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Aalborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2014
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-93
17-28 12-26 16-25 17-14
Position#10
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game98.8
vs
Position#8
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game79.6
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 9
Other2014-15
Meetings · Aalborg v Vaerlose
28 Mar 2015
AALB83
VAER87
16 Mar 2015
AALB69
VAER81
19 Nov 2014
AALB62
VAER93
24 Oct 2013
AALB67
VAER66
07 Feb 2013
AALB73
VAER88
13 Oct 2012
AALB77
VAER83
24 Sep 2011
AALB70
VAER73
15 Dec 2010
AALB84
VAER80
03 Nov 2010
AALB66
VAER70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A27/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A09/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
69-95
69
95
-26
H13/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
65-96
65
96
-31
A16/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H20/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A23/10
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#2
L
97-122
97
122
-25
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A01/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
73-93
73
93
-20
H06/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
87-114
87
114
-27
A16/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-31
14-16
22-29
19-25
21-15
21-21
14-23
18-24
17-27
19-13
15-31
20-23
22-23
12-19
11-31
14-17
28-34
15-18
18-21
–
–
–
–
21-28
16-35
26-31
34-28
20-26
10-29
19-23
31-18
16-18
17-25
21-26
19-24
22-24
16-35
29-30
20-25
177.7Avg total
77.8Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.698.8176.4-21.10%
Season at home (4)78.5100.0178.5-21.50%
Season away (4)76.897.5174.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)77.899.9177.7-22.10%
Last 5 (5)83.2107.2190.4-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)82.196.7178.7-14.611%
vs Similar (9)89.189.7178.8-0.644%
vs Weaker (1)96.087.0183.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A08/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
H13/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A16/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H20/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A24/10
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H03/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A07/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#4
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H16/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-20
9-16
10-14
11-31
10-24
17-22
25-14
19-19
15-19
18-14
14-21
23-25
13-14
16-19
24-11
–
–
–
–
17-23
20-14
17-24
19-17
16-19
13-22
18-17
19-16
16-22
16-24
18-33
20-21
–
–
–
–
22-24
18-21
15-23
18-16
152.0Avg total
71.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.079.6148.6-10.612%
Season at home (4)69.579.5149.0-10.025%
Season away (4)68.579.8148.2-11.20%
Last 10 (10)71.880.2152.0-8.420%
Last 5 (5)73.285.8159.0-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)77.690.2167.7-12.612%
vs Similar (4)73.077.2150.2-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -9.6-9.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
AalborgVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A27/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H13/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A16/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H20/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
37-63
37
63
-26
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A01/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/11
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A16/11
Basketligaen
88.9Avg total
37.7Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.047.287.2-7.210%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.847.488.2-6.67%-
Last 30 away (15)39.347.186.3-7.813%-
Last 10 (9)37.751.288.9-13.60%-
Last 5 (5)36.054.290.2-18.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.049.289.2-9.211%-
vs Similar (9)39.743.783.3-4.011%-
vs Weaker (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
21-55
21
55
-34
H13/10
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A29/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H03/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H16/11
Basketligaen
76.8Avg total
34.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.944.484.3-4.529%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.943.881.7-5.831%-
Last 30 away (15)41.645.086.6-3.427%-
Last 10 (8)34.442.476.8-8.012%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.676.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)40.745.085.8-4.332%-
vs Similar (3)33.039.372.3-6.30%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aalborg wins
7
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
02/02/14Vaerlose v Aalborg87-96
24/11/13Vaerlose v Aalborg79-83
24/10/13Aalborg v Vaerlose67-66
07/02/13Aalborg v Vaerlose73-88
20/01/13Vaerlose v Aalborg73-58
13/10/12Aalborg v Vaerlose77-83 OT
26/02/12Vaerlose v Aalborg79-73
07/12/11Vaerlose v Aalborg76-67
24/09/11Aalborg v Vaerlose70-73
22/01/11Vaerlose v Aalborg84-76
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/14ASisu87-114
06/11/14HTeam FOG Naestved73-93
01/11/14AHorsholm80-96
29/10/14HBakken Bears97-122
23/10/14AHorsens79-111
20/10/14HSvendborg75-90
16/10/14ARanders65-96
13/10/14HHerlev Wolfpack69-95
09/10/14AHorsens75-84
27/03/14ABakken Bears78-98
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/14HHerlev Wolfpack73-84
12/11/14ASisu84-93
07/11/14ABakken Bears70-100
03/11/14HRanders66-74
29/10/14ASvendborg73-78
24/10/14AHorsholm82-72
20/10/14HHorsholm76-69
16/10/14ASisu66-73
13/10/14HHorsens63-91
08/10/14ATeam FOG Naestved65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.678.576.8
Allowed / game98.8100.097.5
Point differential-21.1-21.5-20.8
Avg total176.4178.5174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game69.069.568.5
Allowed / game79.679.579.8
Point differential-10.6-10.0-11.2
Avg total148.6149.0148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%102.185.1+17.0
2 Herlev Wolfpack86275%93.083.8+9.2
3 Horsens86275%83.475.6+7.8
4 Randers85362%93.584.2+9.2
5 Svendborg85362%81.283.4-2.1
6 Sisu84450%87.886.9+0.9
7 Team FOG Naestved84450%83.483.9-0.5
8 Horsholm81712%79.188.9-9.8
9 Vaerlose81712%69.079.6-10.6
10 Aalborg8080%77.698.8-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aalborg1712161762
Vaerlose2826251493
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