Gimnasia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 79-86

21-15 19-25 19-21 20-25

Position#9

Record17-12

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game80.9

Gimnasia

Penarol 🏆

Position#11

Record14-18

FormWWLWW

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game80.1

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Gimnasia v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGimnasia

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

85-83

80avg 66

H16/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

84-77

74avg 66

H29/02

Liga A

San Martin

78-66

+12

69avg 66

H04/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

72-73

-1

68avg 66

A16/03

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

98-95

98avg 66

A18/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

79-88

-9

70avg 66

A21/03

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

85-82

78avg 66

H28/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

87-83

77avg 66

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

83-71

+12

70avg 66

H04/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

89-79

+10

88avg 66

H08/04

Liga A

23-23

22-18

24-20

16-22

11-13

28-15

29-21

16-28

25-18

11-15

22-18

20-15

26-18

19-21

17-17

10-17

29-18

22-24

18-27

29-26

22-19

13-17

16-30

28-22

23-18

25-24

23-23

14-17

25-20

16-17

25-22

21-24

15-12

20-16

23-30

25-13

22-16

20-20

23-26

24-17

163.7Avg total

84.0Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	82.8	80.9	163.7	+1.8	59%
Season at home (15)	86.1	75.1	161.2	+11.1	87%
Season away (14)	79.1	87.2	166.4	-8.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	79.7	163.7	+4.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	80.6	165.2	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.5	88.0	172.5	-3.5	0%
vs Similar (13)	79.1	77.3	156.4	+1.8	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	85.9	83.3	169.2	+2.6	64%

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Olimpico

73-82

-9

59avg 69

H05/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

79-61

+18

82avg 69

H07/03

Liga A

Zarate

#15

64-78

-14

56avg 69

H10/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

88-76

+12

79avg 69

H24/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

78-93

-15

72avg 69

A06/04

Liga A

Quimsa

80-75

73avg 69

A08/04

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

74-57

+17

74avg 69

H11/04

Liga A

San Martin

69-76

-7

60avg 69

H14/04

Liga A

Platense

99-56

+43

101avg 69

H20/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

80-75

77avg 69

H23/04

Liga A

18-16

23-17

19-24

13-25

21-11

17-18

16-15

25-17

15-22

16-25

17-15

16-16

27-22

19-25

24-21

18-8

19-21

17-19

25-27

17-26

22-18

32-23

10-18

16-16

16-21

22-10

21-9

15-17

15-15

23-14

11-20

20-27

27-19

24-16

24-13

24-8

26-14

16-22

22-19

16-20

151.3Avg total

78.4Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	77.9	80.1	158.0	-2.1	44%
Season at home (16)	81.1	77.9	159.0	+3.2	56%
Season away (16)	74.8	82.2	157.0	-7.5	31%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	72.9	151.3	+5.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	67.8	148.2	+12.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	71.2	82.3	153.5	-11.1	20%
vs Similar (18)	80.7	78.0	158.7	+2.7	50%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	75.0	161.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GimnasiaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.7	41.1	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.5	39.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.9	20.6	42.6	+1.3	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.5	39.3	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.9	17.4	38.3	+3.5	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.1	38.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	26.0	52.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.3	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

45-41

H16/02

Liga A

Argentino

#17

39-28

+11

H29/02

Liga A

San Martin

36-33

H04/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

45-39

A16/03

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

51-42

A18/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

35-36

-1

A21/03

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

48-42

H28/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

41-37

H31/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

35-28

H04/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

42-36

H08/04

Liga A

77.9Avg total

41.7Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.8	78.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	36.8	77.9	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	40.9	79.9	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	36.2	77.9	+5.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	35.8	76.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	50.5	95.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.6	38.0	80.6	+4.6	71%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

