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Xinjiang vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 118-102
28-32 31-15 29-27 30-28
Position#5
Record26-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game102.2
Xinjiang 🏆
China
vs
Shenzhen
China
Position#13
Record15-23
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game106.5
ChinaCBARound 39· Hongshan Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Xinjiang v Shenzhen
30 Jan 2027
XINJ v SHEN
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
XINJ96
SHEN104
06 Apr 2026
XINJ97
SHEN102
12 Mar 2025
XINJ118
SHEN102
15 Oct 2024
XINJ130
SHEN117
17 Jan 2024
XINJ98
SHEN101
15 Nov 2023
XINJ99
SHEN91
11 Jan 2023
XINJ92
SHEN91
14 Mar 2022
XINJ104
SHEN105
09 Mar 2021
XINJ98
SHEN114
13 Jul 2020
XINJ122
SHEN86
05 Jan 2019
XINJ110
SHEN106
30 Dec 2017
XINJ102
SHEN94
15 Jan 2017
XINJ113
SHEN107
20 Nov 2015
XINJ115
SHEN84
21 Nov 2014
XINJ96
SHEN102
09 Mar 2014
XINJ108
SHEN100
07 Mar 2014
XINJ114
SHEN111
06 Dec 2013
XINJ99
SHEN86
17 Feb 2013
XINJ118
SHEN71
02 Mar 2012
XINJ109
SHEN88
26 Feb 2012
XINJ121
SHEN115
24 Feb 2012
XINJ93
SHEN82
12 Feb 2012
XINJ97
SHEN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
W
116-97
116
97
+19
119avg 104
H18/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
103-83
103
83
+20
105avg 104
H20/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
137-120
137
120
+17
140avg 104
A23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
109-118
109
118
-9
96avg 104
A25/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
no box
H09/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
W
105-89
105
89
+16
no box
H11/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
H15/02
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
110-103
110
103
+7
98avg 104
A05/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 104
A08/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
87-106
87
106
-19
76avg 104
H10/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-27
26-20
24-26
32-24
28-19
29-30
25-21
21-13
35-31
32-23
36-29
34-37
19-34
27-32
39-20
24-32
28-21
23-25
26-22
25-15
32-23
22-31
22-13
29-22
16-13
26-25
19-22
19-29
33-23
26-35
24-16
27-29
34-18
29-14
19-23
19-24
18-29
18-28
23-25
28-24
201.7Avg total
105.0Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)110.1102.2212.4+7.970%
Season at home (20)115.5104.5220.1+11.085%
Season away (17)103.899.5203.3+4.253%
Last 10 (10)105.096.7201.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)96.693.2189.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.591.5176.0-7.00%
vs Similar (14)108.3104.4212.7+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)112.598.2210.7+14.379%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
W
115-99
115
99
+16
116avg 96
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
112-115
112
115
-3
108avg 96
A13/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
108-101
108
101
+7
105avg 96
H15/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
118-96
118
96
+22
124avg 96
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
102-112
102
112
-10
99avg 96
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
79avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
110avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
104-86
104
86
+18
98avg 96
A08/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
105-97
105
97
+8
100avg 96
A10/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
28-36
33-17
25-20
46-21
21-41
25-25
20-28
32-30
30-17
27-23
19-31
29-23
39-20
24-25
26-28
23-28
33-31
32-24
14-29
16-30
23-35
24-22
23-17
34-19
32-27
20-39
32-24
30-31
28-42
31-18
26-18
31-24
24-18
26-22
23-22
29-28
28-31
23-17
25-21
211.1Avg total
108.3Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)104.8106.5211.2-1.739%
Season at home (19)105.0102.8207.8+2.247%
Season away (19)104.5110.1214.6-5.632%
Last 10 (10)108.3102.8211.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)105.6101.0206.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)96.3103.4199.7-7.121%
vs Similar (1)108.0101.0209.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (10)114.4102.8217.2+11.680%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
XinjiangShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H18/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H20/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A25/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H11/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/02
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A05/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
A08/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H10/03
CBA
103.6Avg total
53.5Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.850.7107.4+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.851.8108.6+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)56.749.2105.9+7.577%-
