Zlatorog Lasko vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 18:00

Projected 77-83

Projected total 160.0

Final 65-93

17-30 17-25 20-23 11-15

Position#7

Record3-4

FormWLWLL

Points / game69.0

Allowed / game75.3

Zlatorog Lasko

31%

69%

■ ZLA 31%■ POLZ 69%

Pythia win probability

Polzela 🏆

Position#2

Record5-2

FormLWWWL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game73.3

Liga Nova KBMRound 8· Dvorana Tri lilije

Other2026-27

Meetings · Zlatorog Lasko v Polzela

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Zlatorog Lasko host Polzela on 13 November 2026 in the Liga Nova KBM, with the Pythia model designating Polzela as the favourite and predicting a 69% chance of a win for the visitors and a 31% chance for the hosts, projecting a final score of 77-83 and a total of 160 points. In the season to date, Zlatorog have gone 3-4, scoring an average of 69.0 points and allowing 75.3, while Polzela sit 5-2, averaging 82.4 points and conceding 73.3, placing them third in the league. Zlatorog's home record is 2-2 with 71.8 points for and 76.0 against, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, notably a 60-73 defeat to Sencur away on 7 November and a 75-73 win over Helios Domzale away on 24 October. Polzela's road record stands at 3-1, with 84.2 points for and 76.0 against, and their last five games feature three wins, including a 98-82 victory over KK Triglav Kranj away on 31 October. Historically, Polzela have edged Zlatorog 6-4 in ten meetings, most recently defeating them 87-67 on 25 April 2026. The spread line is 2.0 in favour of the home team, with a 35% probability that Zlatorog will cover, while the over-157.5 line has a 55% chance of occurring, and there is a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will test Polzela's offensive consistency against a Zlatorog side that has struggled defensively this season.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlatorog Lasko winLost

30.8%fair 3.25

Best odds3.66

Implied25.2%

Edge+5.6pp

Polzela winWon

69.2%fair 1.44

Best odds1.46

Implied74.8%

Edge-5.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 18:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLasko

Date

Competition

Rogaska

80-76

64avg 67

H04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

76-89

-13

69avg 67

H09/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

74-106

106

-32

67avg 67

A17/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

72-69

62avg 67

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

61-77

-16

47avg 67

A29/09

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

86-73

+13

74avg 67

H11/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

69-93

-24

57avg 67

H14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

75-73

61avg 67

A24/10

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

60-69

-9

53avg 67

H31/10

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

60-73

-13

no box

A07/11

Liga Nova KBM

15-24

29-23

14-12

22-17

20-22

16-23

19-26

21-18

24-31

19-24

11-22

20-29

18-17

27-17

10-18

17-17

14-15

16-16

17-23

14-23

13-13

26-14

21-22

26-24

14-20

12-30

17-22

26-21

26-25

13-17

22-7

14-24

28-23

9-20

10-12

13-14

21-23

17-19

8-16

14-15

151.1Avg total

71.3Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	69.0	75.3	144.3	-6.3	43%
Season at home (4)	71.8	76.0	147.8	-4.2	50%
Season away (3)	65.3	74.3	139.7	-9.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	71.3	79.8	151.1	-8.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	76.2	146.2	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	75.8	90.4	166.3	-14.6	17%
vs Similar (7)	77.1	77.4	154.6	-0.3	57%
vs Weaker (5)	82.6	85.4	168.0	-2.8	40%

This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Polzela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPolzela

Date

Competition

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek

#11

96-68

+28

92avg 76

H04/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

58-94

-36

40avg 76

A07/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

80-86

-6

69avg 76

H10/05

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

74-59

+15

70avg 76

A26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

87-49

+38

90avg 76

H03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

81-96

-15

74avg 76

A09/10

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

84-67

+17

82avg 76

A17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

74-67

68avg 76

H24/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

98-82

+16

no box

A31/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

79-93

-14

no box

H03/11

Liga Nova KBM

22-18

29-21

24-19

21-10

22-31

8-22

10-18

18-23

23-14

19-21

15-25

23-26

20-20

24-21

17-12

13-6

25-13

23-4

22-19

17-13

25-29

20-22

14-20

22-25

21-21

13-16

24-16

26-14

25-10

13-24

21-17

15-16

39-17

24-24

17-18

18-23

21-18

15-22

23-30

20-23

157.2Avg total

81.1Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	82.4	73.3	155.7	+9.1	71%
Season at home (3)	80.0	69.7	149.7	+10.3	67%
Season away (4)	84.2	76.0	160.2	+8.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	76.1	157.2	+5.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	81.0	164.2	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	78.5	90.3	168.8	-11.8	14%
vs Similar (6)	88.2	89.5	177.7	-1.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	87.2	74.0	161.2	+13.2	80%

