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Zlin vs Plzen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-66
24-15 25-26 21-8 17-17
Position#3
Record12-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game76.1
Zlin 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
Position#4
Record15-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game71.0
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 4· Mestska SH Zelene
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zlin v Plzen
06 Mar 2026
ZLIN87
PLZE66
10 Mar 2023
ZLIN63
PLZE88
26 Feb 2022
ZLIN70
PLZE85
19 May 2012
ZLIN57
PLZE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Plzen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlin
Date
Competition
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
77-56
77
56
+21
70avg 75
H09/01
1. Liga
Brno U23
#14
W
85-58
85
58
+27
no box
H16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H18/01
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
W
111-66
111
66
+45
120avg 75
H20/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
104avg 75
H23/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 75
H28/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 75
A30/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
52-98
52
98
-46
33avg 75
A15/02
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
81avg 75
H20/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
95-102
95
102
-7
83avg 75
A27/02
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-7
16-19
22-11
23-19
27-7
23-17
17-21
18-13
26-17
25-13
19-22
18-18
30-16
29-15
30-10
22-25
27-22
23-17
21-21
32-13
22-20
22-27
17-15
20-27
22-18
19-23
18-17
21-25
15-27
10-16
9-27
18-28
19-12
20-28
21-23
18-23
32-27
25-25
22-29
16-21
163.1Avg total
85.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.276.1159.4+7.157%
Season at home (10)88.071.6159.6+16.480%
Season away (11)78.980.3159.2-1.436%
Last 10 (10)85.078.1163.1+6.950%
Last 5 (5)77.291.6168.8-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.082.4157.4-7.440%
vs Weaker (24)84.275.1159.2+9.162%
This opponent (Plzen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlzen
Date
Competition
Radotin
#10
W
67-46
67
46
+21
60avg 71
A14/12
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
86-57
86
57
+29
77avg 71
H19/12
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 71
A11/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
H14/01
1. Liga
Chomutov
#22
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
H16/01
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
90-58
90
58
+32
92avg 71
A23/01
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
84avg 71
H30/01
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
98-52
98
52
+46
88avg 71
H15/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
60avg 71
A20/02
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
68-74
68
74
-6
53avg 71
H01/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-10
16-8
20-11
20-17
21-11
27-17
19-16
19-13
25-22
19-15
16-24
17-30
27-14
21-18
18-13
15-26
27-28
23-13
25-30
25-19
26-14
21-12
24-21
19-11
21-16
16-14
25-21
24-22
27-15
16-10
27-9
28-18
14-16
25-18
18-23
14-14
17-16
10-24
16-18
25-16
153.5Avg total
83.4Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.471.0153.4+11.471%
Season at home (11)86.071.6157.6+14.482%
Season away (10)78.570.3148.8+8.260%
Last 10 (10)83.470.1153.5+13.370%
Last 5 (5)84.669.2153.8+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.091.2158.2-24.20%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.081.2164.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (20)82.371.2153.6+11.175%
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
ZlinPlzen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H09/01
1. Liga
Brno U23
#14
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H18/01
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H20/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H23/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A30/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A15/02
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A27/02
1. Liga
82.1Avg total
44.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.379.0+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.135.580.7+9.673%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.177.3-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.382.1+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.437.474.8+0.060%-
vs Weaker (24)43.137.080.2+6.162%-
This opponent (Plzen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radotin
#10
W
27-18
27
18
+9
A14/12
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H19/12
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A11/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H14/01
1. Liga
Chomutov
#22
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H16/01
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A23/01
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H30/01
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H15/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/02
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/03
1. Liga
72.1Avg total
41.0Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.477.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.137.378.4+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)39.437.576.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.031.172.1+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)38.631.069.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.049.581.5-17.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.238.879.0+1.367%-
vs Weaker (20)42.034.576.6+7.565%-
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlin: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.6
57.7%
51.4%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.2
31.3%
29.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.013.9
60.4%
65.8%13.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.6
48.5%
51.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.57.7
24.4%
29.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.915.1
65.9%
65.8%15.1
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlin
LLLLLWWWWW
Plzen
LLWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#4
+6.3
Net rating
+11.9
95.6
Offensive rating
90.6
89.3
Defensive rating
78.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
43.4%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
41.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.3%
3-point %
24.4%
61.3%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 90.6Defence89.3 · 78.8Shooting54.0% · 43.4%3-point %31.3% · 24.4%Ball care17.3% · 13.8%Off. rebounds32.8% · 36.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Zlin   ■ Plzen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zlin wins
7
Plzen wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Plzen v Zlin98-52
10/03/23Zlin v Plzen63-88
17/02/23Plzen v Zlin124-77
11/03/22Plzen v Zlin100-74
26/02/22Zlin v Plzen70-85
19/05/12Zlin v Plzen57-82
11/05/12Plzen v Zlin78-74
Zlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ALitomerice95-102
20/02/26HValecnici Decin78-86
15/02/26APlzen52-98
30/01/26AJindrichuv Hradec80-83
28/01/26HJindrichuv Hradec81-89
23/01/26HMS Academy103-73
20/01/26HOpava 2111-66
18/01/26HNovy Jicin88-70
16/01/26HBrno U2385-58
09/01/26HBasketbal Olomouc77-56
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HPardubice 268-74
20/02/26ANovy Jicin81-89 OT
15/02/26HZlin98-52
30/01/26HCZ.ACADEMY86-73
23/01/26ASokol Prazsky90-58
16/01/26HChomutov100-90
14/01/26HUSK Prague B81-71
11/01/26AValecnici Decin77-91
19/12/25HLiberecko86-57
14/12/25ARadotin67-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL57%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game83.288.078.9
Allowed / game76.171.680.3
Point differential+7.1+16.4-1.4
Avg total159.4159.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%70%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Plzen
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%82%60%
Points / game82.486.078.5
Allowed / game71.071.670.3
Point differential+11.4+14.4+8.2
Avg total153.4157.6148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%82%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin2117481%88.476.6+11.8
2 Plzen2115671%82.471.0+11.4
3 Valecnici Decin2115671%82.574.2+8.3
4 Svitavy2113862%88.783.1+5.6
5 Pardubice 22113862%78.575.3+3.2
6 Litomerice2113862%85.284.0+1.2
7 Zlin2112957%83.276.1+7.1
8 Polabi2112957%80.779.5+1.1
9 Liberecko2112957%80.079.6+0.3
10 CZ.ACADEMY21101148%81.785.2-3.5
11 Jindrichuv Hradec2091145%83.583.8-0.3
12 Radotin2091145%80.881.5-0.7
13 Brno U232091145%78.681.5-3.0
14 Opava 22191243%78.882.4-3.7
15 Vysoka2191243%77.482.8-5.4
16 USK Prague B1971237%77.980.6-2.7
17 Sokol Prazsky2171433%81.790.3-8.6
18 Basketbal Olomouc2161529%75.381.1-5.8
19 MS Academy2051525%79.392.2-12.9
20 Chomutov2151624%81.085.7-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlin2425211787
Plzen152681766
← all games of the day
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