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AEK Athens vs Apollon Patras Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 100-70
31-16 17-25 26-18 26-11
Position#9
Record0-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game74.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 3· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v Apollon Patras
21 Oct 2023
AAT100
APA70
15 Oct 2022
AAT83
APA68
06 Mar 2022
AAT77
APA75
21 Jan 2017
AAT88
APA69
16 Nov 2014
AAT67
APA64
04 Feb 2012
AAT66
APA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon Patras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
71avg 71
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
54avg 71
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 71
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
94-78
94
78
+16
91avg 71
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
51-91
51
91
-40
39avg 71
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
73-87
73
87
-14
61avg 71
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
no box
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 71
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 71
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 71
H17/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
21-17
16-12
17-26
6-26
18-10
21-13
10-15
19-22
16-16
18-29
25-18
20-21
27-16
23-21
24-20
7-18
15-25
14-16
15-32
20-27
21-24
22-13
10-23
27-18
14-36
27-21
19-12
26-28
13-24
25-24
29-22
12-16
21-20
21-23
17-20
24-25
20-18
17-18
23-18
162.2Avg total
77.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.088.5170.5-6.50%
Season at home (1)93.098.0191.0-5.00%
Season away (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)77.085.2162.2-8.220%
Last 5 (5)84.091.2175.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.984.3158.2-10.431%
vs Similar (12)77.876.5154.3+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.279.4161.6+2.860%
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPatras
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
66avg 61
A04/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
69avg 61
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 61
A04/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
93-66
93
66
+27
89avg 61
H11/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
68-88
68
88
-20
62avg 61
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
68-57
68
57
+11
no box
H25/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
77-108
77
108
-31
60avg 61
A02/04
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
58avg 61
H09/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 61
H09/10
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
70-77
70
77
-7
60avg 61
H14/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
13-22
15-23
16-11
20-20
17-17
12-24
25-21
15-13
16-21
21-26
16-14
17-13
18-18
31-16
27-19
15-24
25-16
17-26
11-22
23-14
14-17
18-15
13-11
24-29
9-29
23-28
21-22
13-25
21-20
22-27
9-16
26-21
14-21
18-16
14-13
13-23
22-20
15-20
20-14
151.0Avg total
72.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.074.0145.0-3.050%
Season at home (2)71.074.0145.0-3.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.478.6151.0-6.230%
Last 5 (5)70.480.2150.6-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.581.5150.1-13.018%
vs Similar (6)71.772.5144.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (2)84.072.5156.5+11.550%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
AEK AthensApollon Patras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/10
Champions League
79.5Avg total
36.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.978.8-3.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.541.280.7-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.777.2-4.219%-
Last 10 (10)36.543.079.5-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.647.286.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.242.478.5-6.215%-
vs Similar (12)39.140.479.5-1.325%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.638.478.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A04/02
Basket League
Aris
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H11/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H25/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A02/04
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H09/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H14/10
Basket League
76.2Avg total
36.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.140.375.4-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.938.574.4-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)34.242.476.6-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)36.040.276.2-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.879.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.541.575.9-7.018%-
vs Similar (6)35.336.371.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker (2)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.2
50.8%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.4
31.8%
33.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.915.0
75.4%
71.5%15.0
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollon Patrastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon Patras: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.4
52.6%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.3
29.3%
33.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.212.1
66.5%
71.5%12.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLLLLWLLL
Apollon Patras
LWLLWLWLLL
#9
League position
#17
-11.3
Net rating
-7.7
101.9
Offensive rating
99.2
113.2
Defensive rating
107.0
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.8%
3-point %
29.3%
76.2%
Assist %
71.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 99.2Defence113.2 · 107.0Shooting49.6% · 48.6%3-point %31.8% · 29.3%Ball care17.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds25.3% · 25.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Apollon Patras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Athens wins
3
Apollon Patras wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HLudwigsburg84-79
15/10/23AOlympiacos71-79
07/10/23HLavrio93-98
27/04/23HPeristeri99-113 OT
23/04/23APeristeri73-87
19/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem51-91
12/04/23HHapoel Jerusalem94-78
09/04/23HOlympiacos78-85
04/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem55-64
01/04/23APAOK72-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HAris70-77
09/10/23HAS Karditsas72-71
09/04/23HPAOK65-88
02/04/23APanathinaikos77-108
25/03/23HPromitheas68-57
19/03/23AKolossos Rhodes68-88
11/03/23HIonikos93-66
04/03/23ALavrio68-74
12/02/23HAris74-82
04/02/23APeristeri69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.093.071.0
Allowed / game88.598.079.0
Point differential-6.5-5.0-8.0
Avg total170.5191.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apollon Patras
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total145.0145.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Promitheas220100%91.077.5+13.5
3 Olympiacos220100%80.071.5+8.5
4 Panathinaikos220100%74.067.5+6.5
5 Lavrio220100%88.584.5+4.0
6 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
7 PAOK32167%76.378.0-1.7
8 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
9 Kolossos Rhodes21150%90.086.0+4.0
10 Aris21150%74.575.5-1.0
11 Apollon Patras21150%71.074.0-3.0
12 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
13 Peristeri3030%73.779.7-6.0
14 AEK Athens2020%82.088.5-6.5
15 AS Karditsas2020%73.079.5-6.5
16 Maroussi2020%73.081.0-8.0
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens31172626100
Apollon Patras1625181170
← all games of the day
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