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Zlin vs Valecnici Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-86
19-12 20-28 21-23 18-23
Position#3
Record12-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#6
Record14-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game73.6
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 2· Mestska SH Zelene
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zlin v Valecnici Decin
08 Apr 2026
ZLIN93
VALE78
20 Feb 2026
ZLIN78
VALE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valecnici Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlin
Date
Competition
Vysoka
#15
W
86-61
86
61
+25
88avg 75
H12/12
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
77avg 75
H19/12
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
77-56
77
56
+21
70avg 75
H09/01
1. Liga
Brno U23
#14
W
85-58
85
58
+27
no box
H16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H18/01
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
W
111-66
111
66
+45
120avg 75
H20/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
104avg 75
H23/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 75
H28/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 75
A30/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
52-98
52
98
-46
33avg 75
A15/02
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-7
22-15
18-19
18-20
24-26
27-22
11-17
22-18
16-7
16-19
22-11
23-19
27-7
23-17
17-21
18-13
26-17
25-13
19-22
18-18
30-16
29-15
30-10
22-25
27-22
23-17
21-21
32-13
22-20
22-27
17-15
20-27
22-18
19-23
18-17
21-25
15-27
10-16
9-27
18-28
158.4Avg total
84.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.974.3157.2+8.663%
Season at home (9)89.170.0159.1+19.189%
Season away (10)77.378.1155.4-0.840%
Last 10 (10)84.773.7158.4+11.070%
Last 5 (5)85.481.8167.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)73.382.8156.2-9.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.572.2155.7+11.370%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
W
89-77
89
77
+12
74avg 71
A21/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
76-67
76
67
+9
61avg 71
H27/11
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 71
A05/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
73avg 71
H14/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
99-90 OT
99
90
+9
73avg 71
A19/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
82avg 71
H11/01
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
75-69
75
69
+6
59avg 71
H23/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
86avg 71
A27/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 71
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 71
H13/02
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
27-14
19-22
25-27
23-18
17-16
20-13
16-20
24-21
24-13
25-22
19-15
18-30
25-20
22-26
26-17
20-17
17-29
16-17
29-19
22-25
15-19
24-16
30-17
20-17
12-22
21-17
22-13
22-15
19-18
22-30
26-13
23-32
19-23
22-20
20-16
25-15
18-16
23-12
19-22
164.7Avg total
87.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.673.6157.2+9.974%
Season at home (10)81.570.8152.3+10.770%
Season away (9)85.976.8162.7+9.178%
Last 10 (10)87.177.6164.7+9.580%
Last 5 (5)84.875.6160.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (5)87.874.2162.0+13.680%
vs Weaker (14)82.173.4155.5+8.671%
This opponent (Zlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +5.3+5.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +5.3+5.3
ZlinValecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vysoka
#15
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H12/12
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H19/12
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H09/01
1. Liga
Brno U23
#14
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H16/01
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H18/01
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H20/01
1. Liga
MS Academy
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H23/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/01
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A30/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A15/02
1. Liga
80.4Avg total
45.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.277.3+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.134.879.9+10.380%-
Last 30 away (15)37.037.774.7-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)45.335.180.4+10.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.284.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.536.373.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.535.978.4+6.665%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A21/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H27/11
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A05/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H14/12
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/12
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H11/01
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H23/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/01
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H13/02
1. Liga
80.2Avg total
40.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)38.837.676.5+1.242%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.135.273.3+2.950%-
Last 30 away (9)39.740.380.0-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.480.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.479.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (5)41.034.875.8+6.260%-
vs Weaker (14)38.138.676.7-0.636%-
This opponent (Zlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlin: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.524.6
59.3%
51.4%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.8
28.8%
29.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.214.4
62.1%
65.8%14.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.1
51.9%
51.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.67.9
25.0%
29.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws28.819.0
66.0%
65.8%19.0
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlin
LLLWWWWWWW
Valecnici Decin
WLWWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#6
+9.1
Net rating
+10.2
97.9
Offensive rating
93.0
88.8
Defensive rating
82.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
45.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
28.8%
3-point %
25.0%
61.8%
Assist %
53.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 93.0Defence88.8 · 82.8Shooting53.5% · 45.8%3-point %28.8% · 25.0%Ball care17.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 35.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Zlin   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zlin wins
0
Valecnici Decin wins
No previous meetings.
Zlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26APlzen52-98
30/01/26AJindrichuv Hradec80-83
28/01/26HJindrichuv Hradec81-89
23/01/26HMS Academy103-73
20/01/26HOpava 2111-66
18/01/26HNovy Jicin88-70
16/01/26HBrno U2385-58
09/01/26HBasketbal Olomouc77-56
19/12/25HPardubice 284-83
12/12/25HVysoka86-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HPardubice 285-65
30/01/26APolabi84-91
27/01/26ARadotin89-76
23/01/26HLiberecko75-69
11/01/26HPlzen91-77
19/12/25AUSK Prague B99-90 OT
14/12/25HLitomerice91-93
05/12/25ACZ.ACADEMY92-71
27/11/25HSokol Prazsky76-67
21/11/25AChomutov89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL63%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%89%40%
Points / game82.989.177.3
Allowed / game74.370.078.1
Point differential+8.6+19.1-0.8
Avg total157.2159.1155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%78%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%70%78%
Points / game83.681.585.9
Allowed / game73.670.876.8
Point differential+9.9+10.7+9.1
Avg total157.2152.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Plzen1915479%83.369.9+13.4
2 Novy Jicin1915479%88.877.4+11.4
3 Valecnici Decin1914574%83.673.6+9.9
4 Zlin1912763%82.974.3+8.6
5 Svitavy1912763%89.383.1+6.3
6 Pardubice 21912763%79.275.4+3.8
7 Litomerice1911858%84.584.1+0.4
8 Polabi1910953%80.280.9-0.8
9 Liberecko1910953%79.480.5-1.1
10 Radotin1991047%80.980.9-0.1
11 Opava 21991047%80.682.6-2.0
12 Brno U231991047%78.581.0-2.5
13 Jindrichuv Hradec1981142%82.283.5-1.3
14 CZ.ACADEMY1981142%81.185.8-4.7
15 USK Prague B1871139%77.580.1-2.6
16 Vysoka1971237%75.882.7-6.9
17 Sokol Prazsky1971237%81.188.2-7.1
18 Chomutov1951426%81.485.2-3.7
19 Basketbal Olomouc1951426%74.881.5-6.7
20 MS Academy1841422%77.292.4-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlin1920211878
Valecnici Decin1228232386
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