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Abejas vs Freseros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 83-89
17-23 12-25 22-12 32-29
Position#8
Record8-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#13
Record8-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game90.4
MexicoLNBPRound 22· Domo de la Feria
Other2026-27
Meetings · Abejas v Freseros
21 Sep 2026
ABEJ83
FRES89
20 Sep 2026
ABEJ97
FRES80
13 Oct 2023
ABEJ102
FRES76
12 Oct 2023
ABEJ84
FRES78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abejas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Freseros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AbejasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAbejas
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
113avg 78
A21/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 78
H25/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 78
H26/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
78avg 78
A29/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
71avg 78
A30/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
83-87
83
87
-4
70avg 78
H11/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 78
H12/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
89avg 78
A16/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 78
A17/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
98avg 78
H21/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
29-17
25-13
20-33
12-23
22-21
25-18
22-11
13-22
21-18
18-18
21-17
15-20
21-20
19-26
29-29
26-17
21-18
14-25
15-15
12-29
22-17
18-17
31-24
18-19
24-15
15-30
17-22
16-25
26-29
27-16
18-21
24-13
12-23
12-25
19-19
25-21
22-28
29-16
21-15
165.7Avg total
82.8Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.686.1170.7-1.638%
Season at home (11)86.987.4174.3-0.545%
Season away (10)82.084.8166.8-2.830%
Last 10 (10)82.882.9165.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)81.684.8166.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)81.491.0172.4-9.719%
vs Similar (6)80.381.0161.3-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)97.785.7183.3+12.0100%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFreseros
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 74
H21/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 74
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
73avg 74
A26/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
117-129 OT
117
129
-12
104avg 74
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
48avg 74
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 74
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
80avg 74
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 74
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
45avg 74
H16/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 74
A21/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
14-14
17-18
27-23
17-17
20-19
13-19
27-18
22-26
21-28
22-11
19-22
25-27
19-32
27-15
20-17
13-22
20-15
15-15
19-25
17-18
26-19
18-19
21-15
20-24
13-27
25-16
32-19
20-21
25-28
11-18
17-18
17-20
19-27
7-25
20-20
21-25
28-22
16-29
15-21
168.6Avg total
81.3Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.090.4175.4-5.438%
Season at home (10)86.092.4178.4-6.440%
Season away (11)84.188.5172.6-4.536%
Last 10 (10)81.387.3168.6-6.040%
Last 5 (5)77.686.2163.8-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)81.490.9172.3-9.429%
vs Similar (2)91.091.0182.0+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
AbejasFreseros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AbejasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
W
61-41
61
41
+20
A21/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/08
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A30/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H12/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A16/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A17/09
LNBP
Freseros
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H21/09
LNBP
83.2Avg total
41.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.885.4-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.847.690.4-4.931%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.579.6+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.983.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.884.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)41.444.786.1-3.333%-
vs Similar (6)37.839.877.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)50.045.795.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H21/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/08
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A26/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H30/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H31/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A11/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A21/09
LNBP
85.1Avg total
39.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.446.287.6-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.847.189.9-4.336%-
Last 30 away (16)40.245.485.6-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.285.1-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.287.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)41.246.187.3-4.932%-
vs Similar (2)44.047.591.5-3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Abejas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Abejastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Abejas: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.1
52.0%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
34.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.2%
71.7%13.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Freseros: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.9
53.9%
54.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
34.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.414.1
72.7%
71.7%14.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Abejas
WLLLLWLLWW
Freseros
LLLWWLLLWW
#8
League position
#13
+0.1
Net rating
-8.0
93.9
Offensive rating
88.6
93.8
Defensive rating
96.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.7%
3-point %
30.6%
69.4%
Assist %
49.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 88.6Defence93.8 · 96.6Shooting53.3% · 50.5%3-point %36.7% · 30.6%Ball care17.6% · 17.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Abejas   ■ Freseros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Abejas wins
2
Freseros wins
DateGameScore
21/09/26Abejas v Freseros97-80
30/07/25Freseros v Abejas61-78
29/07/25Freseros v Abejas78-79
03/09/24Freseros v Abejas99-91
02/09/24Freseros v Abejas102-95
14/10/23Abejas v Freseros102-76
13/10/23Abejas v Freseros84-78
Abejaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/26HFreseros97-80
17/09/26ALobos Plateados67-80
16/09/26ALobos Plateados87-91
12/09/26HGambusinos74-86
11/09/26HGambusinos83-87
30/08/26AFuerza Regia76-75
29/08/26AFuerza Regia84-95
26/08/26HDiablos Rojos73-75
25/08/26HDiablos Rojos81-73
21/08/26ADorados106-87
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/26AAbejas80-97
16/09/26HSoles63-92
15/09/26HSoles73-85
12/09/26ALobos Plateados90-86
11/09/26ALobos Plateados82-71
31/08/26HAstros67-77
30/08/26HAstros117-129 OT
26/08/26AGambusinos84-87
25/08/26AGambusinos77-73
21/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abejas
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLLW45%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%45%30%
Points / game84.686.982.0
Allowed / game86.187.484.8
Point differential-1.6-0.5-2.8
Avg total170.7174.3166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Freseros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayWLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%40%36%
Points / game85.086.084.1
Allowed / game90.492.488.5
Point differential-5.4-6.4-4.5
Avg total175.4178.4172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %10%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2117481%84.774.0+10.7
2 Astros2215768%87.780.8+6.9
3 Fuerza Regia2215768%90.685.5+5.1
4 Dorados2214864%85.683.6+2.0
5 Panteras2113862%88.985.2+3.7
6 Lobos Plateados2113862%83.381.0+2.3
7 Mineros21111052%87.185.1+2.0
8 Diablos Rojos22101245%83.983.8+0.1
9 Gambusinos2191243%78.382.3-4.0
10 Abejas2181338%84.686.1-1.6
11 Freseros2181338%85.090.4-5.4
12 Santos2171433%83.189.2-6.1
13 El Calor de Cancun2261627%82.086.9-4.9
14 Correcaminos2241818%82.393.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Abejas1712223283
Freseros2325122989
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