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AEK Athens vs Apollon Patras Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 83-68
21-12 16-13 18-19 28-24
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game63.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game87.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · AEK Athens v Apollon Patras
21 Oct 2023
AAT100
APA70
15 Oct 2022
AAT83
APA68
06 Mar 2022
AAT77
APA75
21 Jan 2017
AAT88
APA69
16 Nov 2014
AAT67
APA64
04 Feb 2012
AAT66
APA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon Patras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#10
W
90-75
90
75
+15
85avg 70
H10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
89-85
89
85
+4
81avg 70
A17/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 70
H20/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 70
H07/05
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
72-96
72
96
-24
56avg 70
A14/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 70
H23/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
no box
A25/05
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A04/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 70
H09/10
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
84-73
84
73
+11
84avg 70
A12/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
21-14
18-17
24-23
22-15
15-25
25-22
27-23
17-20
18-13
21-23
24-18
20-17
22-12
17-26
19-17
12-22
24-27
19-25
17-22
22-25
20-19
16-25
24-26
15-20
14-19
19-18
17-8
21-15
21-27
23-27
23-22
23-11
26-16
15-23
15-13
18-19
33-17
16-12
17-25
161.8Avg total
81.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.063.0142.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)79.063.0142.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.780.1161.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)81.679.8161.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.881.9155.7-8.127%
vs Similar (16)80.682.9163.5-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)81.568.0149.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPatras
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
60-80
60
80
-20
44avg 61
A20/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
no box
H26/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
72-62
72
62
+10
73avg 61
H30/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 61
H09/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A16/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 61
A01/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 61
A07/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
58avg 61
H11/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
70avg 61
H14/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
no box
H10/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
15-21
7-15
20-19
15-22
12-11
22-20
18-14
25-12
16-11
23-22
8-17
15-18
24-22
20-25
15-7
22-23
16-22
18-19
20-17
19-18
19-22
20-21
16-22
22-27
14-17
8-26
24-8
16-19
20-29
16-25
16-21
10-9
19-20
24-17
21-27
18-26
15-24
9-25
19-12
152.1Avg total
71.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.087.0148.0-26.00%
Season at home (1)61.087.0148.0-26.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.680.5152.1-8.930%
Last 5 (5)69.083.0152.0-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.382.0149.3-14.715%
vs Similar (13)77.276.7153.9+0.554%
vs Weaker (3)69.369.7139.0-0.367%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
AEK AthensApollon Patras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/05
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/05
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H09/10
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A12/10
Champions League
78.5Avg total
41.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.879.3+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.778.9-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.478.5+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.680.2+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.540.675.1-6.218%-
vs Similar (16)40.939.880.7+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)50.031.581.5+18.5100%-
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H26/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H30/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H09/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A01/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H11/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H10/10
Basket League
74.8Avg total
35.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.175.9-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.637.272.8-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.878.6-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.874.8-4.810%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.276.6-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.841.776.5-6.823%-
vs Similar (13)38.537.175.6+1.538%-
vs Weaker (3)33.736.069.7-2.30%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.6
51.2%
53.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
33.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
71.9%15.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollon Patrastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon Patras: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.8
50.0%
53.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.1
32.0%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.810.5
70.9%
71.9%10.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWLLLLWWWW
Apollon Patras
LWLLLLWWLL
#5
League position
#10
+0.4
Net rating
-12.0
109.8
Offensive rating
100.5
109.4
Defensive rating
112.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.1%
3-point %
32.0%
61.8%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 100.5Defence109.4 · 112.5Shooting52.5% · 49.1%3-point %36.1% · 32.0%Ball care17.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 25.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Apollon Patras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Athens wins
3
Apollon Patras wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/22AReggiana84-73
09/10/22HAS Karditsas79-63
04/10/22AKarsiyaka88-91
25/05/22APromitheas75-77 OT
23/05/22HPromitheas82-95
14/05/22APAOK72-96
07/05/22HPeristeri78-72
20/04/22HIraklis80-74
17/04/22APromitheas89-85
10/04/22HLavrio90-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/22HOlympiacos61-87
14/05/22HAris74-73
11/05/22HOlympiacos68-94
07/05/22APanathinaikos68-78
01/05/22ALarisa74-83
16/04/22APAOK76-81
09/04/22HPeristeri74-72
30/03/22HLavrio72-62
26/03/22HIraklis89-95 OT
20/03/22APromitheas60-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game63.063.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Apollon Patras
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game61.061.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-26.0-26.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos110100%87.061.0+26.0
2 AEK Athens110100%79.063.0+16.0
3 Promitheas110100%90.080.0+10.0
4 Peristeri110100%85.077.0+8.0
5 Ionikos110100%89.084.0+5.0
6 Aris110100%69.065.0+4.0
7 Panathinaikos1010%65.069.0-4.0
8 Kolossos Rhodes1010%84.089.0-5.0
9 PAOK1010%77.085.0-8.0
10 Lavrio1010%80.090.0-10.0
11 AS Karditsas1010%63.079.0-16.0
12 Apollon Patras1010%61.087.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2116182883
Apollon Patras1213192468
← all games of the day
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