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Zielona Gora vs Parma Perm Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-92
15-27 25-18 17-25 38-22
Position#6
Record11-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#9
Record7-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.6
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Parma Perm
08 Mar 2021
ZGO95
PPE92
05 Nov 2019
ZGO106
PPE88
18 Jan 2019
ZGO88
PPE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parma Perm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
no box
A03/02
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#8
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
A05/02
Energa Basket Liga
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
H07/02
VTB United League
Gdynia
#7
W
90-68
90
68
+22
no box
H11/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
105-79
105
79
+26
no box
H13/02
Polish Cup
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H14/02
Polish Cup
Polpharma Starogard
#16
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H25/02
Energa Basket Liga
Khimki M.
#7
W
99-94
99
94
+5
95avg 78
A28/02
VTB United League
Gdynia
#15
W
104-76
104
76
+28
no box
A03/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
93-77
93
77
+16
no box
H05/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
30-13
24-17
22-16
19-27
26-18
24-21
28-14
18-22
22-26
24-16
19-19
17-17
26-13
24-22
23-16
30-25
25-12
25-22
25-20
24-16
24-15
16-20
22-22
18-20
21-25
36-14
35-30
26-21
20-31
24-15
29-27
21-20
27-20
28-15
28-21
25-14
24-27
26-18
18-18
177.3Avg total
97.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.485.9172.3+0.558%
Season at home (8)90.988.2179.1+2.662%
Season away (11)83.284.2167.4-1.055%
Last 10 (10)97.080.3177.3+16.790%
Last 5 (5)98.481.8180.2+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.786.7163.3-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (5)89.084.8173.8+4.280%
vs Weaker (21)95.179.0174.1+16.295%
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Parma PermRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerm
Date
Competition
Astana
#12
L
83-84
83
84
-1
81avg 78
H17/12
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 78
H20/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
83-103
83
103
-20
76avg 78
A26/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
H09/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
86-52
86
52
+34
84avg 78
A17/01
VTB United League
Donar Groningen
#21
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
A28/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#17
W
85-63
85
63
+22
no box
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Khimki M.
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
68avg 78
H01/02
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
80-72
80
72
+8
81avg 78
H09/02
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
85-72
85
72
+13
81avg 78
A12/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
23-35
20-19
16-14
20-24
21-23
21-22
17-16
23-27
25-34
15-24
20-18
21-19
18-21
16-21
14-15
14-18
26-20
24-5
22-9
26-17
27-24
21-20
19-20
25-16
14-22
26-11
20-14
18-22
14-19
21-21
16-10
22-20
25-19
16-18
17-15
18-26
14-21
29-11
24-14
157.2Avg total
81.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.179.6158.7-0.547%
Season at home (8)74.081.1155.1-7.125%
Season away (7)85.077.9162.9+7.171%
Last 10 (10)81.276.0157.2+5.250%
Last 5 (5)82.472.0154.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.686.0160.6-11.430%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.678.7161.3+3.957%
vs Weaker (13)86.575.7162.2+10.877%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
Zielona GoraParma Perm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A03/02
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/02
Energa Basket Liga
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/02
VTB United League
Gdynia
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/02
Polish Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H13/02
Polish Cup
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H14/02
Polish Cup
Polpharma Starogard
#16
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/02
Energa Basket Liga
Khimki M.
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A28/02
VTB United League
Gdynia
#15
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A03/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H05/03
Energa Basket Liga
86.6Avg total
46.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.142.488.5+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.142.489.5+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.487.5+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)46.040.686.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.887.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.048.091.0-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.243.087.2+1.260%-
vs Weaker (21)47.142.089.1+5.067%-
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Parma PermLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H17/12
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H20/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A26/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H09/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/01
VTB United League
Donar Groningen
#21
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A28/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Khimki M.
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H01/02
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/02
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A12/02
VTB United League
86.1Avg total
41.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.083.1-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.541.984.5+0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)39.142.281.2-3.146%-
Last 10 (10)41.844.386.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.281.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.545.784.2-7.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.440.980.3-1.457%-
vs Weaker (13)43.839.883.7+4.069%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.6
54.1%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.4
38.5%
37.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
75.7%14.0
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parma Permtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parma Perm: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.914.9
51.6%
52.9%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.312.0
41.0%
37.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws17.313.2
76.3%
75.7%13.2
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
WWWWWWWLWW
Parma Perm
WWLWWWLLLL
#6
League position
#9
+3.1
Net rating
+5.5
113.7
Offensive rating
109.4
110.6
Defensive rating
103.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
21.6%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
41.0%
58.3%
Assist %
76.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 109.4Defence110.6 · 103.8Shooting55.7% · 56.5%3-point %38.5% · 41.0%Ball care19.6% · 21.6%Off. rebounds34.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Parma Perm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zielona Gora wins
1
Parma Perm wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/21HAnwil Wloclawek93-77
03/03/21AGdynia104-76
28/02/21AKhimki M.99-94
25/02/21HPolpharma Starogard110-89
14/02/21HSpojnia Stargard86-73
13/02/21HOstrow Wielkopolski105-79
11/02/21HGdynia90-68
07/02/21HNizhny Novgorod93-97 OT
05/02/21ASpojnia Stargard97-80
03/02/21AHydroTruck Radom93-70
Parma Permlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/21ABC Kalev/Cramo85-72
09/02/21HBC Kalev/Cramo80-72
01/02/21HKhimki M.69-72
29/01/21HDen Bosch85-63
28/01/21ADonar Groningen93-81
17/01/21AEnisey86-52
09/01/21HUnics Kazan69-76
26/12/20AKhimki M.83-103
20/12/20HZielona Gora79-85
17/12/20HAstana83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %58%62%55%
Points / game86.490.983.2
Allowed / game85.988.284.2
Point differential+0.5+2.6-1.0
Avg total172.3179.1167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Parma Perm
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%25%71%
Points / game79.174.085.0
Allowed / game79.681.177.9
Point differential-0.5-7.1+7.1
Avg total158.7155.1162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%0%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg1815383%84.571.3+13.2
2 Unics Kazan1814478%82.474.6+7.8
3 CSKA Moscow1712571%92.675.6+17.1
4 Lokomotiv Kuban1711665%85.480.1+5.3
5 Zielona Gora1911858%86.485.9+0.5
6 Nizhny Novgorod169756%79.482.1-2.7
7 Khimki M.168850%86.283.9+2.2
8 Parma Perm157847%79.179.6-0.5
9 Saratov1881044%83.785.6-1.9
10 BC Kalev/Cramo1751229%72.981.1-8.1
11 Enisey1641225%75.985.6-9.8
12 Astana1741324%75.686.5-10.9
13 Minsk1621412%72.487.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora1525173895
Parma Perm2718252292
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