Adelaide vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 83-84

18-25 23-23 25-12 17-24

Position#9

Record8-17

FormWLWWL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game88.0

Adelaide

Gold Coast 🏆

Position#3

Record15-11

FormWWWLL

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game80.7

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Adelaide v Gold Coast

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gold Coast winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

63-80

-17

A13/01

NBL

Cairns

75-87

-12

H22/01

NBL

Townsville

69-79

-10

A25/01

NBL

Melbourne United

81-87

-6

A03/02

NBL

Townsville

71-89

-18

A05/02

NBL

Townsville

79-74

H12/02

NBL

Perth

79-90

-11

H24/02

NBL

Melbourne United

92-83

A25/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

77-73

H03/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-91

-15

H10/03

NBL

16-26

14-17

16-22

17-15

24-12

11-27

18-18

22-30

14-19

21-24

18-17

16-19

19-13

22-24

20-24

20-26

27-21

21-22

10-24

13-22

17-11

21-23

26-23

15-17

20-23

16-21

16-16

27-30

23-26

26-22

20-14

23-21

18-19

14-11

21-15

24-28

24-33

21-14

16-23

15-21

159.5Avg total

76.2Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	82.4	88.0	170.4	-5.5	32%
Season at home (13)	79.5	86.8	166.4	-7.3	31%
Season away (12)	85.6	89.2	174.8	-3.6	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	83.3	159.5	-7.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	82.2	162.8	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	77.0	89.6	166.6	-12.6	20%
vs Similar (15)	85.8	86.5	172.3	-0.7	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

76-49

+27

H29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-50

+41

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

84-72

+12

A10/02

NBL

Townsville

66-80

-14

H19/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

94-86

A24/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

85-72

+13

H26/02

NBL

Cairns

94-77

+17

A03/03

NBL

Sydney

90-83

H04/03

NBL

Townsville

76-88

-12

A10/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

93-109

109

-16

A15/03

NBL

21-14

19-9

23-14

13-12

26-17

21-12

16-11

28-10

19-21

28-15

18-15

12-23

18-18

20-22

16-17

21-22

30-21

16-22

27-21

18-23

28-17

14-14

25-18

23-14

24-31

27-17

20-15

20-24

17-19

29-10

24-30

32-24

9-17

23-23

12-24

18-23

28-35

22-32

25-19

161.5Avg total

84.9Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	85.0	80.7	165.7	+4.2	58%
Season at home (13)	85.2	77.1	162.3	+8.2	69%
Season away (13)	84.7	84.4	169.1	+0.3	46%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	76.6	161.5	+8.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	85.8	173.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	86.2	90.0	176.2	-3.8	50%
vs Similar (10)	84.3	90.0	174.3	-5.7	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	86.3	75.2	161.5	+11.1	75%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideGold Coast

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.7	44.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.5	24.3	45.7	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.9	21.1	44.1	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	25.2	46.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.5	22.4	44.9	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.3	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.1	42.1	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	23.3	45.1	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	22.5	42.1	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.1	44.4	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	23.9	45.3	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	25.2	45.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	24.8	46.7	-2.9	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.7	69%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

30-43

-13

A13/01

NBL

Cairns

35-39

-4

H22/01

NBL

Townsville

35-43

-8

A25/01

NBL

Melbourne United

41-37

A03/02

NBL

Townsville

48-43

A05/02

NBL

Townsville

38-34

H12/02

NBL

Perth

36-44

-8

H24/02

NBL

Melbourne United

49-48

A25/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

32-30

H03/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-47

-2

H10/03

NBL

79.7Avg total

38.9Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	44.8	87.0	-2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	43.2	83.9	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	46.1	89.8	-2.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.8	79.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.6	80.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	41.0	46.8	87.8	-5.8	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	43.5	42.7	86.3	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

