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Zenit Petersburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-71
31-16 12-19 11-25 25-11
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game70.0
Zenit Petersburg 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2021
Meetings · Zenit Petersburg v Bayern
14 Oct 2021
ZPE79
BAY71
16 Dec 2020
ZPE79
BAY75
24 Jan 2018
ZPE78
BAY80
12 Oct 2016
ZPE80
BAY77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zenit Petersburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPetersburg
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#2
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
no box
H19/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
75avg 76
A22/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A24/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A18/09
VTB Super Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
A19/09
VTB Super Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
H26/09
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
65avg 76
A01/10
Euroleague
Astana
#12
L
69-83
69
83
-14
57avg 76
H04/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
70-64
70
64
+6
61avg 76
A07/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 76
A12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
16-21
20-20
24-16
13-17
25-27
26-26
18-26
26-26
14-19
18-21
13-19
23-23
23-18
19-16
18-19
10-21
19-13
21-25
23-22
20-11
14-18
20-15
21-16
18-22
15-11
18-16
19-20
15-25
29-14
11-26
14-18
21-16
19-18
15-17
15-13
14-21
17-15
21-23
15-18
156.2Avg total
76.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.070.0139.0-1.067%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)69.070.0139.0-1.067%
Last 10 (10)76.779.5156.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)70.270.6140.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.279.3155.6-3.144%
vs Weaker (13)84.369.1153.4+15.285%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 76
A09/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
76-66
76
66
+10
71avg 76
A10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 76
H12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 76
H13/06
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
H26/09
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
68avg 76
A30/09
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H03/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 76
H07/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
96-80
96
80
+16
91avg 76
H10/10
BBL
Unics Kazan
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 76
A12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
22-21
19-23
27-21
20-7
15-19
17-24
24-16
18-19
19-18
19-22
13-22
9-21
21-17
22-20
27-28
20-23
23-12
15-20
17-20
18-25
14-15
26-14
10-15
19-21
23-24
32-18
24-14
15-16
18-28
14-19
25-17
30-17
27-25
21-20
18-18
19-12
18-14
13-19
20-28
158.4Avg total
79.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)72.080.0152.0-8.00%
Season away (2)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)79.778.7158.4+1.030%
Last 5 (5)80.875.8156.6+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.083.7157.7-9.717%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.681.1161.6-0.550%
vs Weaker (5)94.885.8180.6+9.080%
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
Zenit PetersburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H19/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A24/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A18/09
VTB Super Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A19/09
VTB Super Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/09
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A01/10
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/10
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/10
Euroleague
74.0Avg total
36.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.176.2+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.177.6+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.736.274.9+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.474.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.270.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.034.063.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.238.176.4+0.138%-
vs Weaker (13)43.233.877.1+9.4100%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A09/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H13/06
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H26/09
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A30/09
Euroleague
Bamberg
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H03/10
German Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H07/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H10/10
BBL
Unics Kazan
#9
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A12/10
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
38.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.880.7-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.741.581.2-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.180.2+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.876.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.240.374.5-6.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.041.380.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (5)49.638.688.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zenit Petersburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zenit Petersburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.217.1
56.6%
52.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.5
37.1%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.2
67.4%
77.2%12.2
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
52.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.0
37.3%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.915.5
82.0%
77.2%15.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zenit Petersburg
LWLWWLWLLW
Bayern
LWLWLLLLWL
#4
League position
#11
+2.5
Net rating
+2.0
110.6
Offensive rating
108.6
108.1
Defensive rating
106.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.1%
3-point %
37.3%
61.3%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 108.6Defence108.1 · 106.6Shooting56.2% · 53.4%3-point %37.1% · 37.3%Ball care18.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds28.6% · 29.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Zenit Petersburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zenit Petersburg wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
13/01/21Bayern v Zenit Petersburg82-80
16/12/20Zenit Petersburg v Bayern79-75
24/01/18Zenit Petersburg v Bayern78-80
17/01/18Bayern v Zenit Petersburg95-78
16/11/16Bayern v Zenit Petersburg88-99
12/10/16Zenit Petersburg v Bayern80-77
Zenit Petersburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/21ACSKA Moscow67-77
07/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas70-64
04/10/21HAstana69-83
01/10/21AUnics Kazan70-69
26/09/21HBC Kalev/Cramo75-60
19/09/21ACSKA Moscow73-81
18/09/21AUnics Kazan83-76
24/05/21ACSKA Moscow71-85
22/05/21ACSKA Moscow82-96
19/05/21HCSKA Moscow107-104 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/21AUnics Kazan70-73
10/10/21HBasketball Braunschweig96-80
07/10/21HBarcelona72-80
03/10/21HBamberg98-77
30/09/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-69
26/09/21HUlm83-86 OT
13/06/21HAlba Berlin79-86
12/06/21HAlba Berlin69-81
10/06/21AAlba Berlin76-66
09/06/21AAlba Berlin86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zenit Petersburg
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
Home--
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game69.0-69.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total139.0-139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.072.069.0
Allowed / game74.080.071.0
Point differential-4.0-8.0-2.0
Avg total144.0152.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona330100%85.071.3+13.7
2 Olimpia Milano330100%81.770.0+11.7
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne330100%78.072.0+6.0
4 Olympiacos32167%75.765.7+10.0
5 Crvena zvezda32167%68.361.7+6.7
6 Real Madrid32167%81.376.3+5.0
7 Monaco32167%83.079.0+4.0
8 CSKA Moscow32167%83.782.3+1.3
9 Zenit Petersburg32167%69.070.0-1.0
10 Unics Kazan31233%74.076.0-2.0
11 Panathinaikos31233%77.781.0-3.3
12 Fenerbahce31233%72.777.3-4.7
13 Alba Berlin31233%71.779.0-7.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%68.075.3-7.3
15 Baskonia31233%65.077.3-12.3
16 Bayern3030%70.074.0-4.0
17 Anadolu Efes3030%79.385.7-6.3
18 Zalgiris Kaunas3030%67.077.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zenit Petersburg3112112579
Bayern1619251171
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