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Tarleton vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-91
40-43 45-48
Position#255
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game70.3
Tarleton
USA
vs
Utah Valley State 🏆
USA
Position#33
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tarleton v Utah Valley State
29 Jan 2026
TARL55
UTAH83
01 Jan 2026
TARL85
UTAH91
08 Mar 2025
TARL66
UTAH71
07 Mar 2024
TARL60
UTAH63
23 Feb 2023
TARL77
UTAH58
16 Feb 2022
TARL56
UTAH69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Angelo State
#430
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H18/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A21/11
NCAA
State Mustangs
#390
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A02/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#667
W
119-54
119
54
+65
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-55
39-39
44-25
33-29
37-38
53-36
25-36
42-21
29-31
29-45
59-29
60-25
53-23
40-40
43-40
45-24
49-35
29-19
35-30
34-33
147.3Avg total
82.0Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.870.3150.1+9.571%
Season at home (7)85.060.1145.1+24.9100%
Season away (7)74.680.4155.0-5.943%
Last 10 (10)82.065.3147.3+16.780%
Last 5 (5)89.459.6149.0+29.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)61.972.7134.6-10.920%
vs Similar (9)71.667.6139.1+4.078%
vs Weaker (3)95.057.3152.3+37.7100%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#60
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
75-52
75
52
+23
A25/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-45
89
45
+44
H26/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A04/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H11/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H13/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
109-48
109
48
+61
H20/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-27
48-45
29-24
46-28
42-14
47-31
32-33
34-44
38-31
44-40
36-32
37-37
37-15
31-38
40-32
50-42
52-23
57-25
33-39
40-27
143.1Avg total
80.4Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.064.1147.1+18.979%
Season at home (9)87.658.0145.6+29.6100%
Season away (5)74.875.2150.0-0.440%
Last 10 (10)80.462.7143.1+17.790%
Last 5 (5)82.662.0144.6+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)75.076.8151.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.563.8144.3+16.688%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +9.3+9.32nd half: +7.7+7.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +9.3+9.32nd half: +7.7+7.7
TarletonUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Angelo State
#430
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A21/11
NCAA
State Mustangs
#390
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#667
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/12
NCAA
Cameron
#466
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/12
NCAA
75.8Avg total
41.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.268.5+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.428.667.0+9.979%-
Last 30 away (16)32.637.369.9-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.634.275.8+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.831.479.2+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.735.967.5-4.227%-
vs Similar (9)34.630.164.7+4.478%-
vs Weaker (3)50.334.785.0+15.7100%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#60
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
42-14
42
14
+28
H26/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H11/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
37-15
37
15
+22
H13/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#665
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H20/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H30/12
NCAA
64.0Avg total
37.0Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.467.2+6.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.827.867.6+11.976%-
Last 30 away (13)33.033.766.7-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)37.027.064.0+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.628.267.8+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)31.533.865.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)37.929.667.4+8.364%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tarleton wins
7
Utah Valley State wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Tarleton v Utah Valley State66-71
08/02/25Utah Valley State v Tarleton81-56
08/03/24Tarleton v Utah Valley State60-63
09/02/24Utah Valley State v Tarleton61-72
10/03/23Utah Valley State v Tarleton72-58
24/02/23Tarleton v Utah Valley State77-58
17/02/22Tarleton v Utah Valley State56-69
01/01/22Utah Valley State v Tarleton77-55
31/01/21Utah Valley State v Tarleton62-70
30/01/21Utah Valley State v Tarleton73-60
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AUT Arlington69-63
20/12/25HFlorida A&M78-54
17/12/25AMiss. Valley St.88-64
07/12/25HCameron93-63
04/12/25HHoward Payne119-54
02/12/25ACincinnati58-76
28/11/25HState Mustangs67-57
21/11/25ARice90-74
18/11/25HAngelo State77-54
15/11/25ABaylor81-94
Utah Valley Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HCalifornia Baptist73-66
20/12/25HBethesda109-48
18/12/25HWeber State90-74
13/12/25HUC Santa Barbara68-53
11/12/25HIdaho State73-69
06/12/25ABowling Green82-71
04/12/25ASan Diego State66-77
26/11/25HSamford89-45
25/11/25ASouth Dakota St.75-52
20/11/25HUC Irvine79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game79.885.074.6
Allowed / game70.360.180.4
Point differential+9.5+24.9-5.9
Avg total150.1145.1155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%86%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %79%100%40%
Points / game83.087.674.8
Allowed / game64.158.075.2
Point differential+18.9+29.6-0.4
Avg total147.1145.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1411379%83.064.1+18.9
2 Tarleton1410471%79.870.3+9.5
3 California Baptist1510567%73.170.3+2.9
4 UT Arlington149564%71.363.6+7.6
5 Abilene Christian138562%72.569.7+2.8
6 Utah Tech158753%78.573.4+5.1
7 Southern Utah1441029%76.980.9-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton404585
Utah Valley State434891
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