Horsholm vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 80-62

28-24 20-13 22-7 10-18

Position#6

Record5-9

FormWLLLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game78.0

Horsholm 🏆

Herlev Wolfpack

Position#10

Record3-11

FormLLWLL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game82.4

Basketligaen

Other2011-12

Meetings · Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsholm winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Herlev Wolfpack winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Horsholm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aarhus

#15

94-56

+38

A26/10

Denmark Cup

Svendborg

64-70

-6

H29/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

77-95

-18

A01/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

71-81

-10

H09/11

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

84-87

-3

H12/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

94-83

+11

A17/11

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

82-88

-6

A20/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

66-74

-8

H26/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

64-75

-11

A30/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

66-79

-13

H03/12

Denmark Cup

–

17-25

22-15

12-14

13-16

18-21

16-23

20-22

23-29

20-19

17-21

16-24

18-17

22-19

24-23

19-26

19-19

–

18-21

22-20

29-28

13-19

15-15

24-15

18-20

9-24

16-24

18-19

15-5

15-27

–

155.0Avg total

76.2Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	74.6	78.0	152.6	-3.4	36%
Season at home (7)	77.3	76.4	153.7	+0.9	43%
Season away (7)	71.9	79.6	151.4	-7.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	78.8	155.0	-2.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	79.8	154.2	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	70.1	78.0	148.1	-7.9	22%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	77.2	77.0	154.2	+0.2	42%
vs Weaker (8)	78.8	69.4	148.1	+9.4	75%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

73-97

-24

H22/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

80-82 OT

-2

H27/10

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

#13

86-54

+32

A28/10

Denmark Cup

Aalborg

69-70

-1

A03/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

65-86

-21

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

62-74

-12

H12/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

83-94

-11

H17/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

89-83

H19/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

72-78

-6

A26/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

66-73

-7

H01/12

Basketligaen

18-22

19-36

26-22

10-17

16-16

16-15

28-26

9-12

–

22-17

16-19

17-22

14-12

16-25

9-24

22-15

18-22

17-12

16-27

10-12

19-23

–

24-23

22-15

14-18

29-27

12-21

22-18

12-25

26-14

19-23

13-13

13-19

21-18

153.6Avg total

74.5Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	75.2	82.4	157.6	-7.2	21%
Season at home (8)	75.9	82.1	158.0	-6.2	25%
Season away (6)	74.3	82.8	157.2	-8.5	17%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	79.1	153.6	-4.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	80.4	154.8	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	73.4	87.0	160.4	-13.6	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	76.2	79.9	156.1	-3.7	33%
vs Weaker (3)	75.3	72.0	147.3	+3.3	33%

This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsholmHerlev Wolfpack

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	20.2	20.1	40.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.3	22.9	40.1	-5.6	0%	-
Last 10 (7)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.1	19.5	38.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	24.2	42.4	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.3	17.5	35.9	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (7)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.3	17.2	32.5	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.9	86%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.9	19.8	37.6	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	23.2	40.2	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

HorsholmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

39-40

-1

H29/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

34-44

-10

A01/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-40

-3

H09/11

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

46-42

H12/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

40-41

-1

A20/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

39-30

H26/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

34-43

-9

A30/11

Basketligaen

78.4Avg total

38.4Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	37.2	38.9	76.1	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.8	38.5	78.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	34.3	39.4	73.7	-5.1	14%	-
Last 10 (7)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.0	39.5	73.5	-5.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.7	38.1	76.9	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

37-58

-21

H22/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

32-31

H27/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

38-36

A03/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

25-49

-24

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

33-39

-6

H12/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

46-38

H19/11

Basketligaen

Aalborg

34-39

-5

A26/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

32-36

-4

H01/12

Basketligaen

75.4Avg total

34.6Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	37.5	40.1	77.6	-2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (7)	37.7	42.1	79.9	-4.4	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	34.6	40.8	75.4	-6.1	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	40.2	74.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.2	47.4	82.6	-12.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.2	37.8	76.0	+0.4	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Horsholm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (7)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.4	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	10.0	25.5	+5.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.4	20.4	39.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.8	19.9	37.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	17.8	32.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.6	21.9	40.4	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (7)	15.7	21.6	37.3	-5.9	14%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	21.2	36.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	18.2	34.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	25.5	47.0	-4.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.8	21.8	39.5	-4.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.2	18.1	36.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	19.0	35.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.7	20.6	40.2	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	36.5	38.0	74.5	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (7)	37.6	40.1	77.7	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (7)	34.1	41.4	75.6	-7.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	41.8	76.0	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.7	37.5	71.2	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.9	41.3	81.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	35.5	72.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	37.9	39.8	77.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	36.1	41.0	77.1	-4.9	12%	-
Last 30 away (7)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.0	38.0	74.0	-2.0	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	38.6	75.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.6	37.6	74.2	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.8	40.7	77.4	-3.9	22%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsholm wins

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Date	Game	Score
17/11/11	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	83-94
24/09/11	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	71-69
15/11/10	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	68-57

Horsholmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/11	H	Bakken Bears	66-79
30/11/11	A	Aalborg	64-75
26/11/11	H	Sisu	66-74
20/11/11	A	Team FOG Naestved	82-88
17/11/11	A	Herlev Wolfpack	94-83
12/11/11	H	Aabyhoj	84-87
09/11/11	H	Bakken Bears	71-81
01/11/11	A	Sisu	77-95
29/10/11	H	Svendborg	64-70
26/10/11	A	Aarhus	94-56

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/11	H	Bakken Bears	66-73
26/11/11	A	Aalborg	72-78
19/11/11	H	Horsens	89-83
17/11/11	H	Horsholm	83-94
12/11/11	H	Vaerlose	62-74
10/11/11	A	Team FOG Naestved	65-86
03/11/11	A	Aalborg	69-70
28/10/11	A	Stevnsgade	86-54
27/10/11	H	Sisu	80-82 OT
22/10/11	H	Bakken Bears	73-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsholm

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	36%
Home	WLLLL	43%
Away	WWLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	36%	43%	29%
Points / game	74.6	77.3	71.9
Allowed / game	78.0	76.4	79.6
Point differential	-3.4	+0.9	-7.7
Avg total	152.6	153.7	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	21%
Home	LLLWL	25%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	21%	25%	17%
Points / game	75.2	75.9	74.3
Allowed / game	82.4	82.1	82.8
Point differential	-7.2	-6.2	-8.5
Avg total	157.6	158.0	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	14%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Svendborg	14	14	0	100%	84.4	69.9	+14.4
2	Bakken Bears	13	12	1	92%	76.5	61.9	+14.6
3	Team FOG Naestved	14	9	5	64%	81.8	74.9	+6.9
4	Aabyhoj	14	6	8	43%	74.7	81.6	-6.9
5	Sisu	15	6	9	40%	77.8	80.3	-2.5
6	Horsens	15	6	9	40%	81.2	84.3	-3.1
7	Aalborg	13	5	8	38%	76.5	81.0	-4.5
8	Horsholm	14	5	9	36%	74.6	78.0	-3.4
9	Vaerlose	14	4	10	29%	74.0	81.2	-7.2
10	Herlev Wolfpack	14	3	11	21%	75.2	82.4	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsholm	28	20	22	10	80
Herlev Wolfpack	24	13	7	18	62

← all games of the day

Horsholm vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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