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Academica vs Illiabum Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game74.4
PortugalProligaRound 16· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2026-27
Meetings · Academica v Illiabum
23 Jan 2027
ACAD v ILLI
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
ACAD46
ILLI76
25 Nov 2023
ACAD55
ILLI86
29 Oct 2022
ACAD55
ILLI69
16 Apr 2022
ACAD69
ILLI84
13 Nov 2021
ACAD61
ILLI96
21 Nov 2010
ACAD70
ILLI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
52avg 63
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 63
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 63
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
50avg 63
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 63
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
69-74
69
74
-5
37avg 63
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 63
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
99-105
99
105
-6
94avg 63
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
87-55
87
55
+32
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
17-19
14-17
11-16
23-16
25-27
13-14
18-28
24-22
18-16
15-29
24-18
22-18
16-21
21-20
16-26
15-25
12-21
23-13
23-19
10-15
22-19
23-15
14-25
17-21
22-26
24-24
17-17
20-33
32-21
28-24
19-27
20-22
15-26
20-23
25-27
21-19
22-16
22-10
22-10
159.8Avg total
78.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.483.3163.7-2.914%
Season at home (3)76.369.0145.3+7.333%
Season away (4)83.594.0177.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)78.281.6159.8-3.410%
Last 5 (5)83.084.0167.0-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)67.880.8148.6-13.013%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.282.7157.8-7.50%
vs Weaker (1)87.055.0142.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
77avg 61
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
74avg 61
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
51avg 61
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
52avg 61
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
48avg 61
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 61
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
53avg 61
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
53avg 61
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
14-12
8-18
18-14
23-24
20-23
24-15
18-12
20-13
23-26
23-19
23-18
18-22
148.3Avg total
72.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.174.4148.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)77.574.5152.0+3.075%
Season away (3)69.774.3144.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)72.975.4148.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.477.0152.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.872.8137.6-8.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.673.4142.9-3.843%
vs Weaker (11)82.568.1150.6+14.582%
This opponent (Academica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
AcademicaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
39.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.341.076.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.139.474.5-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.578.1-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.141.175.3-7.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.541.379.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H14/11
Proliga
75.0Avg total
35.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.873.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.576.8+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)34.135.169.2-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.675.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.874.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.033.062.0-4.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.038.273.2-3.236%-
vs Weaker (11)43.734.077.7+9.791%-
This opponent (Academica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
52.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.74.6
26.0%
30.6%13.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.1
66.5%
67.3%15.1
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.4
48.3%
52.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.7
29.5%
30.6%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
67.3%13.9
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
WLLLLLLLLL
Illiabum
WWLLWLWLLW
#16
League position
#7
-8.3
Net rating
-3.7
83.4
Offensive rating
83.3
91.7
Defensive rating
87.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
46.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.37
26.0%
3-point %
29.5%
50.6%
Assist %
64.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence83.4 · 83.3Defence91.7 · 87.0Shooting48.2% · 46.9%3-point %26.0% · 29.5%Ball care18.6% · 18.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Academica   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Academica wins
9
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Illiabum v Academica85-75
29/11/25Illiabum v Academica90-58
11/10/25Academica v Illiabum46-76
27/01/24Illiabum v Academica67-69
25/11/23Academica v Illiabum55-86
07/01/23Illiabum v Academica71-64
29/10/22Academica v Illiabum55-69
16/04/22Academica v Illiabum69-84
02/04/22Illiabum v Academica83-81
19/02/22Illiabum v Academica72-59
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBarcelos87-55
07/11/26AGalitos Aveiro80-98
30/10/26ASampaense99-105
24/10/26AGalitos Barreiro80-88
17/10/26HCB Queluz69-74
10/10/26HSanto Andre73-78
03/10/26AIlliabum75-85
02/05/26ASampaense81-85
26/04/26HLusitania79-85
19/04/26ABenfica Lisboa B59-63
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGinasio Olhanense87-85
07/11/26ABarcelos82-63
31/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-68
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game80.476.383.5
Allowed / game83.369.094.0
Point differential-2.9+7.3-10.5
Avg total163.7145.3177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game74.177.569.7
Allowed / game74.474.574.3
Point differential-0.3+3.0-4.7
Avg total148.6152.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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