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Academica vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 55-86
13-18 14-19 17-23 11-26
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.2
PortugalProligaRound 6· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2023-24
Meetings · Academica v Illiabum
23 Jan 2027
ACAD v ILLI
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
ACAD46
ILLI76
25 Nov 2023
ACAD55
ILLI86
29 Oct 2022
ACAD55
ILLI69
16 Apr 2022
ACAD69
ILLI84
13 Nov 2021
ACAD61
ILLI96
21 Nov 2010
ACAD70
ILLI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H11/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
L
67-79
67
79
-12
no box
H18/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
H25/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H01/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
64-68
64
68
-4
53avg 57
H14/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
100-84
100
84
+16
95avg 57
A21/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
65-92
65
92
-27
45avg 57
A28/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
48-59
48
59
-11
32avg 57
H04/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 57
A18/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
28-21
13-24
28-13
17-25
14-17
23-14
13-23
18-18
29-24
18-20
23-19
23-8
11-18
13-18
26-20
15-18
24-20
18-21
15-27
21-15
11-18
19-24
13-11
26-20
30-30
27-15
17-19
8-29
22-12
23-27
12-24
6-14
19-12
15-18
8-15
27-20
19-20
15-21
12-16
149.9Avg total
73.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.076.0146.0-6.020%
Season at home (2)56.063.5119.5-7.50%
Season away (3)79.384.3163.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)73.676.3149.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)70.076.0146.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.883.2154.0-12.40%
vs Similar (7)73.971.6145.4+2.343%
vs Weaker (14)80.273.8154.0+6.471%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#3
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
A11/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#2
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A18/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#5
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H25/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#11
L
87-103
87
103
-16
no box
A02/04
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#3
L
99-103
99
103
-4
no box
H08/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 60
A14/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
63avg 60
H21/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
55avg 60
A28/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
no box
A05/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
49avg 60
H18/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
19-13
20-25
29-27
16-12
16-18
28-13
21-24
21-24
26-25
18-20
18-24
16-24
18-21
14-28
39-30
24-34
27-27
26-16
22-26
25-23
17-23
23-17
20-25
17-13
15-9
13-18
26-23
21-22
20-7
27-24
16-10
18-15
25-10
16-30
15-19
11-22
20-15
15-21
17-23
166.4Avg total
83.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.075.2153.2+2.860%
Season at home (2)67.072.0139.0-5.050%
Season away (3)85.377.3162.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)83.283.2166.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)78.075.2153.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.373.0142.3-3.733%
vs Similar (11)80.379.5159.8+0.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.173.7155.7+8.467%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
AcademicaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H11/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H25/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H01/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H14/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A21/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H04/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A18/11
Proliga
75.9Avg total
38.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.476.7+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.635.070.6+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)43.039.882.8+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.475.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.338.776.0-1.356%-
vs Similar (7)38.637.375.9+1.343%-
vs Weaker (14)40.936.677.6+4.371%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#2
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A18/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H25/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A02/04
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#3
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H08/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A14/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A05/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H18/11
Proliga
77.8Avg total
39.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.377.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.838.279.0+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.436.374.6+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.277.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.869.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (11)40.737.978.6+2.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.335.776.1+4.667%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.616.2
40.9%
50.4%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.6
39.7%
31.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws12.87.6
59.4%
69.3%7.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.2
54.5%
50.4%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.56.2
23.6%
31.2%18.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.2%
69.3%14.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
LLLWLLWWLW
Illiabum
LWWWLLLLWW
#14
League position
#9
-9.4
Net rating
+2.2
94.8
Offensive rating
94.2
104.2
Defensive rating
92.1
48.0%
Effective FG%
46.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.8%
Turnover %
21.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.7%
3-point %
23.6%
44.2%
Assist %
49.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 94.2Defence104.2 · 92.1Shooting48.0% · 46.8%3-point %39.7% · 23.6%Ball care19.8% · 21.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 26.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Academica   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Academica wins
7
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Illiabum v Academica71-64
29/10/22Academica v Illiabum55-69
16/04/22Academica v Illiabum69-84
02/04/22Illiabum v Academica83-81
19/02/22Illiabum v Academica72-59
13/11/21Academica v Illiabum61-96
19/02/11Illiabum v Academica67-77
21/11/10Academica v Illiabum70-81
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AVasco Da Gama73-77
04/11/23HGalitos Aveiro48-59
28/10/23ABraga65-92
21/10/23ASampaense100-84
14/10/23HMaia64-68
08/04/23ABenfica Lisboa B72-86
01/04/23HGinasio Olhanense73-64
25/03/23HBelenenses88-81
18/03/23HBarreirense67-79
11/03/23HBenfica Lisboa B86-73
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HMaia63-81
05/11/23ASangalhos87-81 OT
28/10/23ASampaense84-63
21/10/23HVasco Da Gama71-63
14/10/23AGalitos Aveiro85-88
08/04/23HGalitos Barreiro99-103
02/04/23ACA Queluz87-103
25/03/23HPortimonense83-93
18/03/23ASanto Andre81-67
11/03/23AGalitos Barreiro92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game70.056.079.3
Allowed / game76.063.584.3
Point differential-6.0-7.5-5.0
Avg total146.0119.5163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game78.067.085.3
Allowed / game75.272.077.3
Point differential+2.8-5.0+8.0
Avg total153.2139.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz660100%86.871.0+15.8
2 Braga65183%86.876.7+10.2
3 Maia65183%77.574.0+3.5
4 Vasco Da Gama64267%84.278.5+5.7
5 Barreirense64267%80.878.3+2.5
6 Illiabum53260%78.075.2+2.8
7 CAB Madeira63350%81.279.8+1.3
8 Galitos Aveiro63350%76.775.8+0.8
9 Galitos Barreiro63350%78.780.2-1.5
10 Santo Andre63350%83.385.2-1.8
11 Sangalhos62433%73.274.3-1.2
12 Imortal B62433%73.076.8-3.8
13 Benfica Lisboa B62433%71.278.3-7.2
14 Academica51420%70.076.0-6.0
15 Ginasio Olhanense61517%78.383.7-5.3
16 Sampaense6060%76.092.3-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academica1314171155
Illiabum1819232686
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