This opponent (Zlatorog Lasko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 150Actual: Over 150

Over 150

72.8%

@ 1.53

Under 150

27.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.53

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 155.25 · main lineActual: Over 155.25

Over 155.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 155.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160

Over 160

49.3%

@ 2.10+5.8pp

Under 160

50.7%

@ 1.66-5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Under

Bet365

1.66

Pinnacle

1.62

📊 3. Team Totals

Zlatorog Lasko total 69.5Actual: Zlatorog Lasko under 69.5

Over 69.5

76.9%

@ 1.38+11.5pp

Under 69.5

23.1%

@ 2.85-11.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.38

Bet365

1.37

Under

Bet365

2.85

1xBet

2.39

Zlatorog Lasko total 73.5 · main lineActual: Zlatorog Lasko under 73.5

Over 73.5

63.5%

@ 1.91+13.8pp

Under 73.5

36.5%

@ 2.00-13.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.73

Betano

1.70

Under

Betano

2.00

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

1xBet

1.71

Zlatorog Lasko total 77.5Actual: Zlatorog Lasko under 77.5

Over 77.5

48.2%

@ 2.41+9.4pp

Under 77.5

51.8%

@ 1.53-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.41

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.30

Under

Betano

1.53

Bet365

1.52

1xBet

1.38

Polzela total 76Actual: Polzela over 76

Over 76

75.7%

Under 76

24.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Polzela total 80 · main lineActual: Polzela over 80

Over 80

61.4%

@ 1.83+9.9pp

Under 80

38.6%

@ 1.84-9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.62

Under

1xBet

1.84

Marathon Be

1.83

Polzela total 84Actual: Polzela over 84

Over 84

45.3%

Under 84

54.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Zlatorog Lasko +5.5Actual: Polzela -5.5

ZLA +5.5

48.5%

@ 2.37+9.4pp

POLZ -5.5

51.5%

@ 1.91-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

ZLA

Pinnacle

2.37

1xBet

2.19

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

POLZ

Betfair

1.91

Betano

1.90

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.57

Spread Zlatorog Lasko +8.5 · main lineActual: Polzela -8.5

ZLA +8.5

59.7%

@ 1.85+9.3pp

POLZ -8.5

40.3%

@ 2.35-9.3pp

Best 5 market prices

ZLA

Pinnacle

1.85

Betfair

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.77

1xBet

1.73

POLZ

Betano

2.35

Bet365

2.25

Betfair

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

Pinnacle

1.88

Spread Zlatorog Lasko +11.5Actual: Polzela -11.5

ZLA +11.5

69.8%

@ 1.54+4.6pp

POLZ -11.5

30.2%

@ 2.95-4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

ZLA

Marathon Be

1.54

1xBet

1.44

Betano

1.33

POLZ

Betano

2.95

1xBet

2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Zlatorog LaskoPolzela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.3	27%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.7	27%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	23.1	44.1	-2.0	27%	67%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.0	23.1	42.1	-4.1	11%	61%
vs Similar (7)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	71%	71%
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	20%	80%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.6	42.7	+1.6	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.1	60%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	24.0	47.1	-0.9	27%	93%
Last 10 (10)	24.3	19.1	43.4	+5.2	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	26.2	19.0	45.2	+7.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.6	21.7	42.4	-1.1	29%	50%
vs Similar (6)	22.7	19.2	41.8	+3.5	67%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.0	19.8	43.8	+4.2	50%	70%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.9	42.2	-1.6	30%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.5	42.7	+1.8	60%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.3	41.6	-5.1	0%	60%
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	15.4	20.0	35.4	-4.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.4	22.9	43.3	-2.4	28%	78%
vs Similar (7)	19.1	20.4	39.6	-1.3	29%	43%
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	40%	80%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	43%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	60%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	27%	73%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.6	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.3	21%	71%
vs Similar (6)	22.2	21.7	43.8	+0.5	83%	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	50%	70%

