 81
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
no box
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
84-106
84
106
-22
no box
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
22-30
29-18
16-33
17-25
21-22
29-23
14-23
20-19
176.4Avg total
87.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.889.5175.2-3.838%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (4)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)87.988.5176.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.891.0173.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.295.8179.1-12.68%
vs Similar (13)89.488.6178.0+0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.876.8161.5+8.050%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
73avg 96
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 96
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
no box
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
24-24
10-21
17-19
20-27
14-25
22-3
15-19
17-21
173.7Avg total
80.9Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
Season at home (3)86.092.0178.0-6.067%
Season away (5)74.495.0169.4-20.640%
Last 10 (10)80.992.8173.7-11.950%
Last 5 (5)82.289.6171.8-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
vs Similar (10)98.295.7193.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (12)105.892.0197.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
XinjiangShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A03/11
CBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.992.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.548.493.8-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.047.291.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.895.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.250.594.6-6.315%-
vs Similar (13)45.247.592.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H03/11
CBA
87.1Avg total
39.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.048.298.2+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.546.398.8+6.277%-
Last 30 away (17)48.149.697.8-1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.247.987.1-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.285.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.148.585.6-11.425%-
vs Similar (10)52.850.4103.2+2.470%-
vs Weaker (12)56.346.2102.5+10.292%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
74.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
LLWLLLWWLW
Shenzhen
WLWWLLWLLW
#15
League position
#10
-3.7
Net rating
-14.8
102.0
Offensive rating
88.7
105.7
Defensive rating
103.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
11.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
33.5%
69.1%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 88.7Defence105.7 · 103.5Shooting55.3% · 51.4%3-point %34.7% · 33.5%Ball care11.2% · 15.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Xinjiang wins
5
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
15/04/26Xinjiang v Shenzhen96-104
06/04/26Xinjiang v Shenzhen97-102
20/03/26Shenzhen v Xinjiang109-77
12/03/25Xinjiang v Shenzhen118-102
25/01/25Shenzhen v Xinjiang118-109
27/11/24Shenzhen v Xinjiang80-114
15/10/24Xinjiang v Shenzhen130-117
14/03/24Shenzhen v Xinjiang97-102
17/01/24Xinjiang v Shenzhen98-101
15/11/23Xinjiang v Shenzhen99-91
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu84-87
31/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-106
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HZhejiang Chouzhou93-90 OT
01/11/26ALiaoning71-91
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-3.8+3.0-10.5
Avg total175.2171.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game78.886.074.4
Allowed / game93.992.095.0
Point differential-15.1-6.0-20.6
Avg total172.6178.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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