Aalborg vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 77-87

13-19 16-16 33-25 15-27

Position#10

Record0-11

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game98.0

Aalborg

Randers 🏆

Position#6

Record7-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game93.8

Allowed / game86.4

BasketligaenRound 12

Other2014-15

Meetings · Aalborg v Randers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Randers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

65-96

-31

A16/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

75-90

-15

H20/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

79-111

111

-32

A23/10

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

97-122

122

-25

H29/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

80-96

-16

A01/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

73-93

-20

H06/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

87-114

114

-27

A16/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

62-93

-31

H19/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

82-105

105

-23

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

67-90

-23

H03/12

Basketligaen

20-23

22-23

12-19

11-31

14-17

28-34

15-18

18-21

–

21-28

16-35

26-31

34-28

20-26

10-29

19-23

31-18

16-18

17-25

21-26

19-24

22-24

16-35

29-30

20-25

17-28

12-26

16-25

17-14

24-33

17-22

11-24

30-26

15-26

12-24

20-14

20-26

177.7Avg total

76.7Scored

101.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	75.6	98.0	173.6	-22.4	0%
Season at home (6)	73.8	97.2	171.0	-23.3	0%
Season away (5)	77.8	99.0	176.8	-21.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	101.0	177.7	-24.3	0%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	99.0	173.2	-24.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	80.5	96.6	177.0	-16.1	9%
vs Similar (6)	86.0	85.0	171.0	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (1)	96.0	87.0	183.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Randers

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

#14

105-77

105

+28

H22/10

Denmark Cup

Horsens

77-82

-5

A30/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

74-66

A03/11

Basketligaen

Koge

99-62

+37

A06/11

Denmark Cup

Sisu

104-85

104

+19

H10/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

103-86

103

+17

A13/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

92-95

-3

H20/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

89-85

A27/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

93-92 OT

A01/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

103-96

103

H04/12

Basketligaen

25-24

28-14

26-20

26-19

13-22

23-19

21-23

20-18

19-16

22-13

17-18

16-19

–

25-21

30-27

24-12

25-25

32-25

17-17

26-29

28-15

23-28

17-19

27-25

25-23

11-13

36-23

18-21

24-28

25-17

19-25

23-25

18-18

17-34

27-13

23-29

36-20

176.5Avg total

93.9Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	93.8	86.4	180.2	+7.5	64%
Season at home (5)	101.0	90.6	191.6	+10.4	60%
Season away (6)	87.8	82.8	170.7	+5.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	93.9	82.6	176.5	+11.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	96.0	90.8	186.8	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	90.2	95.8	186.0	-5.6	18%
vs Similar (9)	92.6	86.8	179.3	+5.8	89%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	87.1	72.2	159.3	+14.9	78%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AalborgRanders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	22.9	41.7	-4.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	24.8	43.6	-6.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	25.8	44.6	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.8	23.9	43.7	-4.1	18%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	22.0	49.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.4	22.3	44.7	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.1	22.2	43.3	-1.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.4	45.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.8	24.5	45.4	-3.7	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.2	21.3	43.6	+0.9	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.4	20.2	44.6	+4.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	24.4	43.4	-5.4	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	24.7	44.2	-5.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	24.1	42.6	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.7	28.1	44.8	-11.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	26.4	41.2	-11.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.2	25.8	45.0	-6.6	18%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.4	20.4	42.9	+2.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	19.7	42.9	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.3	18.9	43.2	+5.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.4	42.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	23.7	21.7	45.5	+2.0	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	62%	-

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

42-46

-4

A16/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

42-51

-9

H20/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-63

-26

H29/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

30-55

-25

A01/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

33-43

-10

H06/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

38-59

-21

A16/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

29-54

-25

H19/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

41-55

-14

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

27-50

-23

H03/12

Basketligaen

88.3Avg total

35.4Scored

52.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.9	47.7	86.5	-8.8	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	47.7	85.9	-9.4	7%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	47.6	87.1	-8.1	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.4	52.9	88.3	-17.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	52.2	85.8	-18.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	39.0	49.7	88.6	-10.7	9%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.8	41.0	78.8	-3.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	0%	-