Zlatorog LaskoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rogaska

44-47

-3

H04/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

36-45

-9

H09/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

43-55

-12

A17/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

45-34

+11

H26/09

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

30-31

-1

A29/09

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

39-27

+12

H11/10

Liga Nova KBM

Perspektiva Ilirija

26-50

-24

H14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

39-42

-3

A24/10

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

37-43

-6

H31/10

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

38-42

-4

A07/11

Liga Nova KBM

79.3Avg total

37.7Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)	40.5	44.5	85.0	-4.0	30%	77%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	42.6	84.3	-0.9	47%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	46.4	85.7	-7.1	13%	73%
Last 10 (10)	37.7	41.6	79.3	-3.9	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.8	76.6	-5.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	39.4	45.9	85.4	-6.5	22%	78%
vs Similar (7)	42.1	41.7	83.9	+0.4	43%	86%
vs Weaker (5)	42.2	43.2	85.4	-1.0	40%	60%

This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek

#11

51-39

+12

H04/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

30-53

-23

A07/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

42-35

H10/05

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

44-41

A26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

48-17

+31

H03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Sencur

45-51

-6

A09/10

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

34-37

-3

A17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Gorica

38-34

H24/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Triglav Kranj

63-41

+22

A31/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

36-40

-4

H03/11

Liga Nova KBM

81.9Avg total

43.1Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)	43.8	42.4	86.1	+1.4	57%	73%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	37.7	81.7	+6.2	73%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	43.6	47.0	90.6	-3.4	40%	87%
Last 10 (10)	43.1	38.8	81.9	+4.3	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.6	83.8	+2.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	40.9	44.2	85.1	-3.4	43%	71%
vs Similar (6)	44.8	40.8	85.7	+4.0	83%	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	47.2	40.7	87.9	+6.5	60%	70%

This opponent (Zlatorog Lasko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Polzela win

ZLA win

no forecast

@ 2.75

POLZ win

no forecast

@ 1.53

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko +1.5 · main lineActual: Polzela -1.5

ZLA +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.13

POLZ -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Over 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.98

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Zlatorog Lasko 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Zlatorog Lasko under 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.02

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Polzela 1st half total 40 · main lineActual: Polzela over 40

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half: ZLA + total 77.5

ZLA & over

no forecast

@ 4.90

ZLA & under

no forecast

@ 4.50

1st half: Draw + total 77.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: POLZ + total 77.5

POLZ & over

no forecast

@ 3.10

POLZ & under

no forecast

@ 2.95

1st half Over/Under 77.25Actual: Over 77.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko +0.5Actual: Polzela -0.5

ZLA +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

POLZ -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko +2.5Actual: Polzela -2.5

ZLA +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

POLZ -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Over/Under 76Actual: Over 76

Over

no forecast

@ 1.79

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko +3.5Actual: Polzela -3.5

ZLA +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

POLZ -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Spread Zlatorog Lasko -1.5Actual: Polzela +1.5

ZLA -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.85

POLZ +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.50

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Polzela (regulation)

ZLA

no forecast

@ 2.84

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

POLZ

no forecast

@ 1.57

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.7	37%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.9	39.3	-0.6	33%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	14.9	18.0	32.9	-3.1	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	15.6	15.8	31.4	-0.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.1	22.1	40.1	-4.0	28%	72%
vs Similar (7)	17.7	16.3	34.0	+1.4	43%	29%
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	60%	60%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.7	40.4	-3.0	33%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	22.4	39.9	-4.9	13%	53%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.8	24.6	41.4	-7.8	7%	64%
vs Similar (6)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	60%	40%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	23%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.7	39.9	-1.6	33%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	22.9	40.1	-5.6	13%	40%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.3	22.4	40.8	-4.1	22%	61%
vs Similar (7)	17.3	19.4	36.7	-2.1	29%	29%
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	20%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.5	33%	73%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	43%	79%
vs Similar (6)	19.8	25.0	44.8	-5.2	17%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.0	15.8	35.8	+4.2	60%	40%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	36.7	42.1	78.8	-5.3	23%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	40.7	79.1	-2.2	33%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	35.0	43.5	78.5	-8.5	13%	53%
Last 10 (10)	33.6	38.2	71.8	-4.6	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	34.2	35.4	69.6	-1.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	36.4	44.5	80.9	-8.1	17%	67%
vs Similar (7)	35.0	35.7	70.7	-0.7	29%	43%
vs Weaker (5)	40.4	42.2	82.6	-1.8	40%	60%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.0	81.1	-2.9	33%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	40.7	81.1	-0.4	47%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	43.3	81.1	-5.5	20%	60%
Last 10 (10)	38.0	37.3	75.3	+0.7	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.6	46.1	83.7	-8.4	14%	64%
vs Similar (6)	40.8	47.0	87.8	-6.2	17%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.0	33.3	73.3	+6.7	70%	30%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ZLA win + total 155.5

