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Youngstown State vs Northern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-58
0-0 35-15 0-0 29-43
Position#227
Record14-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game73.2
Youngstown State 🏆
USA
vs
Northern Kentucky
USA
Position#130
Record17-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Youngstown State v Northern Kentucky
22 Feb 2026
YOUN64
NORT58
08 Jan 2025
YOUN72
NORT61
28 Jan 2024
YOUN82
NORT52
06 Mar 2023
YOUN63
NORT75
04 Feb 2023
YOUN74
NORT56
13 Jan 2022
YOUN67
NORT68
22 Feb 2020
YOUN59
NORT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Youngstown State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Youngstown StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#94
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A17/01
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H24/01
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H30/01
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
90-61
90
61
+29
A05/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H07/02
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A13/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
106-82
106
82
+24
H18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-42
0-0
40-51
0-0
28-28
0-0
50-52
0-0
38-32
0-0
50-49
0-0
30-32
0-0
34-33
0-0
34-39
0-0
51-37
0-0
45-29
0-0
45-32
0-0
30-41
0-0
36-31
0-0
44-39
0-0
42-43
0-0
29-37
0-0
41-39
0-0
52-38
0-0
54-44
158.4Avg total
81.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.473.2153.5+7.250%
Season at home (15)82.968.6151.5+14.367%
Season away (13)77.578.5155.9-1.031%
Last 10 (10)81.676.8158.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)83.674.6158.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.577.8154.3-1.340%
vs Weaker (14)80.969.5150.4+11.457%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A11/01
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H16/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H18/01
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A31/01
NCAA
Oakland
#212
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H07/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A12/02
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-51
0-0
43-29
0-0
52-37
0-0
44-34
0-0
34-41
0-0
47-40
0-0
36-48
0-0
44-40
0-0
38-44
0-0
39-46
0-0
30-29
0-0
35-47
0-0
31-35
0-0
41-37
0-0
36-31
0-0
31-31
0-0
27-36
0-0
57-45
0-0
42-33
0-0
45-38
160.5Avg total
80.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.176.6159.7+6.561%
Season at home (16)88.274.7162.9+13.675%
Season away (12)76.279.2155.3-3.042%
Last 10 (10)80.779.8160.5+0.940%
Last 5 (5)77.475.4152.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.068.0131.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.484.4160.9-8.029%
vs Weaker (20)83.274.3157.5+8.870%
This opponent (Youngstown State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
Youngstown StateNorthern Kentucky
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Youngstown StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#94
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A16/01
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A17/01
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H24/01
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H30/01
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A05/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H07/02
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/02
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A15/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H18/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.570.4+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.232.771.9+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)34.634.368.9+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.773.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.876.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.536.271.7-0.760%-
vs Weaker (14)37.831.469.2+6.457%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/01
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H16/01
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A12/02
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H19/02
NCAA
74.6Avg total
36.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.075.5+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.234.075.2+7.259%-
Last 30 away (13)37.438.575.9-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.574.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.232.866.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.033.060.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.639.976.4-3.329%-
vs Weaker (20)40.035.475.3+4.660%-
This opponent (Youngstown State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Youngstown State wins
7
Northern Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Northern Kentucky v Youngstown State94-79
01/03/25Northern Kentucky v Youngstown State88-79
08/01/25Youngstown State v Northern Kentucky72-61
28/01/24Youngstown State v Northern Kentucky82-52
05/01/24Northern Kentucky v Youngstown State79-76
07/03/23Youngstown State v Northern Kentucky63-75
05/02/23Youngstown State v Northern Kentucky74-56
02/12/22Northern Kentucky v Youngstown State77-73 OT
27/02/22Northern Kentucky v Youngstown State75-61
14/01/22Youngstown State v Northern Kentucky67-68
Youngstown Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HCleveland State106-82
15/02/26ADetroit70-76
13/02/26AOakland86-82
07/02/26HRobert Morris66-72
05/02/26AIPFW90-61
30/01/26HIU Indy85-76
24/01/26HWisc. Milwaukee64-65
22/01/26HWisc. Green Bay88-81
17/01/26ACleveland State78-80
16/01/26AWright State83-93
Northern Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HIPFW87-71
12/02/26AIU Indy84-81
07/02/26HWisc. Milwaukee67-62
05/02/26HWisc. Green Bay84-87 OT
01/02/26AOakland65-76
31/01/26ADetroit77-90
24/01/26AWright State80-88
18/01/26HRobert Morris89-92 OT
16/01/26HDetroit96-71
11/01/26AWisc. Green Bay78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Youngstown State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%67%31%
Points / game80.482.977.5
Allowed / game73.268.678.5
Point differential+7.2+14.3-1.0
Avg total153.5151.5155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %61%75%42%
Points / game83.188.276.2
Allowed / game76.674.779.2
Point differential+6.5+13.6-3.0
Avg total159.7162.9155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Robert Morris28181064%78.173.6+4.4
2 Northern Kentucky28171161%83.176.6+6.5
3 Wright State28171161%79.274.1+5.2
4 IPFW28151354%78.477.2+1.1
5 Wisc. Green Bay30161453%74.875.2-0.4
6 Detroit27141352%77.778.5-0.9
7 Youngstown State28141450%80.473.2+7.2
8 Oakland28141450%82.281.7+0.5
9 Cleveland State28111739%80.685.4-4.8
10 Wisc. Milwaukee29111838%76.979.9-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Youngstown State03502964
Northern Kentucky01504358
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