Aalborg vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 18:15

Final 73-93

16-18 17-25 21-26 19-24

Position#10

Record0-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game97.2

Aalborg

Team FOG Naestved 🏆

Position#5

Record3-3

FormWLLWL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game82.5

BasketligaenRound 7

Other2014-15

Meetings · Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Team FOG Naestved winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

75-104

104

-29

A20/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

84-96

-12

H24/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

78-98

-20

A27/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

75-84

-9

A09/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

69-95

-26

H13/10

Basketligaen

Randers

65-96

-31

A16/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

75-90

-15

H20/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

79-111

111

-32

A23/10

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

97-122

122

-25

H29/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

80-96

-16

A01/11

Basketligaen

20-28

14-24

19-24

22-28

28-26

14-29

15-22

27-19

21-22

21-31

14-16

22-29

19-25

21-15

21-21

14-23

18-24

17-27

19-13

15-31

20-23

22-23

12-19

11-31

14-17

28-34

15-18

18-21

–

21-28

16-35

26-31

34-28

20-26

10-29

19-23

31-18

176.9Avg total

77.7Scored

99.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	76.8	97.2	174.0	-20.3	0%
Season at home (3)	80.3	102.3	182.7	-22.0	0%
Season away (3)	73.3	92.0	165.3	-18.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	99.2	176.9	-21.5	0%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	103.0	182.2	-23.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	82.3	95.9	178.2	-13.6	12%
vs Similar (10)	88.9	89.7	178.6	-0.8	40%
vs Weaker (2)	89.5	83.0	172.5	+6.5	100%

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Team FOG Naestved Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

77-71

A27/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

58-75

-17

H31/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

65-68 OT

-3

A04/04

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

68-65

H08/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

88-82

A13/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#16

130-63

130

+67

A15/10

Denmark Cup

Horsens

79-88

-9

H20/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

87-93 OT

-6

H23/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

84-79

A29/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

82-88

-6

H03/11

Basketligaen

12-20

23-16

21-18

21-17

24-24

6-8

16-26

12-17

21-13

15-15

9-20

17-14

18-20

20-26

16-9

14-10

23-19

22-17

29-18

14-28

–

27-23

21-21

12-21

19-23

16-16

14-15

22-19

25-27

19-20

21-13

27-19

17-27

17-21

23-20

17-20

25-27

159.0Avg total

81.8Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	81.3	82.5	163.8	-1.2	50%
Season at home (4)	79.0	83.5	162.5	-4.5	25%
Season away (2)	86.0	80.5	166.5	+5.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	77.2	159.0	+4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	92.4	82.2	174.6	+10.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.4	80.5	157.9	-3.1	25%
vs Similar (16)	76.8	77.9	154.7	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	77.6	76.6	154.2	+1.0	60%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AalborgTeam FOG Naestved

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	23.2	43.7	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.5	43.1	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.1	24.3	44.4	-4.2	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.6	42.2	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.1	23.4	43.4	-3.3	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.8	23.5	44.3	-2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	19.6	39.2	+0.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.8	62%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	23.4	44.7	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	23.1	41.7	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.1	27.4	45.6	-9.3	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	29.6	48.2	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.5	25.6	46.1	-5.1	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	16.7	34.8	+1.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	15.2	32.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.3	16.8	35.1	+1.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.7	16.4	34.1	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.0	15.6	32.6	+1.4	60%	-

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

34-52

-18

A20/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-55

-13

H24/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-53

-11

A27/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

40-40

A09/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

35-51

-16

H13/10

Basketligaen

Randers

42-46

-4

A16/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

42-51

-9

H20/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-63

-26

H29/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

30-55

-25

A01/11

Basketligaen

90.0Avg total

38.2Scored

51.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.3	46.4	86.8	-6.1	14%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	47.4	89.0	-5.7	14%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	45.6	84.7	-6.5	13%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.2	51.8	90.0	-13.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	53.2	90.4	-16.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.5	48.9	89.5	-8.4	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.2	43.5	83.7	-3.3	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	40.0	79.5	-0.5	0%	-

