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Zaragoza W vs Lublin W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 96-49
25-6 20-20 25-13 26-10
Position#3
Record8-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game63.5
Zaragoza W 🏆
vs
Lublin W
Position#17
Record2-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game58.2
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeEuroleague WomenRound 14· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Women2023-24
Meetings · Zaragoza W v Lublin W
30 Jan 2024
ZARA96
LUBL49
01 Feb 2023
ZARA58
LUBL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zaragoza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zaragoza WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#1
L
54-70
54
70
-16
53avg 65
H23/12
Liga Femenina W
Barcelona CBS W
#13
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 65
A30/12
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#10
L
66-80
66
80
-14
70avg 65
H03/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#7
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 65
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Lyon W
#13
W
63-60
63
60
+3
58avg 65
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Bembibre W
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
91avg 65
A13/01
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#8
L
56-85
56
85
-29
47avg 65
A17/01
Euroleague Women
Jairis W
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
70avg 65
H21/01
Liga Femenina W
Schio W
#4
L
59-73
59
73
-14
50avg 65
A24/01
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#5
W
79-59
79
59
+20
76avg 65
H28/01
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
9-21
11-11
11-17
9-17
25-15
16-16
16-15
13-24
20-13
18-28
15-15
18-10
17-20
18-24
18-15
19-14
28-19
6-15
10-12
21-15
18-22
25-14
21-20
21-25
11-27
11-24
13-9
18-12
18-19
20-15
15-21
16-28
16-17
10-10
17-18
19-18
25-12
16-13
19-16
136.7Avg total
67.0Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.263.5128.7+1.662%
Season at home (6)67.359.5126.8+7.883%
Season away (7)63.367.0130.3-3.743%
Last 10 (10)67.069.7136.7-2.760%
Last 5 (5)70.071.0141.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.072.2139.2-5.225%
vs Similar (6)60.565.0125.5-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)72.062.3134.3+9.790%
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lublin WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Polkowice W
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
61avg 64
A23/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
92-77
92
77
+15
87avg 64
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Pruszkow W
#11
W
78-51
78
51
+27
73avg 64
A03/01
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#7
W
76-52
76
52
+24
70avg 64
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga W
DVTK W
#6
W
56-37
56
37
+19
48avg 64
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Torun W
#8
W
90-68
90
68
+22
98avg 64
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
61-72
61
72
-11
54avg 64
A17/01
Euroleague Women
VBW Gdynia W
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
68avg 64
H20/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Lyon W
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 64
H24/01
Euroleague Women
Sosnowiec W
#5
W
80-64
80
64
+16
77avg 64
A28/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
20-21
12-20
12-18
27-26
29-18
26-14
10-19
19-9
19-15
20-15
20-12
17-13
18-18
22-9
19-12
17-10
7-10
18-9
14-8
17-17
22-15
34-19
17-17
18-15
14-26
14-16
15-15
9-26
18-18
30-24
23-13
24-18
14-28
20-21
18-18
20-14
26-17
15-16
19-17
142.3Avg total
75.7Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)58.271.8130.1-13.615%
Season at home (7)61.070.4131.4-9.429%
Season away (6)55.073.5128.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)75.766.6142.3+9.160%
Last 5 (5)77.474.0151.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)60.873.4134.1-12.612%
vs Similar (1)73.061.0134.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (11)80.361.7142.0+18.582%
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
Zaragoza WLublin W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zaragoza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H23/12
Liga Femenina W
Barcelona CBS W
#13
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A30/12
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/01
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/01
Liga Femenina W
Lyon W
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Bembibre W
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A13/01
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#8
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A17/01
Euroleague Women
Jairis W
#8
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/01
Liga Femenina W
Schio W
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A24/01
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H28/01
Liga Femenina W
73.3Avg total
