Gorica vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 98-66

23-17 21-19 29-17 25-13

Position#12

Record6-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game82.9

Gorica 🏆

Kastela

Position#14

Record2-12

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game86.0

Premijer ligaRound 16

Other2015-16

Meetings · Gorica v Kastela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

#11

107-103 OT

107

103

H21/11

Premijer liga

Split

61-86

-25

A28/11

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

95-74

+21

H05/12

Premijer liga

Zagreb

73-85

-12

A13/12

Premijer liga

Jazine

77-71

A22/12

Croatian Cup

Kvarner

70-94

-24

H09/01

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

74-78

-4

A16/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

84-88

-4

H23/01

Premijer liga

Cedevita

65-96

-31

H25/01

Croatian Cup

Jolly Sibenik

70-78

-8

A30/01

Premijer liga

24-20

24-25

25-17

12-23

20-15

13-21

8-28

20-22

28-18

25-16

22-18

20-22

16-22

12-15

21-29

24-19

17-15

16-25

27-12

17-19

6-26

24-33

18-18

22-17

29-14

15-21

17-23

13-20

27-23

21-20

19-12

17-33

18-25

15-18

14-22

18-31

16-20

14-25

21-11

19-22

162.9Avg total

77.6Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.9	82.9	164.8	-0.9	43%
Season at home (7)	87.4	84.7	172.1	+2.7	71%
Season away (7)	76.4	81.0	157.4	-4.6	14%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	85.3	162.9	-7.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	86.8	159.4	-14.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.6	84.0	159.6	-8.4	40%
vs Similar (22)	82.0	85.3	167.2	-3.3	41%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	88.0	82.3	170.3	+5.7	33%

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

83-96

-13

A14/11

Premijer liga

Zagreb

64-92

-28

H21/11

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

78-86

-8

A28/11

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

83-73

+10

H05/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

53-70

-17

A12/12

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

69-94

-25

A19/12

Croatian Cup

Osijek

#11

76-82

-6

A09/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

86-88

-2

H16/01

Premijer liga

Kvarner

69-97

-28

A23/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

63-69

-6

H30/01

Premijer liga

25-19

19-30

16-27

23-20

9-30

19-17

19-21

17-24

26-17

22-32

12-15

18-22

19-23

31-22

19-14

14-14

10-14

14-22

15-14

14-20

29-27

13-21

11-21

16-25

24-20

15-15

18-28

19-19

23-27

18-24

16-17

29-20

20-30

16-19

19-30

14-18

18-20

19-12

15-15

11-22

157.1Avg total

72.4Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	75.1	86.0	161.1	-10.9	14%
Season at home (7)	76.9	84.6	161.4	-7.7	29%
Season away (7)	73.4	87.4	160.9	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	84.7	157.1	-12.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	86.0	158.6	-13.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	75.8	85.9	161.8	-10.1	21%
vs Similar (9)	79.6	85.4	165.0	-5.9	44%
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	0.0	20.0	+20.0	100%

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GoricaKastela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.3	42.3	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	24.7	44.9	-4.5	15%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.8	47.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.5	26%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.0	23.9	45.9	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.9	39.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.4	41.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	23.7	19.7	43.3	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	20.8	42.8	+1.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.1	40.6	-3.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

#11

48-45

H21/11

Premijer liga

Split

33-36

-3

A28/11

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

53-34

+19

H05/12

Premijer liga

Zagreb

28-37

-9

A13/12

Premijer liga

Jazine

33-40

-7

A22/12

Croatian Cup

Kvarner

30-59

-29

H09/01

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

44-35

A16/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

48-43

H23/01

Premijer liga

Cedevita

33-43

-10

H25/01

Croatian Cup

Jolly Sibenik

30-45

-15

A30/01

Premijer liga

79.7Avg total

38.0Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.4	42.8	83.2	-2.4	39%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	42.5	82.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.3	43.2	84.5	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	41.7	79.7	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	45.0	82.0	-8.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.0	43.4	78.4	-8.4	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.8	43.4	84.2	-2.6	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	46.7	38.3	85.0	+8.3	67%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