This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

35-36

-1

A27/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

30-32

-2

H31/03

Basketligaen

Horsens

36-28

A04/04

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

38-46

-8

H08/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

45-36

A13/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

48-44

H20/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

30-31

-1

H23/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

40-33

A29/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

40-41

-1

H03/11

Basketligaen

74.3Avg total

38.0Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	36.8	74.6	+1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.2	34.0	69.2	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.0	36.3	74.3	+1.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	37.0	77.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.1	36.9	77.0	+3.2	62%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.3	36.1	73.4	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	35.6	38.6	74.2	-3.0	40%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	22.3	42.8	-1.9	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	22.9	42.5	-3.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	20.2	39.5	-1.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	24.2	19.2	43.4	+5.0	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.4	22.9	47.4	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	23.7	45.3	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	25.3	46.9	-3.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	25.8	47.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.9	24.8	46.8	-2.9	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.0	21.0	50.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	20.2	37.8	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.4	46.4	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.4	45.7	89.1	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	45.9	89.9	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	45.5	88.4	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.3	46.1	85.4	-6.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	46.6	86.6	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.9	46.6	87.5	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	46.4	44.6	91.0	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	43.0	93.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.7	40.1	77.8	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	40.4	78.3	-2.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	39.8	77.2	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.0	40.0	77.0	-3.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	45.8	87.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.0	41.6	77.6	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.2	40.1	77.2	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aalborg wins

Team FOG Naestved wins

Date	Game	Score
16/02/14	Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg	78-66
05/12/13	Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved	102-93
13/10/13	Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg	84-70
23/02/13	Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg	70-58
28/11/12	Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg	97-65
31/10/12	Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved	70-84
15/02/12	Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved	73-94
19/01/12	Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg	91-88 OT
08/10/11	Aalborg v Team FOG Naestved	72-69
16/02/11	Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg	88-73

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/14	A	Horsholm	80-96
29/10/14	H	Bakken Bears	97-122
23/10/14	A	Horsens	79-111
20/10/14	H	Svendborg	75-90
16/10/14	A	Randers	65-96
13/10/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	69-95
09/10/14	A	Horsens	75-84
27/03/14	A	Bakken Bears	78-98
24/03/14	H	Bakken Bears	84-96
20/03/14	A	Bakken Bears	75-104

Team FOG Naestvedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/14	H	Svendborg	82-88
29/10/14	A	Horsholm	84-79
23/10/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	87-93 OT
20/10/14	H	Horsens	79-88
15/10/14	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	130-63
13/10/14	A	Sisu	88-82
08/10/14	H	Vaerlose	68-65
04/04/14	A	Horsens	65-68 OT
31/03/14	H	Horsens	58-75
27/03/14	A	Horsens	77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	76.8	80.3	73.3
Allowed / game	97.2	102.3	92.0
Point differential	-20.3	-22.0	-18.7
Avg total	174.0	182.7	165.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Team FOG Naestved

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	50%	25%	100%
Points / game	81.3	79.0	86.0
Allowed / game	82.5	83.5	80.5
Point differential	-1.2	-4.5	+5.5
Avg total	163.8	162.5	166.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	17%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	6	6	0	100%	99.0	88.5	+10.5
2	Svendborg	6	5	1	83%	83.2	77.7	+5.5
3	Herlev Wolfpack	6	4	2	67%	91.7	85.8	+5.8
4	Horsens	6	4	2	67%	83.3	78.8	+4.5
5	Randers	6	3	3	50%	90.2	83.8	+6.3
6	Sisu	6	3	3	50%	83.8	84.0	-0.2
7	Team FOG Naestved	6	3	3	50%	81.3	82.5	-1.2
8	Horsholm	6	1	5	17%	81.7	85.3	-3.7
9	Vaerlose	6	1	5	17%	68.2	75.5	-7.3
10	Aalborg	6	0	6	0%	76.8	97.2	-20.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aalborg	16	17	21	19	73
Team FOG Naestved	18	25	26	24	93

← all games of the day

Aalborg vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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