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Abilene Christian vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 85-68
41-36 44-32
Position#264
Record8-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game70.4
Abilene Christian 🏆
USA
vs
Utah Valley State
USA
Position#33
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State
03 Jan 2026
ABIL85
UTAH68
06 Mar 2025
ABIL60
UTAH73
09 Mar 2024
ABIL67
UTAH74
25 Feb 2023
ABIL62
UTAH66
09 Mar 2022
ABIL82
UTAH74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A19/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H25/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
58-92
58
92
-34
H25/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
87-55
87
55
+32
H28/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A03/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
62-96
62
96
-34
A17/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A20/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
27-31
39-26
22-24
32-39
26-53
39-31
48-24
35-28
36-35
35-27
42-42
31-51
31-45
36-43
31-42
33-36
42-32
24-40
40-39
139.1Avg total
67.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.970.4142.2+1.557%
Season at home (8)77.066.8143.8+10.275%
Season away (6)65.075.2140.2-10.233%
Last 10 (10)67.172.0139.1-4.950%
Last 5 (5)69.079.4148.4-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.380.3144.7-16.022%
vs Similar (10)67.469.3136.7-1.940%
vs Weaker (10)76.762.6139.3+14.190%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
W
75-52
75
52
+23
A25/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-45
89
45
+44
H26/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A04/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H11/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H13/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
109-48
109
48
+61
H20/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
46-28
42-14
47-31
32-33
34-44
38-31
44-40
36-32
37-37
37-15
31-38
40-32
50-42
52-23
57-25
33-39
40-27
43-40
48-45
145.6Avg total
81.6Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.565.5149.1+18.080%
Season at home (9)87.658.0145.6+29.6100%
Season away (6)77.576.8154.3+0.750%
Last 10 (10)81.664.0145.6+17.690%
Last 5 (5)86.265.2151.4+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)75.076.8151.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.364.0144.3+16.288%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +7.7+7.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +7.7+7.7
Abilene ChristianUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A19/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A03/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A17/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H02/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
32.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.267.8+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.831.266.9+4.653%-
Last 30 away (13)33.035.968.9-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)32.635.367.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.839.471.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.438.369.8-6.911%-
vs Similar (10)31.633.264.8-1.640%-
vs Weaker (10)39.729.869.5+9.980%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
42-14
42
14
+28
H26/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H11/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
37-15
37
15
+22
H13/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H20/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/01
NCAA
66.5Avg total
38.2Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.930.367.2+6.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.826.966.7+12.881%-
Last 30 away (14)33.734.167.9-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)38.228.366.5+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.029.870.8+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)31.533.865.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.029.567.5+8.568%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Abilene Christian wins
6
Utah Valley State wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State60-73
04/01/25Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian64-53
09/03/24Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State67-74
10/02/24Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian74-45
26/02/23Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State62-66
19/01/23Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian84-54
10/03/22Abilene Christian v Utah Valley State82-74
31/12/21Utah Valley State v Abilene Christian76-80
Abilene Christianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26HUtah Tech64-79
22/12/25ATexas Southern75-68
20/12/25ABrigham Young67-85
17/12/25AArizona62-96
06/12/25HNew Mexico State77-69
03/12/25APepperdine71-63
28/11/25HJarvis Christian87-55
25/11/25HWilliam & Mary58-92
25/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners61-50
19/11/25ATexas State49-63
Utah Valley Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26ATarleton91-85
30/12/25HCalifornia Baptist73-66
20/12/25HBethesda109-48
18/12/25HWeber State90-74
13/12/25HUC Santa Barbara68-53
11/12/25HIdaho State73-69
06/12/25ABowling Green82-71
04/12/25ASan Diego State66-77
26/11/25HSamford89-45
25/11/25ASouth Dakota St.75-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game71.977.065.0
Allowed / game70.466.875.2
Point differential+1.5+10.2-10.2
Avg total142.2143.8140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game83.587.677.5
Allowed / game65.558.076.8
Point differential+18.0+29.6+0.7
Avg total149.1145.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1512380%83.565.5+18.0
2 Tarleton1510567%80.171.7+8.5
3 California Baptist1510567%73.170.3+2.9
4 UT Arlington149564%71.363.6+7.6
5 Abilene Christian148657%71.970.4+1.5
6 Utah Tech169756%78.672.8+5.8
7 Southern Utah1441029%76.980.9-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Abilene Christian414485
Utah Valley State363268
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