Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 104-78

33-19 15-16 31-25 25-18

Position#2

Record15-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game72.5

Zagreb 🏆

Kastela

Position#14

Record2-14

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game86.6

Premijer ligaRound 19

Other2015-16

Meetings · Zagreb v Kastela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zagreb winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zagreb

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

74-69

A23/01

Premijer liga

BC Prievidza

62-90

-28

A26/01

Alpe Adria Cup

Osijek

#11

101-70

101

+31

H31/01

Premijer liga

Kvarner

86-66

+20

A03/02

Alpe Adria Cup

Alkar

#10

92-79

+13

A06/02

Premijer liga

Kvarner

92-84

H13/02

Premijer liga

Kvarner

101-88

101

+13

H23/02

Alpe Adria Cup

GKK Sibenik

#13

89-82

A27/02

Premijer liga

Helios Domzale

65-84

-19

A01/03

Alpe Adria Cup

BC Prievidza

94-73

+21

A02/03

Alpe Adria Cup

20-20

23-14

15-18

16-17

11-18

13-25

26-23

12-24

29-17

21-14

29-22

22-17

23-16

22-24

22-16

19-10

21-23

20-18

25-19

26-19

25-21

22-21

24-18

21-24

29-21

18-27

28-22

26-18

28-20

22-19

21-21

18-22

23-21

20-16

9-24

13-23

24-13

25-22

23-18

22-20

164.1Avg total

85.6Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	85.2	72.5	157.8	+12.7	88%
Season at home (8)	87.6	73.8	161.4	+13.9	88%
Season away (9)	83.1	71.4	154.6	+11.7	89%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	78.5	164.1	+7.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	82.2	170.4	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.8	83.7	160.5	-6.8	50%
vs Similar (3)	75.3	72.7	148.0	+2.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	86.2	73.2	159.5	+13.0	86%

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

78-86

-8

A28/11

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

83-73

+10

H05/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

53-70

-17

A12/12

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

69-94

-25

A19/12

Croatian Cup

Osijek

#11

76-82

-6

A09/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

86-88

-2

H16/01

Premijer liga

Kvarner

69-97

-28

A23/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

63-69

-6

H30/01

Premijer liga

Gorica

#12

66-98

-32

A06/02

Premijer liga

Split

77-84

-7

H27/02

Premijer liga

26-17

22-32

12-15

18-22

19-23

31-22

19-14

14-14

10-14

14-22

15-14

14-20

29-27

13-21

11-21

16-25

24-20

15-15

18-28

19-19

23-27

18-24

16-17

29-20

20-30

16-19

19-30

14-18

18-20

19-12

15-15

11-22

17-23

19-21

17-29

13-25

19-25

19-16

22-20

17-23

156.1Avg total

72.0Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	74.7	86.6	161.3	-11.9	12%
Season at home (8)	76.9	84.5	161.4	-7.6	25%
Season away (8)	72.5	88.8	161.2	-16.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.0	84.1	156.1	-12.1	10%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	87.2	159.4	-15.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	75.0	86.7	161.7	-11.8	15%
vs Similar (8)	78.6	86.6	165.2	-8.0	38%
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	0.0	20.0	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZagrebKastela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	17.1	39.1	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	17.1	40.0	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	17.1	38.3	+4.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.2	45.0	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	14.7	36.3	+7.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.8	16.9	39.7	+5.9	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	25.1	44.8	-5.3	8%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.0	44.4	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	24.4	46.0	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.5	40.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	22.7	39.2	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.0	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	20.1	40.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

43-34

A23/01

Premijer liga

BC Prievidza

24-43

-19

A26/01

Alpe Adria Cup

Osijek

#11

50-31

+19

H31/01

Premijer liga

Kvarner

45-40

A03/02

Alpe Adria Cup

Alkar

#10

41-41

A06/02

Premijer liga

Kvarner

47-42

H13/02

Premijer liga

Kvarner

47-48

-1

H23/02

Alpe Adria Cup

GKK Sibenik

#13

50-39

+11

A27/02

Premijer liga

Helios Domzale

43-37

A01/03

Alpe Adria Cup

BC Prievidza

49-35

+14

A02/03

Alpe Adria Cup

82.9Avg total

43.9Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	37.5	78.7	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	37.4	79.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	37.5	78.4	+3.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	39.0	82.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	40.2	87.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.2	41.7	77.8	-5.5	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.3	35.7	79.0	+7.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	42.4	36.5	79.0	+5.9	62%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