40-23

+17

H29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-29

+18

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

38-42

-4

A10/02

NBL

Townsville

30-41

-11

H19/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-43

A24/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-40

H26/02

NBL

Cairns

47-45

A03/03

NBL

Sydney

37-43

-6

H04/03

NBL

Townsville

41-41

A10/03

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-58

-12

A15/03

NBL

82.8Avg total

42.3Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	43.2	87.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	41.4	86.2	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	44.8	89.3	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	40.5	82.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	45.4	88.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.0	50.5	91.5	-9.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.4	47.2	91.6	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	45.8	38.8	84.6	+7.0	75%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.5	17.7	38.1	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.2	39.6	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.7	16.6	36.3	+3.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	24.3	43.6	-4.9	7%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.9	41.6	-2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.9	42.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.5	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	16.5	38.2	+5.2	75%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	42.4	81.0	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	41.9	79.9	-3.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	42.8	81.9	-3.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	42.5	79.8	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.6	82.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.0	42.8	78.8	-6.8	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	41.2	41.9	83.1	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	37.1	78.4	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	40.2	80.6	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	36.1	78.7	+6.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.4	84.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	45.2	39.5	84.8	+5.8	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.5	42.3	81.8	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.5	36.4	76.9	+4.1	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Gold Coast wins

Date	Game	Score
23/12/11	Gold Coast v Adelaide	96-77
26/11/11	Adelaide v Gold Coast	82-95
25/03/11	Gold Coast v Adelaide	101-102 OT
13/02/11	Gold Coast v Adelaide	95-79
16/01/11	Adelaide v Gold Coast	90-83
15/01/10	Gold Coast v Adelaide	104-89
16/12/09	Adelaide v Gold Coast	91-81
09/12/09	Gold Coast v Adelaide	80-72
07/11/09	Adelaide v Gold Coast	80-77

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/12	H	New Zealand Breakers	76-91
03/03/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	77-73
25/02/12	A	Melbourne United	92-83
24/02/12	H	Perth	79-90
12/02/12	H	Townsville	79-74
05/02/12	A	Townsville	71-89
03/02/12	A	Melbourne United	81-87
25/01/12	A	Townsville	69-79
22/01/12	H	Cairns	75-87
13/01/12	A	New Zealand Breakers	63-80

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/12	A	New Zealand Breakers	93-109
10/03/12	A	Townsville	76-88
04/03/12	H	Sydney	90-83
03/03/12	A	Cairns	94-77
26/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	85-72
24/02/12	A	Illawarra Hawks	94-86
19/02/12	H	Townsville	66-80
10/02/12	A	Sydney	84-72
04/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-50
29/01/12	H	Cairns	76-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	32%
Home	LWLWL	31%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	32%	31%	33%
Points / game	82.4	79.5	85.6
Allowed / game	88.0	86.8	89.2
Point differential	-5.5	-7.3	-3.6
Avg total	170.4	166.4	174.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	8%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Gold Coast

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	58%
Home	WWLWW	69%
Away	WWWLL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	58%	69%	46%
Points / game	85.0	85.2	84.7
Allowed / game	80.7	77.1	84.4
Point differential	+4.2	+8.2	+0.3
Avg total	165.7	162.3	169.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	54%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	26	20	6	77%	86.0	77.5	+8.5
2	Perth	27	18	9	67%	87.5	77.8	+9.7
3	Gold Coast	26	15	11	58%	85.0	80.7	+4.2
4	Townsville	27	15	12	56%	79.4	79.0	+0.4
5	Cairns	26	14	12	54%	72.0	75.1	-3.1
6	Melbourne United	26	11	15	42%	77.8	80.6	-2.8
7	Sydney	26	10	16	38%	82.0	87.4	-5.4
8	Adelaide	25	8	17	32%	82.4	88.0	-5.5
9	Illawarra Hawks	25	6	19	24%	74.1	81.0	-6.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	18	23	25	17	83
Gold Coast	25	23	12	24	84

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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