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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Unicaja Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-77
17-19 15-21 20-15 27-22
Position#4
Record10-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#9
Record7-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2017
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Unicaja
12 Jan 2018
ZAL79
UNI77
04 Jan 2013
ZAL75
UNI63
30 Nov 2011
ZAL67
UNI65
25 Feb 2010
ZAL89
UNI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unicaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
no box
H10/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
120avg 106
A14/12
Euroleague
Skycop
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
no box
A16/12
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
100avg 106
A21/12
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
72-60
72
60
+12
no box
H23/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
97avg 106
H28/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
A30/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
65-77
65
77
-12
89avg 106
A05/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H07/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
13-12
22-18
12-17
16-24
25-18
22-22
27-25
27-20
12-12
23-16
27-22
21-22
29-27
22-23
16-12
19-16
15-20
20-10
17-17
20-15
14-14
16-13
22-18
22-19
14-19
12-15
26-15
19-21
16-11
19-17
24-25
18-16
13-17
14-15
20-29
23-15
23-22
26-10
22-21
150.2Avg total
78.4Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.179.9160.0+0.262%
Season at home (7)79.181.3160.4-2.171%
Season away (9)80.978.8159.7+2.156%
Last 10 (10)78.471.8150.2+6.680%
Last 5 (5)76.669.4146.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.590.5169.0-12.00%
vs Similar (6)79.881.3161.2-1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.269.1150.3+12.186%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
102-77
102
77
+25
122avg 106
A10/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
125avg 106
H14/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
105avg 106
A16/12
ACB
Barcelona
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A20/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
102avg 106
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
89-78
89
78
+11
122avg 106
A28/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
L
67-70
67
70
-3
94avg 106
A30/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
109avg 106
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#11
L
83-85
83
85
-2
106avg 106
H04/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
96-76
96
76
+20
130avg 106
H06/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
24-20
19-17
32-25
27-26
20-22
20-18
26-18
19-21
16-21
18-17
24-22
26-24
18-21
22-19
24-19
26-20
9-22
20-11
19-18
19-22
20-25
22-11
28-20
17-21
18-9
19-15
13-25
20-21
22-20
15-10
17-16
19-19
29-20
21-26
14-20
26-18
24-20
20-10
26-28
161.7Avg total
84.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.080.7157.7-3.744%
Season at home (8)79.578.2157.8+1.250%
Season away (8)74.583.1157.6-8.638%
Last 10 (10)84.577.2161.7+7.370%
Last 5 (5)81.875.2157.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.483.9160.3-7.422%
vs Similar (11)75.777.1152.8-1.445%
vs Weaker (10)84.373.2157.5+11.170%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Zalgiris KaunasUnicaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Skycop
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A16/12
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/12
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H23/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H28/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A05/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H07/01
LKL
73.3Avg total
37.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.676.5+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.638.179.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.335.173.4+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.873.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.870.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (6)36.842.078.8-5.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.434.375.7+7.082%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A10/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#8
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H14/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A16/12
ACB
Barcelona
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A20/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A28/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H06/01
ACB
83.3Avg total
42.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.678.2+1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.637.581.1+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.739.675.3-3.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.783.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.140.777.8-3.622%-
vs Similar (11)37.641.779.4-4.127%-
vs Weaker (10)44.233.277.4+11.070%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.2
52.5%
51.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.97.9
44.1%
37.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.5
77.1%
76.3%13.5
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
51.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.7
37.6%
37.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
76.3%14.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWWWWWL
Unicaja
WLWLWWWLWW
#4
League position
#9
+4.0
Net rating
+10.5
114.9
Offensive rating
119.9
110.8
Defensive rating
109.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
13.0%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.1%
3-point %
37.6%
68.4%
Assist %
62.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 119.9Defence110.8 · 109.5Shooting56.7% · 53.6%3-point %44.1% · 37.6%Ball care17.7% · 13.0%Off. rebounds32.3% · 34.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Unicaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Unicaja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/18HNevezis94-68
05/01/18ACrvena zvezda65-77
30/12/17AJuventus78-74
28/12/17HOlympiacos74-68
23/12/17HAlytaus Dzukija72-60
21/12/17AValencia71-63
19/12/17HBamberg88-84
16/12/17ASkycop89-70
14/12/17AFenerbahce90-89
10/12/17HRytas63-65
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/18HObradoiro CAB96-76
04/01/18HValencia83-85
02/01/18HValencia74-67
30/12/17ABilbao67-70
28/12/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-78
22/12/17HOlimpia Milano74-71
20/12/17ABarcelona90-83
16/12/17ATenerife77-81
14/12/17HKhimki M.93-84
10/12/17ATecnyconta Zaragoza102-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%71%56%
Points / game80.179.180.9
Allowed / game79.981.378.8
Point differential+0.2-2.1+2.1
Avg total160.0160.4159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Unicaja
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL44%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game77.079.574.5
Allowed / game80.778.283.1
Point differential-3.7+1.2-8.6
Avg total157.7157.8157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1713476%89.179.1+10.1
2 Olympiacos1612475%76.472.8+3.7
3 Panathinaikos1712571%78.875.6+3.1
4 Fenerbahce1711665%80.173.6+6.5
5 Real Madrid1711665%85.679.2+6.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1610662%80.179.9+0.2
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv179853%80.482.0-1.6
8 Khimki M.179853%77.279.8-2.6
9 Baskonia167944%80.881.5-0.7
10 Unicaja167944%77.080.7-3.7
11 Crvena zvezda1771041%77.681.9-4.3
12 Barcelona1761135%80.678.8+1.8
13 Bamberg1761135%73.879.6-5.8
14 Valencia1751229%76.179.4-3.3
15 Anadolu Efes1751229%78.182.0-3.9
16 Olimpia Milano1741324%79.485.4-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1715202779
Unicaja1921152277
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