🔒 Pro

POLZ win + total 155.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ZLA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: POLZ leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ZLA:POLZ): ZLA wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Polzela +2	74.2%	1.63	Pinnacle 1.63	-	-	-	-	+18.3pp	Won
Polzela +3	77.0%	1.54	Pinnacle 1.54	-	-	-	-	+18.0pp	Won
Polzela +2.5	75.1%	1.46	Pinnacle 1.58	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	+17.7pp	Won
Polzela +7.5	86.8%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+14.6pp	Won
Polzela +6.5	84.8%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
Over 149.5	73.4%	1.52	Betano 1.52	-	-	-	-	+13.0pp	Won
Over 148.5	75.4%	1.45	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Polzela +1	70.9%	1.50	Pinnacle 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.46	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Polzela +1.5	71.6%	1.38	Pinnacle 1.53	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.24	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Polzela over 73.5	82.1%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Over 146.5	79.1%	1.37	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Polzela over 74.5	79.4%	1.34	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.31	Bet365 1.30	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko over 69.5	76.9%	1.38	1xBet 1.38	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Over 150.5	71.3%	1.54	Betano 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.55	Bet365 1.50	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko over 67.5	82.5%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Lost
Polzela +5.5	82.6%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Polzela over 75.5	76.5%	1.36	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Polzela over 77.5	70.1%	1.49	Betano 1.60	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko over 71.5	70.5%	1.52	1xBet 1.53	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko over 68.5	79.8%	1.29	1xBet 1.32	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Polzela over 69.5	90.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko over 70.5	73.8%	1.41	1xBet 1.45	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.35	-	-	+9.0pp	Lost
Over 145.5	80.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Over 147.5	77.3%	1.34	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Polzela over 72.5	84.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Polzela over 70.5	88.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Polzela over 67.5	93.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Polzela over 76.5	73.4%	1.41	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Over 140.5	88.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Polzela over 63.5	97.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Polzela over 71.5	86.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko +13.5	75.7%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Polzela over 65.5	95.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Polzela over 64.5	96.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Polzela over 66.5	94.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Polzela over 62.5	97.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Polzela over 68.5	92.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko over 66.5	84.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Polzela +14.5	95.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 130.5	96.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Polzela +3.5	77.5%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Polzela +19.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Over 135.5	93.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Polzela +4.5	80.2%	1.24	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Polzela +9.5	90.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Over 142.5	85.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Over 132.5	95.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko +15.5	80.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +20.5	90.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko +12.5	72.8%	1.32	1xBet 1.36	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Over 137.5	91.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.3%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 96.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 94.5	94.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 92.5	92.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 93.5	93.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 95.5	95.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 90.5	89.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Under 182.5	91.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Polzela under 91.5	80.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko under 91.5	91.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 88.5	86.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 86.5	81.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Under 180.5	89.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 89.5	88.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Under 177.5	85.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Polzela under 90.5	77.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Lost
Zlatorog Lasko under 84.5	76.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Under 172.5	77.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 87.5	83.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won
Polzela under 88.5	71.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Lost
Under 175.5	82.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 85.5	79.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Zlatorog Lasko under 83.5	73.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-5.7pp	Won
Under 170.5	74.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-6.4pp	Won
Over 150	72.8%	1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Over 151	70.7%	1.57	Marathon Bet 1.57	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zlatorog Laskotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatorog Lasko: 72.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	18.5	53.5%	53.4%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	7.8	33.1%	30.3%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	17.3	12.0	69.4%	70.0%	12.0

They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 80.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	19.6	49.1%	53.4%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.7	38.5%	30.3%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	18.0	12.1	67.2%	70.0%	12.1

