Zarate vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024

Tip-off: 01:10

Final 78-69

14-19 19-13 16-15 29-22

Position#15

Record14-21

FormLWLLW

Points / game71.9

Allowed / game77.0

Zarate 🏆

Gimnasia

Position#9

Record20-13

FormWLWWW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game79.8

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Zarate v Gimnasia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zarate winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gimnasia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zarate

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZarate

Date

Competition

Platense

40-72

-32

24avg 65

H19/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

86-94

-8

80avg 65

H21/03

Liga A

Olimpico

68-82

-14

58avg 65

H24/03

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

86-77

83avg 65

H30/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

61-69

-8

50avg 65

A07/04

Liga A

San Martin

77-79

-2

70avg 65

A09/04

Liga A

La Union

#16

64-61

59avg 65

A11/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

54-67

-13

45avg 65

H27/04

Liga A

Quimsa

71-88

-17

58avg 65

H29/04

Liga A

Argentino

#17

85-78

82avg 65

H07/05

Liga A

15-18

8-20

7-17

10-17

14-26

32-19

20-22

20-27

22-22

14-15

11-24

21-21

27-19

25-24

13-19

21-15

23-21

11-18

17-16

10-14

19-26

21-22

23-10

14-21

17-14

18-21

12-13

17-13

7-21

20-20

12-13

15-13

14-16

19-25

22-22

16-25

14-24

27-22

20-11

24-21

145.9Avg total

69.2Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	71.9	77.0	148.9	-5.1	40%
Season at home (17)	73.1	77.5	150.5	-4.4	47%
Season away (18)	70.7	76.6	147.3	-5.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	69.2	76.7	145.9	-7.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	74.6	144.8	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	69.5	79.6	149.1	-10.1	20%
vs Similar (15)	75.4	72.3	147.7	+3.1	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGimnasia

Date

Competition

Union De Santa Fe

#19

98-95

98avg 68

A18/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

79-88

-9

70avg 68

A21/03

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

85-82

78avg 68

H28/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

87-83

77avg 68

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

83-71

+12

70avg 68

H04/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

89-79

+10

88avg 68

H08/04

Liga A

Penarol

#11

79-86

-7

64avg 68

H27/04

Liga A

Regatas

#10

79-63

+16

70avg 68

H01/05

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

78-68

+10

75avg 68

H04/05

Liga A

Platense

102-69

102

+33

106avg 68

A09/05

Liga A

29-18

22-24

18-27

29-26

22-19

13-17

16-30

28-22

23-18

25-24

23-23

14-17

25-20

16-17

25-22

21-24

15-12

20-16

23-30

25-13

22-16

20-20

23-26

24-17

21-15

19-25

19-21

20-25

18-13

12-23

23-11

26-16

19-21

22-11

20-16

17-20

26-9

17-24

32-11

27-25

164.3Avg total

85.9Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	83.0	79.8	162.8	+3.2	61%
Season at home (18)	84.9	74.6	159.5	+10.3	83%
Season away (15)	80.7	86.0	166.7	-5.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	78.4	164.3	+7.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	73.0	158.4	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.5	88.0	172.5	-3.5	0%
vs Similar (15)	80.7	74.5	155.1	+6.2	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	85.9	84.4	170.3	+1.5	58%

This opponent (Zarate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZarateGimnasia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.8	38.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	20.2	34.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.1	39.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.6	41.3	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	16.1	38.1	+5.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	14.8	36.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.9	16.9	35.8	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.7	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.8	37.9	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.5	13%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.8	39.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.1	18.2	39.2	+2.9	58%	-

ZarateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Platense

23-38

-15

H19/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

46-45

H21/03

Liga A

Olimpico

36-37

-1

H24/03

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

52-43

H30/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

34-39

-5

A07/04

Liga A

San Martin

40-48

-8

A09/04

Liga A

La Union

#16

35-35

A11/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

27-41

-14

H27/04

Liga A

Quimsa

33-41

-8

H29/04

Liga A

Argentino

#17

41-46

-5

H07/05

Liga A

78.0Avg total

36.7Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	39.7	76.5	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.5	40.4	76.9	-3.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	39.1	76.2	-1.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	41.3	78.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.2	77.4	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.9	41.9	77.8	-5.9	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.8	37.5	75.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Union De Santa Fe

