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Zielona Gora vs Krosno Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 98-84
22-27 24-18 22-17 30-22
Position#5
Record6-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#16
Record2-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game88.4
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 13· CRS Hala Zielona Gora
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Krosno
27 Dec 2025
ZGO98
KROS84
24 Apr 2019
ZGO105
KROS87
03 Nov 2017
ZGO100
KROS76
12 Nov 2016
ZGO87
KROS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Krosno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
86-62
86
62
+24
88avg 76
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 76
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
82-70
82
70
+12
80avg 76
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
48avg 76
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
67avg 76
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 76
A15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
81-95
81
95
-14
71avg 76
A22/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
W
95-63
95
63
+32
94avg 76
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
W
98-84
98
84
+14
96avg 76
H13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 76
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
24-16
17-17
21-11
18-21
22-21
18-16
17-19
13-17
23-16
20-16
26-21
19-22
16-21
16-22
15-15
17-21
11-21
22-28
21-18
23-15
31-22
25-18
12-22
23-20
26-23
16-25
16-27
21-17
22-19
28-14
24-13
21-16
27-22
24-22
26-24
26-23
27-16
17-27
21-16
161.4Avg total
83.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.278.5161.7+4.655%
Season at home (6)82.781.2163.8+1.550%
Season away (5)83.875.4159.2+8.460%
Last 10 (10)83.677.8161.4+5.860%
Last 5 (5)91.280.2171.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.282.2157.4-7.022%
vs Similar (15)81.282.1163.3-0.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.377.8166.2+10.567%
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
85-105
85
105
-20
77avg 80
H19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
71avg 80
H24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
87avg 80
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 80
A07/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
75-98
75
98
-23
60avg 80
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
91avg 80
A20/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
60-78
60
78
-18
44avg 80
H04/12
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
93-99
93
99
-6
86avg 80
A14/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
87avg 80
H18/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
61avg 80
A23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
24-30
17-31
24-19
31-14
19-27
17-21
14-26
21-19
19-15
21-18
25-18
11-24
21-15
23-23
26-23
17-19
26-26
20-23
12-30
20-22
30-22
22-22
17-26
12-22
17-13
17-22
14-21
20-18
27-34
18-27
28-20
14-17
23-24
24-17
18-21
11-23
22-21
26-19
9-19
169.4Avg total
81.0Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.988.4169.3-7.517%
Season at home (7)80.786.4167.1-5.729%
Season away (5)81.291.2172.4-10.00%
Last 10 (10)81.088.4169.4-7.420%
Last 5 (5)80.487.6168.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.588.1169.6-6.620%
vs Similar (7)81.085.3166.3-4.343%
vs Weaker (13)85.875.3161.1+10.585%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
Zielona GoraKrosno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A22/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
82.1Avg total
43.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.282.2-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.240.281.5+1.054%-
Last 30 away (17)40.841.982.7-1.141%-
Last 10 (10)43.438.782.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.438.688.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.242.880.0-5.633%-
vs Similar (15)41.342.383.5-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A07/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A20/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H04/12
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H18/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A23/12
Energa Basket Liga
83.5Avg total
40.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.984.1+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.741.384.0+1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)41.542.784.2-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.083.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.282.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.043.383.3-3.330%-
vs Similar (7)43.142.385.4+0.943%-
vs Weaker (13)43.440.684.0+2.846%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.5
56.4%
54.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.414.1
69.1%
72.7%14.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.2
50.5%
54.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.7
35.7%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.012.7
74.7%
72.7%12.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
WWWLWLLWLW
Krosno
LWLLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#16
+7.8
Net rating
-9.3
111.5
Offensive rating
103.1
103.7
Defensive rating
112.4
55.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.2%
3-point %
35.7%
65.0%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 103.1Defence103.7 · 112.4Shooting55.6% · 51.8%3-point %36.2% · 35.7%Ball care18.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds29.5% · 28.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Krosno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zielona Gora wins
0
Krosno wins
DateGameScore
24/04/19Zielona Gora v Krosno105-87
09/01/19Krosno v Zielona Gora73-87
09/04/18Krosno v Zielona Gora95-97
03/11/17Zielona Gora v Krosno100-76
04/03/17Krosno v Zielona Gora57-75
12/11/16Zielona Gora v Krosno87-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25HAnwil Wloclawek91-82
13/12/25HOstrow Wielkopolski98-84
06/12/25ACzarni Slupsk95-63
22/11/25ATorun81-95
15/11/25ALublin91-77
09/11/25HLegia71-88
01/11/25ASzczecin66-80
26/10/25HDabrowa Gornicza82-70
17/10/25HGdynia75-77
13/10/25AGTK Gliwice86-62
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ALegia68-82
18/12/25HDabrowa Gornicza92-87 OT
14/12/25AAnwil Wloclawek93-99
04/12/25HGdynia60-78
20/11/25AOstrow Wielkopolski89-92
16/11/25AGTK Gliwice75-98
07/11/25ACzarni Slupsk81-85
31/10/25HGornik Walbrzych86-70
24/10/25HTorun81-88
19/10/25HTrefl Sopot85-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game83.282.783.8
Allowed / game78.581.275.4
Point differential+4.6+1.5+8.4
Avg total161.7163.8159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
Krosno
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLWLW29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %17%29%0%
Points / game80.980.781.2
Allowed / game88.486.491.2
Point differential-7.5-5.7-10.0
Avg total169.3167.1172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gdynia129375%83.879.8+4.0
2 Trefl Sopot118373%90.281.2+9.0
3 Szczecin118373%83.380.4+2.9
4 Slask Wroclaw139469%89.283.2+6.1
5 Legia128467%84.778.8+5.8
6 Dziki Warszawa127558%91.786.9+4.8
7 Gornik Walbrzych127558%78.878.8+0.0
8 Zielona Gora116555%83.278.5+4.6
9 Anwil Wloclawek126650%89.887.3+2.5
10 Ostrow Wielkopolski126650%87.890.7-2.9
11 Dabrowa Gornicza125742%85.986.7-0.8
12 Torun135838%86.988.8-1.8
13 Czarni Slupsk124833%83.186.6-3.5
14 Lublin123925%81.292.0-10.8
15 GTK Gliwice1331023%78.488.9-10.5
16 Krosno1221017%80.988.4-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora2224223098
Krosno2718172284
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