Last 10 (10)53.550.1103.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)50.847.898.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.036.584.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (14)56.153.5109.6+2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)58.649.9108.5+8.886%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A13/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
68-43
68
43
+25
H17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A19/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
39-65
39
65
-26
A22/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H25/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A06/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A08/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A10/03
CBA
114.3Avg total
58.5Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.254.0108.2+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.252.9107.2+1.347%-
Last 30 away (13)54.155.5109.5-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)58.555.8114.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)55.057.0112.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)50.654.4105.1-3.826%-
vs Similar (1)62.047.0109.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)60.154.0114.1+6.180%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.725.8
50.9%
52.6%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.812.0
33.5%
35.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.217.9
80.6%
76.3%17.9
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.030.1
55.7%
52.6%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.0
37.9%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.817.1
75.0%
76.3%17.1
They take 80.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
LWWLWWLWWW
Shenzhen
WWWWLLWWLW
#5
League position
#13
+4.9
Net rating
+5.5
111.0
Offensive rating
110.8
106.0
Defensive rating
105.3
50.6%
Effective FG%
56.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
37.9%
72.2%
Assist %
70.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 110.8Defence106.0 · 105.3Shooting50.6% · 56.1%3-point %33.5% · 37.9%Ball care16.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds32.6% · 22.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Xinjiang wins
3
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Shenzhen v Xinjiang118-109
27/11/24Shenzhen v Xinjiang80-114
15/10/24Xinjiang v Shenzhen130-117
14/03/24Shenzhen v Xinjiang97-102
17/01/24Xinjiang v Shenzhen98-101
15/11/23Xinjiang v Shenzhen99-91
07/11/23Shenzhen v Xinjiang91-104
11/01/23Xinjiang v Shenzhen92-91 OT
17/12/22Shenzhen v Xinjiang96-88
13/10/22Shenzhen v Xinjiang91-92
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HGuangdong87-106
08/03/25AJiangsu Dragons101-79
05/03/25ANingbo Rockets110-103
15/02/25HShanghai80-89
11/02/25HShanxi Zhongyu105-89
09/02/25HZhejiang Chouzhou102-83
25/01/25AShenzhen109-118
23/01/25AJilin137-120
20/01/25HQingdao103-83
18/01/25HGuangzhou116-97
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25ASichuan105-97
08/03/25AGuangzhou104-86
06/03/25AJiangsu Dragons115-109
25/01/25HXinjiang118-109
22/01/25ABeijing86-104
19/01/25ABeijing Royal Fighters102-112
17/01/25HJilin118-96
15/01/25HNanjing Tongxi108-101
13/01/25AJilin112-115
11/01/25HShandong115-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWLWWL85%
AwayWWLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %70%85%53%
Points / game110.1115.5103.8
Allowed / game102.2104.599.5
Point differential+7.9+11.1+4.2
Avg total212.4220.1203.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW39%
HomeLWWWW47%
AwayLLWWW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %39%47%32%
Points / game104.8105.0104.5
Allowed / game106.5102.8110.1
Point differential-1.7+2.2-5.6
Avg total211.2207.8214.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3933685%103.992.6+11.2
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3829976%114.0107.6+6.4
3 Xinjiang37261170%110.1102.2+7.9
4 Beijing39271269%102.396.3+5.9
5 Shandong38261268%104.5100.0+4.5
6 Guangdong39261367%104.997.4+7.5
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou39251464%112.8105.1+7.7
8 Liaoning39251464%105.199.6+5.5
9 Qingdao39251464%104.1100.0+4.1
10 Shanghai38241463%110.8102.3+8.6
11 Beijing Royal Fighters37211657%106.8102.1+4.7
12 Nanjing Tongxi39192049%106.1107.6-1.5
13 Shenzhen38152339%104.8106.5-1.7
14 Jilin39132633%102.5111.1-8.7
15 Tianjin39112828%102.2111.2-9.0
16 Ningbo Rockets39102926%103.6113.8-10.3
17 Guangzhou3993023%96.9107.3-10.4
18 Sichuan3983121%99.7109.9-10.2
19 Fujian3873118%103.4115.3-11.9
20 Jiangsu Dragons3863216%93.4103.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Xinjiang28312930118
Shenzhen32152728102
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