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Zielona Gora vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 72-80
12-15 20-23 19-18 21-24
Position#36
Record2-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Aris 🏆
Position#39
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game72.6
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 8
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koszalin
#13
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H27/10
Energa Basket Liga
Avellino
#32
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H31/10
Champions League
Krosno
#15
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H03/11
Energa Basket Liga
Oostende
#35
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A07/11
Champions League
Rosa Radom
#5
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Nanterre
#15
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A14/11
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#17
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#16
W
95-78
95
78
+17
A03/12
Energa Basket Liga
Nymburk
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H06/12
Champions League
Gdynia
#9
W
71-70 OT
71
70
+1
A09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
33-11
28-24
18-20
19-21
23-17
22-15
26-26
24-26
26-19
26-13
24-18
22-23
12-17
23-19
21-23
17-31
17-18
22-13
24-10
15-28
18-20
23-22
26-25
14-15
22-26
24-14
19-15
19-22
31-12
20-21
25-23
23-30
22-25
22-16
15-17
16-20
15-14
17-18
17-13
164.8Avg total
85.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.678.3153.9-2.729%
Season at home (3)81.778.7160.3+3.067%
Season away (4)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.978.9164.8+7.070%
Last 5 (5)81.880.2162.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.581.8160.2-3.225%
vs Similar (5)79.677.2156.8+2.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)83.075.0157.9+8.070%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
55-80
55
80
-25
H29/10
Basket League
Bonn
#31
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H31/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#5
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H05/11
Greek Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A07/11
Champions League
PAOK
#3
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A11/11
Basket League
Avellino
#32
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H14/11
Champions League
Ifaistos Limnou
#11
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H18/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
40-70
40
70
-30
A02/12
Basket League
Oostende
#35
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A05/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
H10/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
10-23
21-17
10-18
18-16
21-13
14-24
16-22
8-14
14-14
10-9
17-19
22-15
11-25
14-20
14-23
18-18
13-13
8-23
18-9
12-12
13-15
14-17
20-12
10-18
23-9
17-12
21-21
19-12
10-20
6-24
5-14
20-19
12-19
21-15
14-16
17-21
15-27
17-16
21-24
129.8Avg total
59.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.672.6139.1-6.043%
Season at home (4)67.064.2131.2+2.875%
Season away (3)66.083.7149.7-17.70%
Last 10 (10)59.870.0129.8-10.220%
Last 5 (5)61.468.6130.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)66.475.5141.8-9.132%
vs Similar (5)68.872.8141.6-4.040%
vs Weaker (5)71.070.6141.6+0.460%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
Zielona GoraAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koszalin
#13
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/10
Energa Basket Liga
Avellino
#32
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H31/10
Champions League
Krosno
#15
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H03/11
Energa Basket Liga
Oostende
#35
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A07/11
Champions League
Rosa Radom
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Nanterre
#15
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A14/11
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#17
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#16
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A03/12
Energa Basket Liga
Nymburk
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H06/12
Champions League
Gdynia
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A09/12
Energa Basket Liga
83.0Avg total
41.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.878.8-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.139.782.8+3.483%-
Last 30 away (18)36.339.976.2-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.983.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.481.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.843.580.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (5)38.240.078.2-1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.438.878.2+0.655%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H29/10
Basket League
Bonn
#31
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H31/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#5
L
22-28
22
28
-6
H05/11
Greek Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A07/11
Champions League
PAOK
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A11/11
Basket League
Avellino
#32
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H14/11
Champions League
Ifaistos Limnou
#11
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H18/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A02/12
Basket League
Oostende
#35
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H10/12
Basket League
64.5Avg total
30.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.272.5-1.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.834.970.7+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)34.939.474.3-4.513%-
Last 10 (10)30.034.564.5-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.464.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.438.672.9-4.221%-
vs Similar (5)36.239.475.6-3.220%-
vs Weaker (5)37.031.268.2+5.860%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zielona Gora wins
1
Aris wins
DateGameScore
11/10/17Aris v Zielona Gora70-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/17AGdynia71-70 OT
06/12/17HNymburk82-88
03/12/17ALegia95-78
18/11/17ACzarni Slupsk79-70
14/11/17ANanterre82-95
11/11/17ARosa Radom80-72
07/11/17AOostende78-82
03/11/17HKrosno100-76
31/10/17HAvellino90-79
27/10/17HKoszalin102-79
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/17HPanathinaikos70-88
05/12/17AOostende67-69
02/12/17APromitheas40-70
18/11/17HIfaistos Limnou71-60
14/11/17HAvellino59-56
11/11/17APAOK57-63
07/11/17ABesiktas61-83
05/11/17HOlympiacos49-56
31/10/17HBonn69-75
29/10/17HOlympiacos55-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Champions League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game75.681.771.0
Allowed / game78.378.778.0
Point differential-2.7+3.0-7.0
Avg total153.9160.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Champions League 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game66.667.066.0
Allowed / game72.664.283.7
Point differential-6.0+2.8-17.7
Avg total139.1131.2149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco770100%82.963.7+19.1
2 Ludwigsburg1312192%85.267.8+17.5
3 Tenerife76186%81.666.9+14.7
4 Besiktas76186%75.466.7+8.7
5 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
6 Neptunas75271%85.477.1+8.3
7 Venezia75271%84.979.4+5.4
8 Strasbourg75271%78.373.7+4.6
9 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
10 Nanterre96367%78.773.7+5.0
11 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
12 Karsiyaka106460%85.784.6+1.1
13 Oldenburg74357%90.086.3+3.7
14 Bayreuth74357%81.979.1+2.7
15 Nymburk74357%80.177.4+2.7
16 Banvit74357%78.478.7-0.3
17 Estudiantes95456%79.877.3+2.4
18 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
19 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
20 Sassari84450%80.879.9+0.9
21 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
22 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
23 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
24 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
25 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
26 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
27 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
28 Bonn94544%75.175.0+0.1
29 Juventus94544%79.986.0-6.1
30 AEK Athens73443%84.383.9+0.4
31 Avellino73443%72.772.4+0.3
32 Chalon/Saone73443%71.472.0-0.6
33 Ventspils73443%74.676.0-1.4
34 Murcia73443%78.781.1-2.4
35 Oostende73443%68.173.6-5.4
36 Aris73443%66.672.6-6.0
37 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
38 Zielona Gora72529%75.678.3-2.7
39 Hapoel Holon72529%78.785.0-6.3
40 Petrol Olimpija72529%75.682.0-6.4
41 Enisey72529%75.782.4-6.7
42 PAOK72529%71.779.7-8.0
43 Gaziantep72529%75.788.3-12.6
44 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
45 HydroTruck Radom92722%71.877.6-5.8
46 Capo d'Orlando92722%65.071.8-6.8
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora1220192172
Aris1523182480
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