48-49

-1

A28/11

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

50-45

H05/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

24-36

-12

A12/12

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

42-48

-6

A19/12

Croatian Cup

Osijek

#11

39-35

A09/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

41-51

-10

H16/01

Premijer liga

Kvarner

36-49

-13

A23/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

37-32

H30/01

Premijer liga

Gorica

#12

36-44

-8

A06/02

Premijer liga

Split

38-41

-3

H27/02

Premijer liga

82.1Avg total

39.1Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.9	44.2	84.1	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.6	45.5	87.1	-3.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	43.2	81.7	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	43.0	82.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	43.4	81.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	38.8	44.0	82.8	-5.2	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.2	44.5	86.8	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.2	40.0	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	18.5	41.9	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	67%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	18.7	35.0	-2.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.4	17.4	39.9	+5.0	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	21.3	40.2	-2.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	22.6	39.4	-5.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.3	36.7	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.6	39.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	21.2	39.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.7	18.3	34.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.4	37.1	-3.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.8	37.3	-4.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.4	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	37.8	79.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	38.9	82.5	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	36.7	77.1	+3.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	39.5	81.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	42.0	83.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.7	42.0	82.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	32.0	37.0	69.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	43.8	36.7	80.5	+7.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.9	42.7	78.6	-6.8	21%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.7	42.4	81.1	-3.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.6	42.9	76.6	-9.3	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.9	41.1	74.0	-8.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	43.8	78.4	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.1	42.8	78.9	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.4	42.1	78.5	-5.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zagreb wins

Kastela wins

Date	Game	Score
21/11/15	Kastela v Zagreb	64-92
11/01/15	Zagreb v Kastela	85-76
11/10/14	Kastela v Zagreb	101-90

Zagreblast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/16	A	BC Prievidza	94-73
01/03/16	A	Helios Domzale	65-84
27/02/16	A	GKK Sibenik	89-82
23/02/16	H	Kvarner	101-88
13/02/16	H	Kvarner	92-84
06/02/16	A	Alkar	92-79
03/02/16	A	Kvarner	86-66
31/01/16	H	Osijek	101-70
26/01/16	A	BC Prievidza	62-90
23/01/16	A	Zabok	74-69

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/02/16	H	Split	77-84
06/02/16	A	Gorica	66-98
30/01/16	H	GKK Sibenik	63-69
23/01/16	A	Kvarner	69-97
16/01/16	H	Alkar	86-88
09/01/16	A	Osijek	76-82
19/12/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	69-94
12/12/15	A	Zabok	53-70
05/12/15	H	Jolly Sibenik	83-73
28/11/15	A	Skrljevo	78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zagreb

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LWWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	88%	88%	89%
Points / game	85.2	87.6	83.1
Allowed / game	72.5	73.8	71.4
Point differential	+12.7	+13.9	+11.7
Avg total	157.8	161.4	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	62%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kastela

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	12%
Home	LWLLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	12%	25%	0%
Points / game	74.7	76.9	72.5
Allowed / game	86.6	84.5	88.8
Point differential	-11.9	-7.6	-16.2
Avg total	161.3	161.4	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zagreb	17	15	2	88%	85.2	72.5	+12.7
2	Kvarner	16	12	4	75%	83.6	78.9	+4.8
3	Split	17	12	5	71%	79.5	73.4	+6.1
4	GKK Sibenik	17	10	7	59%	78.6	79.0	-0.4
5	Gorica	17	8	9	47%	81.1	80.1	+1.0
6	Skrljevo	18	8	10	44%	79.0	80.2	-1.2
7	Osijek	17	7	10	41%	72.3	75.0	-2.7
8	Alkar	17	7	10	41%	72.4	76.4	-4.0
9	Jolly Sibenik	17	6	11	35%	74.9	77.3	-2.4
10	Zabok	17	6	11	35%	68.0	70.4	-2.4
11	Kastela	16	2	14	12%	74.7	86.6	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zagreb	33	15	31	25	104
Kastela	19	16	25	18	78

← all games of the day

Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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