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Southern Utah vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 106-105 (OT)
52-44 40-48 14-13
Position#329
Record4-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#255
Record11-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Utah v Tarleton
07 Feb 2026
SOUT59
TARL62
15 Jan 2026
SOUT106
TARL105
09 Jan 2025
SOUT66
TARL74
02 Mar 2024
SOUT83
TARL88
09 Feb 2023
SOUT72
TARL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Utah winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern UtahUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#74
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/11
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#713
W
124-59
124
59
+65
H02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A06/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
69-105
69
105
-36
A13/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A19/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H04/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A09/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
15-34
39-27
31-39
39-29
61-26
63-33
30-45
40-36
33-53
36-52
32-30
25-35
39-41
27-39
41-37
36-49
39-46
33-43
22-24
33-34
146.6Avg total
71.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.380.4155.6-5.124%
Season at home (6)94.072.7166.7+21.367%
Season away (11)65.184.5149.6-19.50%
Last 10 (10)71.475.2146.6-3.820%
Last 5 (5)65.475.6141.0-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)61.880.9142.7-19.16%
vs Similar (11)69.977.2147.1-7.327%
vs Weaker (3)115.062.3177.3+52.7100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
State Mustangs
#390
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A02/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#667
W
119-54
119
54
+65
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H02/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-36
42-21
29-31
29-45
59-29
60-25
53-23
40-40
43-40
45-24
49-35
29-19
35-30
34-33
40-43
45-48
29-28
35-36
38-46
42-38
150.0Avg total
81.8Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.272.6152.8+7.565%
Season at home (10)84.167.2151.3+16.980%
Season away (7)74.680.4155.0-5.943%
Last 10 (10)81.868.2150.0+13.670%
Last 5 (5)78.673.6152.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.175.0138.1-11.913%
vs Similar (9)75.271.6146.8+3.778%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.057.3152.3+37.7100%
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +7.2+7.2
Southern UtahTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern UtahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Robert Morris
#74
L
15-34
15
34
-19
A28/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H29/11
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#713
W
61-26
61
26
+35
H02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A06/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A19/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A11/01
NCAA
71.8Avg total
34.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.738.771.4-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.237.173.3-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)30.040.070.0-10.018%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.571.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.670.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.140.169.2-11.025%-
vs Similar (11)31.839.471.2-7.518%-
vs Weaker (3)55.029.084.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
State Mustangs
#390
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#667
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/01
NCAA
74.1Avg total
40.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.634.770.3+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.431.169.4+7.369%-
Last 30 away (14)32.538.971.4-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)40.034.174.1+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.474.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.337.469.7-5.120%-
vs Similar (9)34.732.467.1+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)50.334.785.0+15.7100%-
This opponent (Southern Utah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern Utah wins
4
Tarleton wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ACalifornia Baptist55-58
09/01/26AUtah Valley State72-89
04/01/26HUT Arlington77-86
30/12/25AUtah Tech66-80
19/12/25ANorthern Arizona57-65
13/12/25AWashington69-105
06/12/25AOregon State70-81
02/12/25HWest Coast Baptist124-59
29/11/25HStetson70-68
28/11/25ARobert Morris54-61
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HAbilene Christian80-84
03/01/26HCalifornia Baptist81-76 OT
02/01/26HUtah Valley State85-91
30/12/25AUT Arlington69-63
20/12/25HFlorida A&M78-54
17/12/25AMiss. Valley St.88-64
07/12/25HCameron93-63
04/12/25HHoward Payne119-54
02/12/25ACincinnati58-76
28/11/25HState Mustangs67-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Utah
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %24%67%0%
Points / game75.394.065.1
Allowed / game80.472.784.5
Point differential-5.1+21.3-19.5
Avg total155.6166.7149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL65%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %65%80%43%
Points / game80.284.174.6
Allowed / game72.667.280.4
Point differential+7.5+16.9-5.9
Avg total152.8151.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1814478%83.467.6+15.9
2 UT Arlington1611569%72.965.0+7.9
3 California Baptist1913668%73.169.5+3.6
4 Tarleton1711665%80.272.6+7.5
5 Abilene Christian1810856%72.571.6+0.9
6 Utah Tech189950%78.174.5+3.6
7 Southern Utah1741324%75.380.4-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Southern Utah524014106
Tarleton444813105
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