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Torun vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 85-74
20-19 11-10 25-22 29-23
Position#12
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game102.0
Torun 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#15
Record0-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game90.0
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 2· Arena Torun
Other2023-24
Meetings · Torun v Zielona Gora
31 Oct 2026
TOR87
ZGO71
22 Nov 2025
TOR95
ZGO81
30 Jan 2025
TOR83
ZGO79
29 Sep 2023
TOR85
ZGO74
13 Oct 2022
TOR72
ZGO89
21 Oct 2021
TOR95
ZGO77
07 Oct 2020
TOR94
ZGO88
11 Oct 2019
TOR92
ZGO82
19 May 2019
TOR81
ZGO67
17 May 2019
TOR88
ZGO77
06 Dec 2018
TOR93
ZGO89
29 May 2018
TOR83
ZGO87
22 Apr 2018
TOR83
ZGO74
18 Feb 2018
TOR88
ZGO80
08 Jun 2017
TOR78
ZGO81
06 Jun 2017
TOR84
ZGO74
16 Feb 2017
TOR55
ZGO79
05 Feb 2017
TOR81
ZGO69
20 Mar 2016
TOR83
ZGO80
21 Dec 2014
TOR62
ZGO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zielona Gora winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Lublin
#13
L
83-104
83
104
-21
no box
A14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A19/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
W
101-99
101
99
+2
no box
A26/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
H03/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
W
106-77
106
77
+29
no box
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#13
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#16
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A30/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#14
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
85-102
85
102
-17
76avg 76
A22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
24-28
18-28
20-24
25-23
22-19
12-25
20-19
27-22
25-24
25-23
24-30
25-20
12-22
21-13
16-18
18-30
27-14
19-25
18-23
30-16
30-19
21-23
25-19
29-16
17-28
23-25
11-24
29-22
28-23
18-26
25-19
22-26
21-21
26-30
27-12
18-23
26-33
19-24
22-22
179.1Avg total
88.6Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.0102.0187.0-17.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.0102.0187.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)88.690.5179.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)93.490.2183.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.587.5165.0-9.918%
vs Similar (13)88.188.6176.7-0.546%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
80-101
80
101
-21
no box
A21/03
ENBL
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
A26/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#11
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H31/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
H08/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
101-82
101
82
+19
no box
H14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#10
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
no box
H29/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
61avg 88
A22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Siauliai
#4
W
109-83
109
83
+26
115avg 88
H27/09
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
26-16
14-31
17-20
28-19
20-26
22-19
20-17
25-27
22-23
22-15
28-22
17-31
25-25
18-18
27-23
21-21
27-17
27-27
26-17
16-24
17-22
20-22
21-18
20-11
11-25
22-24
14-25
27-17
14-29
25-24
15-17
27-27
19-23
14-29
12-11
38-19
24-22
22-18
25-24
173.7Avg total
85.8Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)85.887.9173.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)80.686.2166.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.289.4173.6-5.138%
vs Similar (10)81.683.5165.1-1.940%
vs Weaker (12)90.584.7175.2+5.875%
This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
TorunZielona Gora
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A26/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H03/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#16
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A30/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A22/09
Energa Basket Liga
92.9Avg total
47.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.886.9-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.045.286.2-4.229%-
Last 30 away (16)43.144.487.4-1.344%-
Last 10 (10)47.645.392.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.045.495.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.546.986.4-7.518%-
vs Similar (13)45.541.987.5+3.662%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A21/03
ENBL
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A26/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H31/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H08/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#10
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H29/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Siauliai
#4
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H27/09
ENBL
90.5Avg total
44.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.044.187.1-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.745.087.7-2.331%-
Last 30 away (14)43.443.186.5+0.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.890.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.886.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)44.446.490.8-2.025%-
vs Similar (10)38.944.283.1-5.320%-
vs Weaker (12)45.642.588.1+3.150%-
This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.0
58.8%
53.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.011.0
29.7%
34.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws14.010.0
71.4%
73.2%10.0
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.4
53.0%
53.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.7
32.8%
34.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
73.2%14.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun
LWWLWLWWLL
Zielona Gora
WLLLLWLWWL
#12
League position
#15
-24.1
Net rating
-12.6
105.3
Offensive rating
105.1
129.4
Defensive rating
117.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
65.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.7%
3-point %
32.8%
74.2%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 105.1Defence129.4 · 117.8Shooting51.4% · 51.7%3-point %29.7% · 32.8%Ball care20.2% · 18.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Torun   ■ Zielona Gora
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Torun wins
4
Zielona Gora wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Zielona Gora v Torun98-88
13/10/22Torun v Zielona Gora72-89
11/02/22Zielona Gora v Torun85-67
21/10/21Torun v Zielona Gora95-77
12/01/21Zielona Gora v Torun94-82
07/10/20Torun v Zielona Gora94-88
11/10/19Torun v Zielona Gora92-82
19/05/19Torun v Zielona Gora81-67
17/05/19Torun v Zielona Gora88-77
26/03/19Zielona Gora v Torun107-110
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/23ALublin85-102
03/05/23HGTK Gliwice96-89
30/04/23ABydgoszcz100-90
22/04/23HLublin80-93
13/04/23HDabrowa Gornicza106-77
07/04/23ASpojnia Stargard82-92
03/04/23HCzarni Slupsk74-73
26/03/23ASzczecin101-99
19/03/23AAnwil Wloclawek79-86
14/03/23ALublin83-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23HSiauliai109-83
22/09/23ALegia72-90
03/05/23ALegia81-87
29/04/23HSlask Wroclaw67-85
20/04/23ALancut74-86
14/04/23HSpojnia Stargard101-82
08/04/23HOstrow Wielkopolski87-97
31/03/23HGdynia97-87
26/03/23ATrefl Sopot90-81
21/03/23AOstrow Wielkopolski80-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game102.0-102.0
Point differential-17.0--17.0
Avg total187.0-187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game72.0-72.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dziki Warszawa110100%86.065.0+21.0
2 Legia110100%90.072.0+18.0
3 Lublin110100%102.085.0+17.0
4 Spojnia Stargard220100%88.573.5+15.0
5 Anwil Wloclawek110100%91.083.0+8.0
6 Szczecin110100%85.079.0+6.0
7 Dabrowa Gornicza110100%82.080.0+2.0
8 Gdynia21150%85.084.5+0.5
9 Slask Wroclaw1010%80.082.0-2.0
10 Lancut1010%79.085.0-6.0
11 Trefl Sopot1010%83.091.0-8.0
12 GTK Gliwice1010%73.084.0-11.0
13 Torun1010%85.0102.0-17.0
14 Zielona Gora1010%72.090.0-18.0
15 Czarni Slupsk1010%61.081.0-20.0
16 Ostrow Wielkopolski1010%65.086.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torun2011252985
Zielona Gora1910222374
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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