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Gold Coast vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 76-49
21-14 19-9 23-14 13-12
Position#3
Record8-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#4
Record10-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game73.9
AustraliaNBL
Other2011-12
Meetings · Gold Coast v Cairns
29 Jan 2012
GOLD76
CAIR49
16 Oct 2011
GOLD82
CAIR91
19 Jan 2011
GOLD90
CAIR85
29 Oct 2010
GOLD92
CAIR81
04 Dec 2009
GOLD69
CAIR68
23 Oct 2009
GOLD80
CAIR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gold Coast winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gold CoastAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A26/11
NBL
Cairns
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A02/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
85-106
85
106
-21
A08/12
NBL
Perth
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H23/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A07/01
NBL
Perth
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
24-21
16-17
28-22
23-21
17-21
18-18
20-27
31-25
19-33
21-24
14-24
18-25
15-27
25-15
19-7
24-27
28-14
31-17
13-19
31-23
21-20
6-12
14-24
27-24
28-33
20-21
21-24
22-21
14-25
21-22
23-24
18-15
23-18
15-14
17-13
26-15
24-17
16-24
26-22
168.1Avg total
84.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.083.3168.3+1.750%
Season at home (8)87.583.5171.0+4.062%
Season away (8)82.583.1165.6-0.638%
Last 10 (10)84.483.7168.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)82.682.2164.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.392.7183.0-2.457%
vs Similar (14)84.886.1170.9-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.279.3164.6+5.956%
This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CairnsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast
#3
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H02/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A04/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A16/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A23/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H31/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A07/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H20/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A22/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
21-17
18-18
27-20
17-22
12-17
18-13
17-17
13-14
21-19
19-18
14-16
16-21
17-26
11-9
21-29
19-19
17-24
17-15
12-9
22-14
19-19
16-8
17-16
18-16
16-21
15-13
23-17
14-12
7-21
25-8
15-18
19-24
20-18
9-20
26-18
12-24
27-11
18-18
30-22
144.2Avg total
72.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.573.9147.4-0.456%
Season at home (8)75.473.1148.5+2.262%
Season away (10)72.074.6146.6-2.650%
Last 10 (10)72.871.4144.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)73.667.6141.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.477.5153.9-1.162%
vs Similar (20)72.873.2146.0-0.555%
vs Weaker (2)77.066.5143.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
Gold CoastCairns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A26/11
NBL
Cairns
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A08/12
NBL
Perth
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H23/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A07/01
NBL
Perth
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H21/01
NBL
90.7Avg total
46.0Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.743.188.9+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.342.890.1+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.243.587.7+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)46.044.790.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.149.995.0-4.743%-
vs Similar (14)44.942.187.0+2.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.439.687.0+7.978%-
This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H02/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H10/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A16/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H31/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A07/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H20/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/01
NBL
73.0Avg total
34.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.373.8-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.535.273.7+3.254%-
Last 30 away (17)33.340.673.9-7.418%-
Last 10 (10)34.838.273.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.070.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.239.175.4-2.925%-
vs Similar (20)35.437.973.2-2.535%-
vs Weaker (2)34.039.573.5-5.550%-
This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Gold Coast wins
5
Cairns wins
DateGameScore
02/12/11Cairns v Gold Coast87-78
16/10/11Gold Coast v Cairns82-91
19/01/11Gold Coast v Cairns90-85
07/01/11Cairns v Gold Coast86-82
13/11/10Cairns v Gold Coast96-76
29/10/10Gold Coast v Cairns92-81
09/01/10Cairns v Gold Coast66-79
04/12/09Gold Coast v Cairns69-68
23/10/09Gold Coast v Cairns80-63
07/10/09Cairns v Gold Coast83-66
Gold Coastlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/12HMelbourne United92-78
15/01/12AMelbourne United73-60
13/01/12APerth80-92
07/01/12ASydney96-102
31/12/11HMelbourne United72-79
23/12/11HAdelaide96-77
17/12/11HPerth77-74
08/12/11ANew Zealand Breakers85-106
02/12/11ACairns78-87
26/11/11AAdelaide95-82
Cairnslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/12AAdelaide87-75
20/01/12HIllawarra Hawks74-80
13/01/12AIllawarra Hawks61-59
07/01/12AAdelaide72-67
31/12/11HNew Zealand Breakers74-57
23/12/11AMelbourne United65-67
16/12/11ANew Zealand Breakers65-85
10/12/11HMelbourne United79-77 OT
04/12/11ASydney64-69
02/12/11HGold Coast87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gold Coast
NBL 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game85.087.582.5
Allowed / game83.383.583.1
Point differential+1.7+4.0-0.6
Avg total168.3171.0165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns
NBL 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game73.575.472.0
Allowed / game73.973.174.6
Point differential-0.4+2.2-2.6
Avg total147.4148.5146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth1914574%87.677.8+9.8
2 New Zealand Breakers1914574%85.576.1+9.4
3 Townsville1710759%81.582.2-0.7
4 Cairns1810856%73.573.9-0.4
5 Gold Coast168850%85.083.3+1.7
6 Melbourne United2191243%79.481.8-2.4
7 Sydney2081240%83.989.5-5.7
8 Illawarra Hawks1851328%74.380.0-5.7
9 Adelaide1851328%83.789.6-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gold Coast2119231376
Cairns149141249
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