41-33

H05/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

38-29

H07/03

Liga A

Zarate

#15

31-47

-16

H10/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

46-47

-1

H24/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

36-40

-4

A06/04

Liga A

Quimsa

54-41

+13

A08/04

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

38-31

H11/04

Liga A

San Martin

38-29

H14/04

Liga A

Platense

51-35

+16

H20/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

42-36

H23/04

Liga A

78.3Avg total

41.5Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.5	79.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	38.2	80.1	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	40.9	78.9	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	36.8	78.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	34.4	79.0	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.3	38.0	77.3	+1.3	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.4	40.4	80.8	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	38.5	78.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	26.2	48.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.6	22.7	44.4	-1.1	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.4	39.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	15.8	33.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.9	23.5	39.4	-7.6	10%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	17.5	44.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.6	40.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.9	38.7	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.1	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	30%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	42.0	83.9	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	38.3	83.3	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	45.7	84.4	-6.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	43.5	85.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	44.8	89.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	37.5	77.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	42.1	39.3	81.4	+2.8	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.5	44.6	87.1	-2.1	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.3	39.6	78.9	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	39.9	76.1	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	36.1	73.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	33.4	69.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	31.9	44.3	76.2	-12.4	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	36.5	82.5	+9.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gimnasia wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
17/12/23	Penarol v Gimnasia	87-85
15/04/23	Gimnasia v Penarol	96-90
05/04/23	Penarol v Gimnasia	76-91
23/03/22	Penarol v Gimnasia	72-65
16/01/22	Gimnasia v Penarol	87-100
12/10/21	Gimnasia v Penarol	83-89
25/01/21	Penarol v Gimnasia	59-64
11/01/21	Gimnasia v Penarol	79-61
18/01/20	Penarol v Gimnasia	109-83
21/12/19	Gimnasia v Penarol	85-76

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/24	H	Independiente de Oliva	89-79
04/04/24	H	Instituto de Cordoba	83-71
31/03/24	H	Ferro	87-83
28/03/24	H	Obera TC	85-82
21/03/24	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	79-88
18/03/24	A	Union De Santa Fe	98-95
16/03/24	A	San Lorenzo	72-73
04/03/24	H	San Martin	78-66
29/02/24	H	Argentino	84-77
16/02/24	H	La Union	85-83

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/24	H	San Lorenzo	80-75
20/04/24	H	Platense	99-56
14/04/24	H	San Martin	69-76
11/04/24	H	Obera TC	74-57
08/04/24	A	Quimsa	80-75
06/04/24	A	Riachuelo	78-93
24/03/24	H	Regatas	88-76
10/03/24	H	Zarate	64-78
07/03/24	H	La Union	79-61
05/03/24	H	Olimpico	73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	59%
Home	WWWWW	87%
Away	LLLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	59%	87%	29%
Points / game	82.8	86.1	79.1
Allowed / game	80.9	75.1	87.2
Point differential	+1.8	+11.1	-8.1
Avg total	163.7	161.2	166.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	47%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	60% (5)	57% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

Penarol

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	44%
Home	WWLWW	56%
Away	WWLLW	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	44%	56%	31%
Points / game	77.9	81.1	74.8
Allowed / game	80.1	77.9	82.2
Point differential	-2.1	+3.2	-7.5
Avg total	158.0	159.0	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	44%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	33	28	5	85%	85.9	78.2	+7.7
2	Instituto de Cordoba	35	25	10	71%	80.6	75.4	+5.2
3	Olimpico	32	22	10	69%	84.0	76.0	+8.0
4	Obras Sanitarias	31	20	11	65%	85.4	85.0	+0.4
5	San Lorenzo	32	20	12	62%	75.2	71.7	+3.6
6	Platense	31	19	12	61%	79.0	77.8	+1.1
7	Boca Juniors	30	18	12	60%	81.5	75.8	+5.7
8	San Martin	34	20	14	59%	76.6	72.7	+3.9
9	Gimnasia	29	17	12	59%	82.8	80.9	+1.8
10	Obera TC	33	17	16	52%	79.8	80.4	-0.6
11	Regatas	33	16	17	48%	77.9	76.5	+1.4
12	Penarol	32	14	18	44%	77.9	80.1	-2.1
13	Riachuelo	33	14	19	42%	81.5	82.6	-1.1
14	Ferro	33	13	20	39%	76.4	80.8	-4.4
15	Zarate	33	13	20	39%	71.5	76.6	-5.2
16	Independiente de Oliva	32	12	20	38%	78.4	81.2	-2.7
17	La Union	34	10	24	29%	76.8	81.3	-4.4
18	Comunicaciones Mercedes	31	9	22	29%	79.9	83.7	-3.7
19	Argentino	32	8	24	25%	73.5	80.3	-6.8
20	Union De Santa Fe	33	8	25	24%	79.0	86.5	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gimnasia	21	19	19	20	79
Penarol	15	25	21	25	86

← all games of the day

Gimnasia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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