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Valencia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 63-71
16-19 20-15 10-20 17-17
Position#11
Record3-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#4
Record8-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2017
Meetings · Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas
04 Mar 2027
VAL v ZAL
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VAL91
ZAL87
09 Jan 2024
VAL79
ZAL84
25 Nov 2022
VAL76
ZAL80
27 Jan 2021
VAL78
ZAL79
21 Dec 2017
VAL63
ZAL71
19 Jan 2011
VAL73
ZAL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#12
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A17/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A19/11
ACB
Bamberg
#13
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A23/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H30/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
H03/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A07/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A10/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H15/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H17/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
14-26
24-21
15-18
16-13
13-24
23-21
22-21
23-20
24-21
19-11
16-31
13-20
17-15
15-19
19-18
26-16
22-14
10-20
15-23
21-25
25-21
19-23
26-25
21-21
18-15
17-14
15-23
22-26
16-14
25-16
19-30
19-15
22-15
15-18
30-16
18-24
23-19
17-21
14-27
160.0Avg total
78.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.881.0158.8-3.223%
Season at home (5)82.677.0159.6+5.640%
Season away (8)74.983.5158.4-8.612%
Last 10 (10)78.281.8160.0-3.620%
Last 5 (5)80.481.6162.0-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.083.7156.7-10.717%
vs Similar (14)81.677.5159.1+4.150%
vs Weaker (9)83.075.6158.6+7.489%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
H16/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A19/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H23/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A30/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A03/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H07/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H10/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A14/12
Euroleague
Skycop
#10
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A16/12
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
17-33
25-16
20-27
14-16
18-13
19-20
19-17
22-26
25-18
19-17
25-22
14-15
15-24
22-26
23-16
24-13
15-13
21-13
15-12
10-20
21-13
33-14
16-27
16-18
13-12
22-18
12-17
16-24
25-18
22-22
27-25
27-20
12-12
23-16
27-22
21-22
29-27
22-23
16-12
155.7Avg total
79.7Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.582.3164.8+0.262%
Season at home (6)80.083.5163.5-3.567%
Season away (7)84.681.3165.9+3.357%
Last 10 (10)79.776.0155.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)82.076.4158.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.590.5169.0-12.00%
vs Similar (5)81.084.0165.0-3.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.168.6150.7+13.587%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
ValenciaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#12
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/11
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H03/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/12
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H17/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A19/12
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
39.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.878.2+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.635.377.9+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)38.440.078.4-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.877.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.080.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.342.781.0-4.317%-
vs Similar (14)40.336.877.1+3.550%-
vs Weaker (9)40.936.377.2+4.667%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H16/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A19/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H23/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A03/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H07/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Skycop
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A16/12
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H19/12
Euroleague
74.7Avg total
36.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.277.9+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.438.580.9+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.236.075.2+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.874.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.275.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (5)37.042.879.8-5.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.235.277.4+7.083%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.3
48.7%
51.7%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.7
41.1%
37.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.114.9
82.3%
76.3%14.9
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.6
52.9%
51.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.78.0
45.2%
37.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.0
77.7%
76.3%15.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLLLWLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWWLWWL
#11
League position
#4
-5.4
Net rating
+0.9
108.8
Offensive rating
118.1
114.2
Defensive rating
117.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
57.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.1%
3-point %
45.2%
67.3%
Assist %
67.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 118.1Defence114.2 · 117.2Shooting54.0% · 57.4%3-point %41.1% · 45.2%Ball care18.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds25.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
24/02/11Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia74-80
19/01/11Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas73-59
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/17AReal Madrid72-91
17/12/17HGipuzkoa86-64
15/12/17HCrvena zvezda82-86
10/12/17AEstudiantes71-73
07/12/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-94
03/12/17HMoraBanc Andorra89-87 OT
30/11/17HOlympiacos64-72
23/11/17ABamberg82-83
19/11/17ABarcelona74-79
17/11/17ABarcelona71-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/17HBamberg88-84
16/12/17ASkycop89-70
14/12/17AFenerbahce90-89
10/12/17HRytas63-65
07/12/17HPanathinaikos80-74
03/12/17APieno Zvaigzdes75-51
30/11/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-81
23/11/17HAnadolu Efes91-83
19/11/17ALietkabelis70-66
16/11/17HBaskonia77-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %23%40%12%
Points / game77.882.674.9
Allowed / game81.077.083.5
Point differential-3.2+5.6-8.6
Avg total158.8159.6158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game82.580.084.6
Allowed / game82.383.581.3
Point differential+0.2-3.5+3.3
Avg total164.8163.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1310377%89.879.2+10.6
2 Olympiacos1310377%77.573.2+4.2
3 Panathinaikos1410471%78.776.1+2.6
4 Fenerbahce149564%80.473.7+6.7
5 Zalgiris Kaunas138562%82.582.3+0.2
6 Khimki M.138562%79.079.5-0.5
7 Real Madrid148657%84.979.4+5.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv148657%79.980.3-0.4
9 Baskonia136746%81.081.0+0.0
10 Bamberg146843%74.280.0-5.8
11 Unicaja135838%75.881.3-5.5
12 Crvena zvezda145936%75.481.1-5.6
13 Barcelona134931%80.879.5+1.2
14 Olimpia Milano134931%79.284.1-4.8
15 Valencia1331023%77.881.0-3.2
16 Anadolu Efes1331023%78.283.8-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1620101763
Zalgiris Kaunas1915201771
← all games of the day
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