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Abejas vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 90-103
28-30 21-29 17-21 24-23
Position#8
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game78.2
MexicoLNBPRound 5· Domo de la Feria
Other2026-27
Meetings · Abejas v Astros
06 Aug 2026
ABEJ83
ASTR95
05 Aug 2026
ABEJ90
ASTR103
27 Sep 2025
ABEJ83
ASTR101
26 Sep 2025
ABEJ91
ASTR105
09 Oct 2024
ABEJ91
ASTR87
08 Oct 2024
ABEJ109
ASTR120
21 Oct 2023
ABEJ97
ASTR92
20 Oct 2023
ABEJ81
ASTR69
28 Oct 2022
ABEJ79
ASTR72
27 Oct 2022
ABEJ89
ASTR83
13 Aug 2022
ABEJ94
ASTR83
12 Aug 2022
ABEJ89
ASTR91
31 Oct 2021
ABEJ91
ASTR101
30 Oct 2021
ABEJ72
ASTR84
22 Oct 2021
ABEJ80
ASTR106
21 Oct 2021
ABEJ93
ASTR95
14 Oct 2020
ABEJ88
ASTR85
13 Oct 2020
ABEJ99
ASTR96
21 Nov 2019
ABEJ94
ASTR89
19 Nov 2019
ABEJ102
ASTR103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abejas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AbejasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAbejas
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
A14/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
A15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H18/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
86-118
86
118
-32
no box
H18/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
91-105
91
105
-14
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
no box
H28/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
no box
H24/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
101-89
101
89
+12
no box
H25/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
57avg 68
A31/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
95-85
95
85
+10
78avg 68
A01/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
20-11
15-28
21-33
15-24
27-15
18-14
28-33
20-24
25-19
21-18
17-29
21-24
18-28
23-37
24-29
21-31
24-30
27-22
19-22
12-33
22-24
22-22
27-22
23-26
27-16
22-26
23-20
26-23
27-23
22-19
26-24
13-20
19-20
28-30
16-10
20-17
31-18
25-27
19-23
180.1Avg total
86.7Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.885.5177.2+6.275%
Season at home (2)98.088.5186.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)85.582.5168.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)86.793.4180.1-6.740%
Last 5 (5)90.088.6178.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.091.8167.8-15.95%
vs Similar (6)81.586.3167.8-4.833%
vs Weaker (4)88.279.0167.2+9.2100%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Paisas
#8
W
125-72
125
72
+53
129avg 88
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
140-69
140
69
+71
156avg 88
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
L
99-101
99
101
-2
90avg 88
A06/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 88
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Gambusinos
#11
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A26/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
H28/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
94-74
94
74
+20
94avg 88
H29/07
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
73-64
73
64
+9
75avg 88
H01/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 88
H02/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
26-23
30-18
38-14
24-24
39-19
36-9
41-17
19-33
26-23
21-22
33-23
16-25
24-18
17-12
18-22
23-24
22-15
14-32
12-15
23-18
25-18
21-16
19-28
19-19
29-25
24-29
21-13
24-17
33-14
17-20
20-23
20-14
20-28
16-6
17-16
10-22
20-19
18-14
23-24
171.7Avg total
92.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.778.2159.8+3.567%
Season at home (4)82.875.8158.5+7.075%
Season away (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)92.978.8171.7+14.160%
Last 5 (5)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)99.097.5196.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.077.1169.0+14.971%
This opponent (Abejas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +4.7+4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +4.7+4.7
AbejasAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A14/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H18/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H27/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H28/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H24/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H25/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A31/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A01/08
LNBP
87.0Avg total
42.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.986.0-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.048.789.7-7.721%-
Last 30 away (16)39.443.482.8-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.687.0-2.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.088.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.347.085.2-8.715%-
vs Similar (6)43.844.388.2-0.533%-
vs Weaker (4)43.842.886.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paisas
#8
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A06/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Gambusinos
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H28/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H29/07
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H02/08
LNBP
88.8Avg total
47.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.338.886.0+8.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.240.685.8+4.650%-
Last 30 away (14)49.636.786.4+12.979%-
Last 10 (10)47.341.588.8+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.883.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)55.548.0103.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.738.184.8+8.664%-
This opponent (Abejas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Abejastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Abejas: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.5
52.3%
54.1%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.0
37.2%
34.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws10.59.0
85.7%
71.7%9.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.627.0
61.9%
54.1%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.7
38.6%
34.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
71.7%13.0
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 06 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Abejas
WLWWLLLLWL
Astros
LWWWWLLLWW
#8
League position
#2
-4.3
Net rating
+34.1
96.2
Offensive rating
110.4
100.5
Defensive rating
76.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
60.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.2%
3-point %
38.6%
37.7%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 110.4Defence100.5 · 76.3Shooting53.5% · 60.4%3-point %37.2% · 38.6%Ball care14.3% · 14.0%Free throws0.16 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Abejas   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Abejas wins
5
Astros wins
DateGameScore
28/09/25Abejas v Astros83-101
27/09/25Abejas v Astros91-105
28/08/25Astros v Abejas89-67
27/08/25Astros v Abejas79-74
10/10/24Abejas v Astros91-87
09/10/24Abejas v Astros109-120
22/10/23Abejas v Astros97-92 OT
21/10/23Abejas v Astros81-69
29/10/22Abejas v Astros79-72
28/10/22Abejas v Astros89-83
Abejaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/26AEl Calor de Cancun95-85
31/07/26AEl Calor de Cancun76-80
25/07/26HCorrecaminos101-89
24/07/26HCorrecaminos95-88
28/09/25HAstros83-101
27/09/25HAstros91-105
18/09/25HSoles86-118
18/09/25HSoles83-90
15/09/25AHalcones de Xalapa88-86
14/09/25AHalcones de Xalapa69-92
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/26HLobos Plateados71-79
01/08/26HLobos Plateados73-64
29/07/26HCorrecaminos94-74
28/07/26HCorrecaminos93-86
26/07/26AGambusinos88-80
25/07/26AGambusinos71-86
14/03/26HFlamengo75-77
06/03/26AFlamengo99-101
13/02/26HCaimanes del Llano140-69
11/02/26HPaisas125-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abejas
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game91.898.085.5
Allowed / game85.588.582.5
Point differential+6.2+9.5+3.0
Avg total177.2186.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.782.879.5
Allowed / game78.275.883.0
Point differential+3.5+7.0-3.5
Avg total159.8158.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abejas43175%91.885.5+6.2
2 Lobos Plateados43175%79.875.0+4.8
3 Fuerza Regia43175%89.086.2+2.8
4 Dorados43175%81.579.0+2.5
5 Santos43175%82.884.2-1.5
6 Astros64267%81.778.2+3.5
7 Soles42250%80.077.0+3.0
8 Panteras42250%86.084.5+1.5
9 Diablos Rojos42250%82.083.0-1.0
10 Mineros41325%90.091.8-1.8
11 Gambusinos41325%71.274.8-3.5
12 Freseros41325%86.091.8-5.8
13 El Calor de Cancun41325%80.286.8-6.5
14 Correcaminos61517%84.788.7-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Abejas2821172490
Astros30292123103
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