#19

51-42

A18/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

35-36

-1

A21/03

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

48-42

H28/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

41-37

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

35-28

H04/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

42-36

H08/04

Liga A

Penarol

#11

40-40

H27/04

Liga A

Regatas

#10

30-36

-6

H01/05

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

41-32

H04/05

Liga A

Platense

43-33

+10

A09/05

Liga A

76.8Avg total

40.6Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.4	79.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.4	74.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	50.5	95.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.3	36.5	74.7	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.5	38.9	82.4	+4.6	67%	-

This opponent (Zarate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	17.2	35.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	17.5	34.8	-0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	16.7	32.4	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	13.8	31.6	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.9	17.5	34.4	-0.7	47%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.3	19.5	43.8	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.7	18.9	41.5	+3.8	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.6	22.7	44.2	-1.1	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.8	36.4	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	18.2	34.6	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.6	35.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.7	20.2	36.9	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.1	38.4	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	23.1	41.9	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.5	43.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.7	19.1	38.9	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	36.1	71.3	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.2	37.0	73.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	35.2	69.7	-0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.5	35.4	67.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	32.4	67.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	33.5	37.7	71.3	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.0	34.4	71.4	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	41.0	82.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	37.6	82.2	+6.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	44.9	83.1	-6.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	42.2	87.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	37.6	83.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	37.5	77.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.4	38.0	80.4	+4.4	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	41.4	44.8	86.2	-3.3	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zarate wins

Gimnasia wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/23	Gimnasia v Zarate	88-71

Zaratelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/24	H	Argentino	85-78
29/04/24	H	Quimsa	71-88
27/04/24	H	San Lorenzo	54-67
11/04/24	A	La Union	64-61
09/04/24	A	San Martin	77-79
07/04/24	A	Regatas	61-69
30/03/24	H	Union De Santa Fe	86-77
24/03/24	H	Olimpico	68-82
21/03/24	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-94
19/03/24	H	Platense	40-72

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/05/24	A	Platense	102-69
04/05/24	H	Riachuelo	78-68
01/05/24	H	Regatas	79-63
27/04/24	H	Penarol	79-86
08/04/24	H	Independiente de Oliva	89-79
04/04/24	H	Instituto de Cordoba	83-71
31/03/24	H	Ferro	87-83
28/03/24	H	Obera TC	85-82
21/03/24	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	79-88
18/03/24	A	Union De Santa Fe	98-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zarate

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	40%
Home	LWLLW	47%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	40%	47%	33%
Points / game	71.9	73.1	70.7
Allowed / game	77.0	77.5	76.6
Point differential	-5.1	-4.4	-5.8
Avg total	148.9	150.5	147.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	6%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	100% (3)	43% (7)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Gimnasia

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	61%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	LLWLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	18	15
Win %	61%	83%	33%
Points / game	83.0	84.9	80.7
Allowed / game	79.8	74.6	86.0
Point differential	+3.2	+10.3	-5.3
Avg total	162.8	159.5	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	50%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	60% (5)	57% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	36	30	6	83%	85.3	78.4	+6.9
2	Instituto de Cordoba	37	26	11	70%	80.7	75.7	+5.1
3	Olimpico	35	23	12	66%	83.9	76.0	+7.9
4	Boca Juniors	34	21	13	62%	81.6	75.4	+6.3
5	Obras Sanitarias	34	21	13	62%	85.6	85.2	+0.4
6	San Martin	36	22	14	61%	76.3	72.4	+3.8
7	Gimnasia	33	20	13	61%	83.0	79.8	+3.2
8	Platense	35	21	14	60%	79.2	78.2	+1.0
9	San Lorenzo	34	20	14	59%	75.4	72.4	+3.0
10	Obera TC	35	19	16	54%	80.0	80.1	-0.2
11	Regatas	36	17	19	47%	77.0	76.9	+0.1
12	Penarol	36	17	19	47%	79.0	80.4	-1.4
13	Ferro	34	14	20	41%	77.0	80.9	-3.9
14	Riachuelo	37	15	22	41%	80.9	82.2	-1.4
15	Zarate	35	14	21	40%	71.9	77.0	-5.1
16	Independiente de Oliva	34	12	22	35%	78.6	81.7	-3.1
17	La Union	36	12	24	33%	77.7	81.2	-3.4
18	Argentino	37	10	27	27%	73.6	80.6	-7.0
19	Comunicaciones Mercedes	34	9	25	26%	79.7	84.6	-4.9
20	Union De Santa Fe	36	9	27	25%	79.5	86.6	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zarate	14	19	16	29	78
Gimnasia	19	13	15	22	69

← all games of the day

Zarate vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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