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Aabyhoj vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 70-82
25-22 21-18 8-20 16-22
Position#7
Record7-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#10
Record5-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game82.3
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2011-12
Meetings · Aabyhoj v Herlev Wolfpack
17 Mar 2012
AABY86
HERL74
07 Mar 2012
AABY98
HERL93
28 Jan 2012
AABY70
HERL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aabyhoj winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AabyhojDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H24/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A01/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H05/12
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A07/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A10/12
Denmark Cup
Aalborg
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H14/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H18/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A21/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
18-14
14-16
13-26
22-15
20-21
17-23
14-16
–
–
–
–
14-25
22-17
17-16
26-22
–
–
–
–
19-23
12-12
17-23
21-20
13-24
17-13
19-24
14-19
18-17
9-16
13-11
16-24
20-23
20-13
20-14
19-18
20-19
23-16
13-32
26-19
146.8Avg total
69.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.780.2153.9-6.535%
Season at home (10)72.080.6152.6-8.640%
Season away (10)75.479.7155.1-4.330%
Last 10 (10)69.177.7146.8-8.610%
Last 5 (5)69.876.0145.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)64.279.6143.8-15.48%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.977.0153.9-0.162%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsholm
#7
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H19/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A26/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H01/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A07/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A13/12
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H05/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H14/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A22/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
24-23
22-15
14-18
29-27
12-21
22-18
12-25
26-14
19-23
13-13
13-19
21-18
24-28
13-20
7-22
18-10
16-17
20-16
16-31
25-24
24-13
13-17
24-19
19-14
25-18
20-19
27-22
18-13
17-19
27-25
21-27
17-24
27-25
17-17
24-23
23-29
161.2Avg total
79.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.882.3159.1-5.525%
Season at home (11)78.180.6158.7-2.536%
Season away (9)75.184.3159.4-9.211%
Last 10 (10)79.282.0161.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)84.082.4166.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.888.3163.2-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.679.7157.3-2.136%
vs Weaker (3)75.372.0147.3+3.333%
This opponent (Aabyhoj) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
AabyhojHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AabyhojLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H24/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/12
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A21/01
Basketligaen
71.4Avg total
34.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)36.340.176.4-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.941.076.9-5.140%-
Last 30 away (9)36.739.175.8-2.433%-
Last 10 (8)34.936.571.4-1.638%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.269.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.540.172.6-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.040.179.1-1.145%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H19/11
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A26/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/12
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A13/12
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H05/01
Basketligaen
Aalborg
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H19/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/01
Basketligaen
78.0Avg total
39.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)38.439.878.1-1.457%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.637.976.5+0.764%-
Last 30 away (10)38.141.879.9-3.750%-
Last 10 (9)39.438.678.0+0.956%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.278.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.746.883.5-10.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.837.976.6+0.971%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aabyhoj) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aabyhoj wins
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateGameScore
05/01/12Herlev Wolfpack v Aabyhoj80-63
13/10/11Herlev Wolfpack v Aabyhoj88-99
Aabyhojlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/12ASvendborg82-86
18/01/12HSisu79-68
16/01/12ABakken Bears56-68
05/01/12AHerlev Wolfpack63-80
14/12/11HAalborg69-78
10/12/11ASvendborg56-75
07/12/11ATeam FOG Naestved79-80
05/12/11HSvendborg77-87
01/12/11AHorsens73-75
24/11/11HBakken Bears57-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/12AHorsens91-94
19/01/12HSvendborg82-95
14/01/12HAalborg90-72
05/01/12HAabyhoj80-63
13/12/11ASisu77-88
07/12/11AHorsholm62-80
01/12/11HBakken Bears66-73
26/11/11AAalborg72-78
19/11/11HHorsens89-83
17/11/11HHorsholm83-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aabyhoj
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game73.772.075.4
Allowed / game80.280.679.7
Point differential-6.5-8.6-4.3
Avg total153.8152.6155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeWLWWL36%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %25%36%11%
Points / game76.878.175.1
Allowed / game82.380.684.3
Point differential-5.5-2.5-9.2
Avg total159.1158.7159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2120195%79.663.0+16.6
2 Svendborg2018290%84.172.6+11.5
3 Team FOG Naestved2113862%80.177.1+3.0
4 Sisu2091145%77.179.5-2.4
5 Horsholm2081240%75.177.8-2.6
6 Horsens2071335%81.885.3-3.5
7 Aalborg2071335%76.882.3-5.5
8 Vaerlose2071335%73.879.8-6.0
9 Aabyhoj2071335%73.780.2-6.5
10 Herlev Wolfpack2051525%76.882.3-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aabyhoj252181670
Herlev Wolfpack2218202282
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