Adelaide vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jan 2011

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 90-83

31-27 22-16 14-24 23-16

Position#8

Record5-9

FormWLWLL

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game83.4

Adelaide 🏆

Gold Coast

Position#6

Record6-9

FormWWLLW

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game86.1

NBLRound 14

Other2010-11

Meetings · Adelaide v Gold Coast

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gold Coast winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

78-82

-4

H12/11

NBL

Cairns

71-87

-16

A20/11

NBL

Townsville

73-77

-4

A21/11

NBL

Townsville

92-79

+13

H03/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

79-81

-2

A10/12

NBL

Sydney

81-77

H17/12

NBL

Townsville

97-99 OT

-2

H23/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

98-83

+15

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

66-87

-21

A02/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-90

-5

H08/01

NBL

23-31

17-20

24-13

14-18

21-24

14-25

19-20

17-18

22-22

16-29

19-13

16-13

20-17

29-21

21-18

22-23

16-24

20-15

18-19

25-23

17-23

20-16

25-14

19-24

20-15

23-23

22-24

23-26

26-23

23-17

24-12

25-31

16-25

14-19

14-20

22-23

25-23

17-27

7-20

36-20

166.2Avg total

82.0Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.2	83.4	164.6	-2.1	36%
Season at home (9)	86.0	83.3	169.3	+2.7	56%
Season away (5)	72.6	83.4	156.0	-10.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	84.2	166.2	-2.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	87.2	172.6	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	82.1	86.2	168.3	-4.1	22%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	83.3	85.6	168.9	-2.2	33%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

82-85

-3

H21/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-100

100

-21

A25/11

NBL

Sydney

85-68

+17

H03/12

NBL

Melbourne United

78-82

-4

A04/12

NBL

Townsville

86-91

-5

A11/12

NBL

Townsville

93-81

+12

H17/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

72-70

A23/12

NBL

Perth

93-96

-3

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

82-86

-4

A07/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

87-86 OT

H09/01

NBL

13-21

13-25

28-15

28-24

20-26

21-26

16-25

22-23

19-16

17-21

26-16

23-15

28-25

15-17

27-22

8-18

18-24

22-22

28-19

18-26

32-26

21-18

12-25

28-12

20-14

15-25

24-21

13-10

24-30

19-33

29-21

21-12

27-29

21-17

10-23

24-17

22-15

20-15

15-18

18-27

168.2Avg total

83.7Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	83.8	86.1	169.9	-2.3	40%
Season at home (8)	88.4	85.4	173.8	+3.0	62%
Season away (7)	78.6	86.9	165.4	-8.3	14%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	84.5	168.2	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	83.8	169.2	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	84.3	97.3	181.7	-13.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	85.2	86.4	171.6	-1.2	46%
vs Weaker (1)	79.0	66.0	145.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideGold Coast

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	21.4	42.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	23.1	44.2	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.7	43.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.6	22.7	44.2	-1.1	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	23.2	43.8	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	24.5	45.2	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.6	44.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.8	47.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	25.3	49.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.1	23.3	43.4	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	23.6	43.5	-3.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.7	44.3	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	30.3	48.7	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	22.2	21.7	43.8	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	0%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

40-51

-11

H12/11

NBL

Cairns

35-49

-14

A20/11

NBL

Townsville

38-51

-13

A21/11

NBL

Townsville

49-38

+11

H03/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-39

-3

A10/12

NBL

Sydney

37-39

-2

H17/12

NBL

Townsville

43-38

H23/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-40

H31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

30-44

-14

A02/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-50

-8

H08/01

NBL

83.8Avg total

39.9Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.0	84.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.5	40.1	82.6	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.1	46.7	87.8	-5.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	43.9	83.8	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.2	82.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	41.3	43.4	84.8	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.8	42.2	85.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

26-46

-20

H21/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-52

-11

A25/11

NBL

Sydney

36-37

-1

H03/12

NBL

Melbourne United

43-42

A04/12

NBL

Townsville

40-46

-6

A11/12

NBL

Townsville

53-44

H17/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

35-39

-4

A23/12

NBL

Perth

43-63

-20

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

48-46

A07/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-30

+12

H09/01

NBL

85.2Avg total

40.7Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	45.7	87.9	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	44.7	86.7	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	46.7	89.1	-4.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	44.5	85.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	44.4	88.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.0	55.7	97.7	-13.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	42.3	45.0	87.2	-2.7	35%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	20.8	39.2	-2.3	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.3	36.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.3	40.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.9	43.8	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	24.8	49.8	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.5	22.9	43.4	-2.4	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.7	43.8	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.3	39.7	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.6	36.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.8	81.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.1	42.0	81.1	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.2	80.4	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	42.8	86.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	40.3	42.1	82.4	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.1	41.3	80.4	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	40.3	81.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	39.0	83.3	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	41.6	80.2	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	38.9	80.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.3	41.7	84.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	41.5	40.5	82.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	32.0	69.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Gold Coast wins

Date	Game	Score
15/01/10	Gold Coast v Adelaide	104-89
16/12/09	Adelaide v Gold Coast	91-81
09/12/09	Gold Coast v Adelaide	80-72
07/11/09	Adelaide v Gold Coast	80-77

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-90
02/01/11	A	Melbourne United	66-87
31/12/10	H	Illawarra Hawks	98-83
23/12/10	H	Townsville	97-99 OT
17/12/10	H	Sydney	81-77
10/12/10	A	Illawarra Hawks	79-81
03/12/10	H	Townsville	92-79
21/11/10	A	Townsville	73-77
20/11/10	A	Cairns	71-87
12/11/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	78-82

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	87-86 OT
07/01/11	A	Cairns	82-86
31/12/10	H	Perth	93-96
23/12/10	A	Illawarra Hawks	72-70
17/12/10	H	Townsville	93-81
11/12/10	A	Townsville	86-91
04/12/10	A	Melbourne United	78-82
03/12/10	H	Sydney	85-68
25/11/10	A	New Zealand Breakers	79-100
21/11/10	H	Melbourne United	82-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	36%
Home	WWLWL	56%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	9	5
Win %	36%	56%	0%
Points / game	81.2	86.0	72.6
Allowed / game	83.4	83.3	83.4
Point differential	-2.1	+2.7	-10.8
Avg total	164.6	169.3	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	40% (5)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	11%	0%

Gold Coast

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	40%
Home	LWWLW	62%
Away	LLLWL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	40%	62%	14%
Points / game	83.8	88.4	78.6
Allowed / game	86.1	85.4	86.9
Point differential	-2.3	+3.0	-8.3
Avg total	169.9	173.8	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	50% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	13%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	15	12	3	80%	86.7	84.1	+2.7
2	Cairns	14	10	4	71%	80.1	73.5	+6.6
3	Perth	16	11	5	69%	88.2	79.2	+8.9
4	Townsville	17	10	7	59%	80.9	79.8	+1.1
5	Illawarra Hawks	16	9	7	56%	80.9	80.4	+0.6
6	Gold Coast	15	6	9	40%	83.8	86.1	-2.3
7	Adelaide	14	5	9	36%	81.2	83.4	-2.1
8	Melbourne United	16	5	11	31%	79.0	86.0	-7.0
9	Sydney	15	1	14	7%	73.3	81.7	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	31	22	14	23	90
Gold Coast	27	16	24	16	83

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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