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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 09 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#9
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game88.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Barcelona
09 Mar 2027
ZAL v BAR
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
ZAL83
BAR71
03 Oct 2024
ZAL74
BAR67
22 Dec 2023
ZAL80
BAR85
03 May 2023
ZAL66
BAR77
20 Oct 2022
ZAL73
BAR72
11 Mar 2022
ZAL91
BAR84
04 Dec 2020
ZAL62
BAR73
16 Nov 2018
ZAL85
BAR88
01 Mar 2018
ZAL90
BAR74
02 Feb 2017
ZAL89
BAR85
07 Apr 2016
ZAL59
BAR66
06 Nov 2015
ZAL78
BAR85
25 Mar 2015
ZAL72
BAR83
09 Feb 2012
ZAL58
BAR67
05 Nov 2009
ZAL70
BAR77
27 Nov 2008
ZAL60
BAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
29-19
23-12
25-16
23-18
16-23
16-24
33-16
16-22
18-18
25-19
21-17
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
166.7Avg total
88.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.984.0169.9+1.956%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (5)84.082.6166.6+1.460%
Last 10 (10)88.078.7166.7+9.380%
Last 5 (5)93.075.6168.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.085.0172.0+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.286.4171.6-1.260%
vs Weaker (23)93.877.9171.7+16.091%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
L
94-100
94
100
-6
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
89-113
89
113
-24
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-28
27-24
21-30
18-23
23-16
24-16
16-33
19-26
20-14
29-20
21-26
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
183.6Avg total
91.7Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.888.6179.3+2.267%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (4)89.885.2175.0+4.575%
Last 10 (10)91.791.9183.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)92.690.6183.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.3100.4188.7-12.129%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.987.3179.2+4.656%
vs Weaker (14)95.485.9181.3+9.693%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.2-2.2
Zalgiris KaunasBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.684.4+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.639.885.4+5.872%-
Last 30 away (12)43.739.282.9+4.458%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.544.588.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.644.084.6-3.420%-
vs Weaker (23)45.938.284.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A04/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
87.2Avg total
43.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.785.5+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.384.5+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)44.542.286.7+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.787.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.446.785.1-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.041.286.2+3.867%-
vs Weaker (14)45.739.685.3+6.171%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
77.1%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLWWW
Barcelona
WWWWLLWWLL
#10
League position
#9
+11.2
Net rating
-0.3
106.4
Offensive rating
104.9
95.2
Defensive rating
105.3
59.8%
Effective FG%
58.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
43.4%
3-point %
39.2%
69.0%
Assist %
50.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 104.9Defence95.2 · 105.3Shooting59.8% · 58.1%3-point %43.4% · 39.2%Ball care16.4% · 14.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
11/10/26ANevezis80-76
09/10/26ABarcelona88-81
04/10/26HLietkabelis97-68
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
11/10/26HValencia89-86
09/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas81-88
04/10/26AMurcia94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game85.988.284.0
Allowed / game84.085.882.6
Point differential+1.9+2.5+1.4
Avg total169.9174.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game90.891.689.8
Allowed / game88.691.285.2
Point differential+2.2+0.4+4.5
Avg total179.3182.8175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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