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	22.4	59.1%	53.4%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	6.9	29.1%	30.3%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.4	70.6%	70.0%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	20.4	50.9%	53.4%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	7.4	27.9%	30.3%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.7	69.0%	70.0%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	19.3	51.3%	53.4%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.4	33.3%	30.3%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.2	72.3%	70.0%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	18.1	50.9%	53.4%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.7	37.0%	30.3%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	22.8	16.9	74.0%	70.0%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	23.4	59.2%	53.4%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	7.6	33.0%	30.3%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	24.3	17.2	70.9%	70.0%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	22.8	56.8%	53.4%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.2	32.1%	30.3%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.2	71.3%	70.0%	14.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Zlatorog Lasko

LLWLWLWLLW

Polzela

LWWWLWWLLW

League position

-8.9

Net rating

+5.5

86.2

Offensive rating

93.9

95.2

Defensive rating

88.4

51.9%

Effective FG%

52.5%

53.2%

Opp. effective FG%

47.3%

19.9%

Turnover %

14.3%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.28

33.1%

3-point %

38.5%

50.2%

Assist %

57.3%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Zlatorog Lasko ■ Polzela

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zlatorog Lasko wins

Polzela wins

Date	Game	Score
25/04/26	Polzela v Zlatorog Lasko	87-67
10/01/26	Polzela v Zlatorog Lasko	107-94
16/12/25	Zlatorog Lasko v Polzela	106-90
09/12/25	Polzela v Zlatorog Lasko	89-87
18/10/25	Zlatorog Lasko v Polzela	92-90
17/12/24	Polzela v Zlatorog Lasko	89-76
10/12/24	Zlatorog Lasko v Polzela	83-74
17/04/23	Zlatorog Lasko v Polzela	80-85
17/12/22	Zlatorog Lasko v Polzela	80-57
12/11/22	Polzela v Zlatorog Lasko	73-65

Zlatorog Laskolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Sencur	60-73
31/10/26	H	Rogaska	60-69
24/10/26	A	Helios Domzale	75-73
14/10/26	H	Perspektiva Ilirija	69-93
11/10/26	H	Tajfun Sentjur	86-73
29/09/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	61-77
26/09/26	H	KK Triglav Kranj	72-69
17/05/26	A	Cedevita Olimpija	74-106
09/05/26	H	Cedevita Olimpija	76-89
04/05/26	H	Rogaska	80-76

Polzelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/26	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	79-93
31/10/26	A	KK Triglav Kranj	98-82
24/10/26	H	Gorica	74-67
17/10/26	A	Tajfun Sentjur	84-67
09/10/26	A	Sencur	81-96
03/10/26	H	Rogaska	87-49
26/09/26	A	Helios Domzale	74-59
10/05/26	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	80-86
07/05/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	58-94
04/05/26	H	Terme Olimia Podčetrtek	96-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlatorog Lasko

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	43%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	50%	33%
Points / game	69.0	71.8	65.3
Allowed / game	75.3	76.0	74.3
Point differential	-6.3	-4.2	-9.0
Avg total	144.3	147.8	139.7
Over 155.25	29%	50%	0%
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Polzela

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	71%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	67%	75%
Points / game	82.4	80.0	84.2
Allowed / game	73.3	69.7	76.0
Point differential	+9.1	+10.3	+8.2
Avg total	155.7	149.7	160.2
Over 155.25	43%	33%	50%
Win by 10+	57%	33%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Krka Novo mesto	8	8	0	100%	90.4	68.8	+21.6
2	Perspektiva Ilirija	8	6	2	75%	84.0	73.6	+10.4
3	Polzela	7	5	2	71%	82.4	73.3	+9.1
4	Sencur	7	5	2	71%	85.9	79.6	+6.3
5	Gorica	8	4	4	50%	75.8	77.4	-1.6
6	Zlatorog Lasko	7	3	4	43%	69.0	75.3	-6.3
7	Rogaska	7	3	4	43%	67.6	79.1	-11.6
8	KK Triglav Kranj	6	1	5	17%	76.8	82.5	-5.7
9	Helios Domzale	7	1	6	14%	71.6	80.6	-9.0
10	Tajfun Sentjur	7	0	7	0%	68.4	86.9	-18.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zlatorog Lasko	17	17	20	11	65
Polzela	30	25	23	15	93

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Zlatorog Lasko vs Polzela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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