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Abilene Christian vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-69
35-27 42-42
Position#264
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#178
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Abilene Christian v New Mexico State
06 Dec 2025
ABIL77
NEW 69
01 Mar 2023
ABIL20
NEW 0
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#252
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H14/03
NCAA
McMurry
#528
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H04/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H11/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A19/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H25/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
58-92
58
92
-34
H25/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
87-55
87
55
+32
H28/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-30
38-39
41-22
51-33
37-37
36-34
56-25
48-38
33-35
33-41
22-32
27-31
39-26
22-24
32-39
26-53
39-31
48-24
35-28
36-35
138.1Avg total
72.4Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.465.3138.8+8.167%
Season at home (6)79.264.3143.5+14.883%
Season away (3)62.067.3129.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)72.465.7138.1+6.760%
Last 5 (5)65.264.6129.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)60.078.6138.6-18.612%
vs Similar (10)66.167.3133.4-1.240%
vs Weaker (11)75.863.1138.9+12.782%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-19
34-36
38-45
31-31
34-34
43-46
43-36
40-36
29-24
45-34
27-27
49-41
40-32
41-40
26-20
31-25
37-28
40-30
32-36
45-39
139.7Avg total
73.8Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.064.0139.0+11.0100%
Season at home (5)78.265.6143.8+12.6100%
Season away (2)67.060.0127.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.865.9139.7+7.980%
Last 5 (5)73.663.6137.2+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.861.2123.0+0.550%
vs Similar (16)68.265.9134.2+2.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)73.660.2133.9+13.488%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +4.1+4.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +4.1+4.1
Abilene ChristianNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#252
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H14/03
NCAA
McMurry
#528
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
56-25
56
25
+31
H11/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A19/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A03/12
NCAA
66.4Avg total
35.9Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.066.2+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.231.067.2+5.253%-
Last 30 away (13)31.533.364.8-1.846%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.566.4+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.264.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.237.566.8-8.20%-
vs Similar (10)32.632.064.6+0.650%-
vs Weaker (11)38.528.967.5+9.682%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A07/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Adams State
#392
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/12
NCAA
64.0Avg total
33.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.528.361.8+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.826.261.0+8.676%-
Last 30 away (13)31.831.062.8+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.164.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.428.661.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.226.254.5+2.050%-
vs Similar (16)32.728.661.2+4.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.228.864.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Abilene Christian wins
2
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25APepperdine71-63
28/11/25HJarvis Christian87-55
25/11/25HWilliam & Mary58-92
25/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners61-50
19/11/25ATexas State49-63
15/11/25AStephen F. Austin66-76
11/11/25HSouthwest Adventist104-63
07/11/25HNebraska O.73-71
04/11/25HMcMurry92-55
14/03/25HSeattle63-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25ASouth Alabama77-75
26/11/25HGeorgia State77-58
26/11/25AUC Irvine57-45
22/11/25HSamford81-72
16/11/25HNew Mexico76-68
12/11/25HNew Mexico Cowboys74-58
05/11/25HAdams State83-72
13/03/25AKennesaw State77-80
08/03/25ASam Houston St.69-76
07/03/25ALouisiana Tech67-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game73.479.262.0
Allowed / game65.364.367.3
Point differential+8.1+14.8-5.3
Avg total138.8143.5129.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.078.267.0
Allowed / game64.065.660.0
Point differential+11.0+12.6+7.0
Avg total139.0143.8127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist97278%73.167.8+5.3
2 Utah Valley State96367%83.265.3+17.9
3 UT Arlington96367%76.165.3+10.8
4 Abilene Christian96367%73.465.3+8.1
5 Tarleton106460%78.974.0+4.9
6 Utah Tech115645%78.074.1+3.9
7 Southern Utah104640%81.480.2+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State770100%75.064.0+11.0
2 Kennesaw State97278%94.676.3+18.2
3 Liberty86275%84.864.4+20.4
4 Western Kentucky75271%86.478.3+8.1
5 Sam Houston St.85362%86.976.0+10.9
6 Middle Tenn. St.85362%81.872.1+9.6
7 Florida International85362%84.476.5+7.9
8 Louisiana Tech74357%69.961.6+8.3
9 Missouri State84450%78.673.9+4.8
10 Jacksonville State73443%77.463.3+14.1
11 UTEP73443%74.372.0+2.3
12 Delaware82625%68.975.9-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Abilene Christian354277
New Mexico State274269
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