44-49

-5

A14/11

Premijer liga

Zagreb

28-47

-19

H21/11

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

48-49

-1

A28/11

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

50-45

H05/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

24-36

-12

A12/12

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

42-48

-6

A19/12

Croatian Cup

Osijek

#11

39-35

A09/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

41-51

-10

H16/01

Premijer liga

Kvarner

36-49

-13

A23/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

37-32

H30/01

Premijer liga

83.0Avg total

38.9Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.2	44.4	84.7	-4.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.3	45.5	87.8	-3.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	43.6	82.1	-5.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	44.1	83.0	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.9	44.4	83.3	-5.4	32%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.8	44.1	86.9	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	22.2	42.3	-2.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	21.6	39.3	-3.9	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	21.9	38.8	-4.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.2	38.0	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.8	21.7	39.6	-3.9	26%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.2	21.3	39.6	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	21.3	42.0	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	24.6	42.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.3	20.6	41.0	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	20.3	24.3	44.7	-4.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.7	37.4	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.8	37%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	42.8	84.0	-1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	41.8	79.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	41.8	77.4	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.6	40.6	81.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	41.3	44.0	85.3	-2.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.5	41.7	78.2	-5.1	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	41.8	80.5	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.7	41.6	76.2	-6.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	40.6	74.1	-7.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	43.0	76.6	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	36.9	41.6	78.5	-4.7	26%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.8	41.3	78.1	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gorica wins

Kastela wins

Date	Game	Score
28/10/15	Kastela v Gorica	72-99
12/05/15	Gorica v Kastela	87-79
21/04/15	Kastela v Gorica	97-92
28/02/15	Kastela v Gorica	97-105
22/11/14	Gorica v Kastela	109-77

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/01/16	A	Jolly Sibenik	70-78
25/01/16	H	Cedevita	65-96
23/01/16	H	GKK Sibenik	84-88
16/01/16	A	Skrljevo	74-78
09/01/16	H	Kvarner	70-94
22/12/15	A	Jazine	77-71
13/12/15	A	Zagreb	73-85
05/12/15	H	Alkar	95-74
28/11/15	A	Split	61-86
21/11/15	H	Osijek	107-103 OT

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/01/16	H	GKK Sibenik	63-69
23/01/16	A	Kvarner	69-97
16/01/16	H	Alkar	86-88
09/01/16	A	Osijek	76-82
19/12/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	69-94
12/12/15	A	Zabok	53-70
05/12/15	H	Jolly Sibenik	83-73
28/11/15	A	Skrljevo	78-86
21/11/15	H	Zagreb	64-92
14/11/15	A	Split	83-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	43%
Home	WWWLL	71%
Away	WLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	43%	71%	14%
Points / game	81.9	87.4	76.4
Allowed / game	82.9	84.7	81.0
Point differential	-0.9	+2.7	-4.6
Avg total	164.8	172.1	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Kastela

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	14%
Home	LLWLL	29%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	14%	29%	0%
Points / game	75.1	76.9	73.4
Allowed / game	86.0	84.6	87.4
Point differential	-10.9	-7.7	-14.0
Avg total	161.1	161.4	160.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zagreb	15	13	2	87%	84.5	71.1	+13.4
2	Kvarner	14	12	2	86%	83.2	76.8	+6.4
3	GKK Sibenik	14	10	4	71%	79.1	76.4	+2.7
4	Split	15	10	5	67%	77.9	72.7	+5.1
5	Gorica	14	6	8	43%	81.9	82.9	-0.9
6	Alkar	14	6	8	43%	72.4	75.8	-3.4
7	Osijek	13	5	8	38%	74.7	78.6	-3.9
8	Jolly Sibenik	14	5	9	36%	77.6	80.2	-2.6
9	Skrljevo	14	5	9	36%	77.3	80.4	-3.1
10	Zabok	13	3	10	23%	68.2	73.0	-4.8
11	Kastela	14	2	12	14%	75.1	86.0	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gorica	23	21	29	25	98
Kastela	17	19	17	13	66

← all games of the day

Gorica vs Kastela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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