PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Dubai Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#8
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Dubai
04 Dec 2026
ZAL v DUB
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
ZAL65
DUB77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
29-19
23-12
25-16
23-18
16-23
16-24
33-16
16-22
18-18
25-19
21-17
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
166.7Avg total
88.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.984.0169.9+1.956%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (5)84.082.6166.6+1.460%
Last 10 (10)88.078.7166.7+9.380%
Last 5 (5)93.075.6168.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.085.0172.0+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.286.4171.6-1.260%
vs Weaker (23)93.877.9171.7+16.091%
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A04/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H08/10
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A11/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#20
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A13/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A15/10
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#20
W
108-90
108
90
+18
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#16
L
93-99
93
99
-6
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-12
19-15
19-28
21-16
10-21
15-19
12-21
20-20
16-25
32-14
24-26
25-23
19-20
26-19
23-17
29-23
27-26
27-19
18-29
35-25
29-23
19-32
25-10
29-14
34-22
19-31
25-24
22-13
23-26
24-18
24-26
25-23
22-31
25-19
21-26
19-22
26-18
29-20
23-23
178.1Avg total
92.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.485.1172.6+2.367%
Season at home (5)84.084.6168.6-0.660%
Season away (4)91.885.8177.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)92.785.4178.1+7.380%
Last 5 (5)99.689.2188.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.077.0145.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.883.6169.4+2.270%
vs Weaker (18)93.383.6176.9+9.778%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Zalgiris KaunasDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.684.4+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.639.885.4+5.872%-
Last 30 away (12)43.739.282.9+4.458%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.544.588.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.644.084.6-3.420%-
vs Weaker (23)45.938.284.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H08/10
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A11/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#20
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A13/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A15/10
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#20
W
64-48
64
48
+16
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
63-36
63
36
+27
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#16
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/10
Euroleague
89.6Avg total
47.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.087.4+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.443.090.4+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)43.040.983.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)47.841.889.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)52.843.496.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.341.784.0+0.650%-
vs Weaker (18)48.342.390.6+5.972%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.9
60.1%
55.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.7
37.8%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
77.1%15.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLWWW
Dubai
WLWWWWWWLW
#10
League position
#8
+11.2
Net rating
+9.9
106.4
Offensive rating
110.0
95.2
Defensive rating
100.2
59.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
11.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
43.4%
3-point %
37.8%
69.0%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 110.0Defence95.2 · 100.2Shooting59.8% · 58.9%3-point %43.4% · 37.8%Ball care16.4% · 11.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Dubai wins
DateGameScore
07/04/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Dubai65-77
14/11/25Dubai v Zalgiris Kaunas95-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
11/10/26ANevezis80-76
09/10/26ABarcelona88-81
04/10/26HLietkabelis97-68
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv97-83
27/10/26HParis93-99
24/10/26AKK Bosna93-83
22/10/26ABayern107-91
19/10/26HStudentski Centar108-90
15/10/26AOlimpia Milano101-97
13/10/26ABaskonia93-79
11/10/26ACluj-Napoca92-85
08/10/26HCrvena zvezda58-77
04/10/26APerspektiva Ilirija85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game85.988.284.0
Allowed / game84.085.882.6
Point differential+1.9+2.5+1.4
Avg total169.9174.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubai
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game87.484.091.8
Allowed / game85.184.685.8
Point differential+2.3-0.6+6.0
Avg total172.6168.6177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.