36.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.167.4+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.931.666.5+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)33.834.568.2-0.862%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.973.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.075.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.041.877.8-5.825%-
vs Similar (6)29.035.864.8-6.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)35.530.666.2+4.975%-
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lublin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polkowice W
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A23/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz W
#10
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Pruszkow W
#11
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A03/01
Energa Basket Liga W
AZS Poznan W
#7
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga W
DVTK W
#6
W
24-20
24
20
+4
H10/01
Euroleague Women
Torun W
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A17/01
Euroleague Women
VBW Gdynia W
#3
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H20/01
Energa Basket Liga W
Lyon W
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H24/01
Euroleague Women
Sosnowiec W
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A28/01
Energa Basket Liga W
73.3Avg total
37.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.371.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.033.969.9+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)35.536.972.4-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.473.3+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.875.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.138.269.4-7.124%-
vs Similar (1)44.025.069.0+19.0100%-
vs Weaker (11)42.031.573.5+10.582%-
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zaragoza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zaragoza W: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.716.7
43.2%
46.7%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.5
30.1%
32.1%16.5
🏀 Free throws16.211.9
73.5%
75.3%11.9
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin W: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.417.8
44.1%
46.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.0
32.3%
32.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
75.3%14.9
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zaragoza W
WLWLWWWLWL
Lublin W
WLLLWWWWWL
#3
League position
#17
-0.4
Net rating
+11.6
85.5
Offensive rating
101.4
85.9
Defensive rating
89.8
43.8%
Effective FG%
45.7%
42.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
23.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.1%
3-point %
32.3%
69.8%
Assist %
71.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 101.4Defence85.9 · 89.8Shooting43.8% · 45.7%3-point %30.1% · 32.3%Ball care23.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds25.7% · 31.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zaragoza W   ■ Lublin W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zaragoza W wins
1
Lublin W wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Lublin W v Zaragoza W42-64
01/02/23Zaragoza W v Lublin W58-50
26/01/23Lublin W v Zaragoza W69-66
Zaragoza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HEstudiantes W79-59
24/01/24ASchio W59-73
21/01/24HJairis W71-67
17/01/24AValencia W56-85
13/01/24ABembibre W85-71
10/01/24HLyon W63-60
07/01/24AFerrol W71-69
03/01/24HEnsino W66-80
30/12/23ABarcelona CBS W66-63
23/12/23HValencia W54-70
Lublin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ASosnowiec W80-64
24/01/24HLyon W76-85
20/01/24HVBW Gdynia W80-81
17/01/24AFenerbahce W61-72
14/01/24ATorun W90-68
10/01/24HDVTK W56-37
07/01/24HAZS Poznan W76-52
03/01/24APruszkow W78-51
30/12/23ABasket 25 Bydgoszcz W92-77
23/12/23APolkowice W68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zaragoza W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game65.267.363.3
Allowed / game63.559.567.0
Point differential+1.6+7.8-3.7
Avg total128.7126.8130.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Lublin W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL15%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%29%0%
Points / game58.261.055.0
Allowed / game71.870.473.5
Point differential-13.6-9.4-18.5
Avg total130.1131.4128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W1412286%85.664.9+20.6
2 USK Prague W1412286%75.465.3+10.1
3 Schio W139469%72.066.5+5.5
4 CBK Mersin W149564%68.667.7+0.9
5 DVTK W1610662%66.464.8+1.6
6 Zaragoza W138562%65.263.5+1.6
7 ESB Villeneuve W137654%73.770.2+3.5
8 Valencia W137654%69.567.5+2.1
9 Perfumerias Avenida W137654%68.267.7+0.5
10 Polkowice W158753%72.773.7-1.1
11 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
12 Virtus Bologna W136746%70.871.8-0.9
13 Landes W134931%68.573.7-5.2
14 Lyon W134931%71.377.1-5.8
15 Sepsi SIC W1541127%64.575.3-10.8
16 UNI Gyor W1321115%73.781.1-7.4
17 Lublin W1321115%58.271.8-13.6
18 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
19 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zaragoza W2520252696
Lublin W620131049
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