This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

#14

53-38

+15

H22/10

Denmark Cup

Horsens

36-41

-5

A30/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

41-29

+12

A03/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

55-48

H10/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

49-42

A13/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

40-47

-7

H20/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

47-36

+11

A27/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

44-42

A01/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

44-47

-3

H04/12

Basketligaen

86.6Avg total

45.4Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.8	42.8	87.6	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.8	42.7	88.5	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.6	42.8	86.5	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.4	41.1	86.6	+4.3	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	42.8	87.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	44.5	46.3	90.8	-1.7	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.4	43.9	87.3	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	45.8	37.2	83.0	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.1	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.4	42.1	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	23.3	42.1	-4.6	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.8	43.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	24.3	45.5	-3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	21.3	41.2	-1.5	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.3	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	25.8	49.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	23.4	41.9	-4.8	9%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.5	22.8	45.3	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	22.7	45.9	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	22.9	44.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.2	23.7	45.9	-1.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.8	24.4	46.2	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.2	17.0	40.2	+6.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	23.0	57.0	+11.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.7	76%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	19.9	44.0	+4.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	20.8	47.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	24.2	22.4	46.5	+1.8	73%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.4	20.3	44.8	+4.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.4	17.1	39.5	+5.2	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.0	45.4	87.4	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	45.5	88.1	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	45.4	86.8	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.0	47.0	88.0	-6.0	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	46.8	87.4	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	40.9	46.6	87.5	-5.8	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.3	41.3	85.7	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	53.0	44.0	97.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.7	41.5	85.2	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	39.9	83.2	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.2	43.5	87.6	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	47.0	43.0	90.0	+4.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	46.6	96.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	42.7	45.7	88.5	-3.0	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	47.2	41.3	88.6	+5.9	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	39.9	36.2	76.1	+3.6	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aalborg wins

Randers wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/14	Randers v Aalborg	96-65
06/02/14	Randers v Aalborg	88-75
25/01/14	Aalborg v Randers	93-97
26/09/13	Randers v Aalborg	99-84
23/01/13	Randers v Aalborg	99-78
17/01/13	Aalborg v Randers	85-100
25/10/12	Randers v Aalborg	100-82

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	67-90
27/11/14	A	Horsens	82-105
19/11/14	H	Vaerlose	62-93
16/11/14	A	Sisu	87-114
06/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	73-93
01/11/14	A	Horsholm	80-96
29/10/14	H	Bakken Bears	97-122
23/10/14	A	Horsens	79-111
20/10/14	H	Svendborg	75-90
16/10/14	A	Randers	65-96

Randerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/14	H	Horsholm	103-96
01/12/14	A	Svendborg	93-92 OT
27/11/14	A	Bakken Bears	89-85
20/11/14	H	Svendborg	92-95
13/11/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	103-86
10/11/14	H	Sisu	104-85
06/11/14	A	Koge	99-62
03/11/14	A	Vaerlose	74-66
30/10/14	A	Horsens	77-82
22/10/14	H	Bakken Bears	105-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	75.6	73.8	77.8
Allowed / game	98.0	97.2	99.0
Point differential	-22.4	-23.3	-21.2
Avg total	173.6	171.0	176.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Randers

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	64%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LLWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	60%	67%
Points / game	93.8	101.0	87.8
Allowed / game	86.4	90.6	82.8
Point differential	+7.5	+10.4	+5.0
Avg total	180.2	191.6	170.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	40%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	9%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	11	10	1	91%	97.8	84.2	+13.6
2	Horsens	12	9	3	75%	84.2	75.9	+8.3
3	Herlev Wolfpack	11	8	3	73%	90.8	81.6	+9.2
4	Svendborg	11	8	3	73%	84.8	84.3	+0.5
5	Randers	11	7	4	64%	93.8	86.4	+7.5
6	Sisu	12	6	6	50%	87.7	85.6	+2.1
7	Team FOG Naestved	11	5	6	45%	80.9	83.1	-2.2
8	Vaerlose	12	3	9	25%	72.0	77.2	-5.2
9	Horsholm	12	1	11	8%	80.4	91.3	-10.9
10	Aalborg	11	0	11	0%	75.6	98.0	-22.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aalborg	13	16	33	15	77
Randers	19	16	25	27	87

← all games of the day

Aalborg vs Randers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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