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Abilene Christian vs Southern Utah Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 87-83
0-0 38-48 0-0 49-35
Position#264
Record12-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#329
Record9-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Abilene Christian v Southern Utah
21 Feb 2026
ABIL87
SOUT83
31 Jan 2026
ABIL76
SOUT79
20 Feb 2025
ABIL75
SOUT59
27 Jan 2024
ABIL67
SOUT82
07 Jan 2023
ABIL72
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Utah winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A10/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A06/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A08/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
62-65 OT
62
65
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-37
0-0
43-45
0-0
29-46
0-0
29-28
0-0
27-44
0-0
25-30
0-0
31-42
0-0
39-34
0-0
39-33
0-0
37-46
0-0
24-26
0-0
31-42
0-0
26-32
0-0
37-33
0-0
24-27
0-0
43-36
0-0
26-32
0-0
47-27
0-0
26-22
0-0
32-36
135.3Avg total
64.8Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.170.7140.8-0.646%
Season at home (14)74.668.1142.7+6.664%
Season away (12)64.873.8138.6-8.925%
Last 10 (10)64.870.5135.3-5.720%
Last 5 (5)64.064.0128.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.875.4141.1-9.629%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.370.8140.1-1.545%
vs Weaker (4)80.857.8138.5+23.0100%
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern UtahUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
H16/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H18/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A25/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A30/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A31/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H08/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H13/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
52-44
0-0
40-48
0-0
44-27
0-0
30-25
0-0
35-34
0-0
49-36
0-0
43-52
0-0
48-50
0-0
23-45
0-0
38-35
0-0
33-39
0-0
46-37
0-0
34-33
0-0
25-29
0-0
36-43
0-0
30-40
0-0
34-29
0-0
44-44
0-0
36-44
0-0
38-34
155.3Avg total
77.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.079.5155.5-3.533%
Season at home (11)86.673.5160.1+13.264%
Season away (16)68.783.7152.4-15.012%
Last 10 (10)77.278.1155.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)71.274.4145.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)68.483.9152.4-15.517%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.975.9146.8-5.033%
vs Weaker (3)115.062.3177.3+52.7100%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
Abilene ChristianSouthern Utah
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A06/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A17/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
28.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.067.0-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.833.768.5+1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)30.834.465.2-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)28.134.162.2-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)25.227.853.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.136.567.6-5.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.534.365.7-2.836%-
vs Weaker (4)42.227.569.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern UtahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H16/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A25/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A30/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/02
NCAA
76.0Avg total
37.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.139.574.7-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.835.275.0+4.762%-
Last 30 away (17)31.542.974.4-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.076.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.672.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.641.473.9-8.828%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.739.373.0-5.722%-
vs Weaker (3)55.029.084.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Abilene Christian wins
4
Southern Utah wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26ATarleton62-65 OT
14/02/26HTarleton73-59
13/02/26HUT Arlington67-63
08/02/26ACalifornia Baptist63-65
06/02/26AUtah Valley State55-68
31/01/26HSouthern Utah76-79
30/01/26HUtah Tech70-76
18/01/26ASouthern Utah52-74
16/01/26HCalifornia Baptist58-74
10/01/26AUT Arlington72-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ATarleton74-78
14/02/26AUT Arlington78-73
13/02/26HCalifornia Baptist66-83
08/02/26HTarleton59-62
31/01/26AAbilene Christian79-76
30/01/26AUT Arlington61-80
25/01/26AUtah Tech91-102
22/01/26HUtah Valley State84-70
18/01/26HAbilene Christian74-52
16/01/26HTarleton106-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL46%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %46%64%25%
Points / game70.174.664.8
Allowed / game70.768.173.8
Point differential-0.6+6.6-8.9
Avg total140.8142.7138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Southern Utah
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLWWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %33%64%12%
Points / game76.086.668.7
Allowed / game79.573.583.7
Point differential-3.5+13.2-15.0
Avg total155.5160.1152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2720774%80.366.8+13.6
2 California Baptist2719870%71.968.6+3.4
3 Utah Tech28161257%76.073.2+2.8
4 UT Arlington27151256%71.167.4+3.8
5 Tarleton27141352%75.472.6+2.9
6 Abilene Christian26121446%70.170.7-0.6
7 Southern Utah2791833%76.079.5-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Abilene Christian03804987
Southern Utah04803583
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