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AEK Athens vs Bamberg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 69-67
20-17 16-15 18-17 15-18
Position#3
Record13-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#12
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals
European cup2018
Meetings · AEK Athens v Bamberg
03 Apr 2019
AAT69
BAM67
24 Oct 2018
AAT93
BAM86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bamberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#3
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A15/02
Intercontinental Cup
Flamengo
#2
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H17/02
Intercontinental Cup
Promitheas
#5
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H02/03
Basket League
PAOK
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A05/03
Champions League
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A09/03
Basket League
PAOK
#14
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H13/03
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H16/03
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A23/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A27/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H30/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
27-13
23-28
18-10
20-19
22-14
21-22
23-15
21-18
21-10
19-25
22-9
30-11
15-25
20-10
19-29
24-18
17-23
22-17
18-12
18-14
14-13
13-20
17-16
17-24
31-13
21-24
27-31
22-21
17-17
24-16
24-20
10-11
20-17
20-21
17-22
21-14
22-23
17-18
21-18
152.7Avg total
81.3Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.273.1152.3+6.176%
Season at home (8)76.270.8147.0+5.575%
Season away (9)81.875.2157.0+6.678%
Last 10 (10)81.371.4152.7+9.980%
Last 5 (5)78.674.6153.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.094.0173.0-15.033%
vs Similar (5)75.468.0143.4+7.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.071.2153.3+10.886%
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BambergLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#11
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H17/02
German Cup
Giessen
#13
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A02/03
BBL
Banvit
#15
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H06/03
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
103-94
103
94
+9
H10/03
BBL
Banvit
#15
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A13/03
Champions League
Bremerhaven
#17
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H18/03
BBL
Vechta
#4
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
A21/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#3
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H27/03
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H31/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
12-19
23-20
18-15
20-16
24-21
19-17
20-28
29-26
18-25
29-19
21-20
23-18
22-28
19-20
17-13
26-28
27-20
29-17
21-29
23-23
23-17
21-20
21-25
28-16
28-18
24-18
20-22
28-21
21-20
18-16
17-27
11-10
17-20
21-20
22-17
20-9
13-24
17-17
16-19
167.2Avg total
86.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.980.4162.3+1.571%
Season at home (9)79.776.2155.9+3.478%
Season away (8)84.485.1169.5-0.862%
Last 10 (10)86.480.8167.2+5.690%
Last 5 (5)85.278.0163.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.179.6158.7-0.467%
vs Similar (7)89.990.4180.3-0.671%
vs Weaker (14)87.476.6164.1+10.893%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
AEK AthensBamberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#3
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A15/02
Intercontinental Cup
Flamengo
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H17/02
Intercontinental Cup
Promitheas
#5
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H02/03
Basket League
PAOK
#14
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/03
Champions League
Holargos B.C.
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/03
Basket League
PAOK
#14
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H13/03
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H16/03
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A23/03
Basket League
Bamberg
#12
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A27/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/03
Basket League
73.8Avg total
40.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.635.975.5+3.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.133.873.9+6.387%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.077.1+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)40.733.173.8+7.690%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.471.8+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.350.792.0-9.333%-
vs Similar (5)38.632.270.8+6.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.634.774.3+4.977%-
This opponent (Bamberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BambergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H13/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H17/02
German Cup
Giessen
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A02/03
BBL
Banvit
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/03
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H10/03
BBL
Banvit
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A13/03
Champions League
Bremerhaven
#17
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H18/03
BBL
Vechta
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A21/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#3
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H27/03
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H31/03
BBL
83.2Avg total
43.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.083.0+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.140.681.8+0.535%-
Last 30 away (13)43.241.484.6+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.883.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.435.678.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.039.877.8-1.822%-
vs Similar (7)42.045.687.6-3.643%-
vs Weaker (14)44.639.484.1+5.264%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Bambergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bamberg: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.3
55.5%
52.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.9
39.3%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.517.0
79.1%
73.8%17.0
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
2
Bamberg wins
DateGameScore
27/03/19Bamberg v AEK Athens71-67
08/01/19Bamberg v AEK Athens77-73
24/10/18AEK Athens v Bamberg93-86
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/19HAris81-73
27/03/19ABamberg67-71
23/03/19AIfaistos Limnou87-74
16/03/19HG.S. Kymis96-92
13/03/19HPAOK62-63
09/03/19AHolargos B.C.81-70
05/03/19APAOK84-75
02/03/19HPromitheas83-62
17/02/19HFlamengo86-70
15/02/19ASan Lorenzo86-64
Bamberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19HAlba Berlin66-69
27/03/19HAEK Athens71-67
21/03/19AVechta101-95 OT
18/03/19HBremerhaven100-74
13/03/19ABanvit88-85
10/03/19HUlm103-94
06/03/19HBanvit81-79
02/03/19AGiessen97-90
17/02/19HAlba Berlin83-82
13/02/19HFrankfurt74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL76%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%75%78%
Points / game79.276.281.8
Allowed / game73.170.875.2
Point differential+6.1+5.5+6.6
Avg total152.3147.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bamberg
Champions League 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game81.979.784.4
Allowed / game80.476.285.1
Point differential+1.5+3.4-0.8
Avg total162.3155.9169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)71% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel M. Jerusalem1715288%88.876.7+12.1
2 Murcia1815383%76.368.9+7.4
3 Tenerife1713476%80.867.4+13.4
4 AEK Athens1713476%79.273.1+6.1
5 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
6 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
7 Bamberg1712571%81.980.4+1.5
8 Venezia1611569%82.978.6+4.3
9 Nanterre1913668%81.871.2+10.6
10 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
11 Virtus Bologna1711665%84.377.3+7.0
12 Antwerp Giants2113862%80.976.7+4.1
13 Strasbourg148657%77.977.5+0.4
14 Nizhny Novgorod23131057%79.474.2+5.2
15 PAOK169756%79.173.9+5.2
16 Banvit169756%82.177.6+4.4
17 Besiktas169756%75.574.6+0.9
18 Promitheas169756%79.380.4-1.1
19 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
20 Hapoel Holon147750%81.879.8+2.0
21 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
22 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
23 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
24 Neptunas168850%81.581.2+0.2
25 Avellino147750%82.984.1-1.2
26 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
27 Oostende147750%76.579.9-3.4
28 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
29 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
30 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
31 Le Mans167944%74.376.3-2.0
32 Ventspils146843%81.684.1-2.6
33 Bonn146843%80.084.4-4.4
34 Fribourg Olympic2081240%76.981.5-4.6
35 Bayreuth1661038%77.777.4+0.3
36 Lietkabelis145936%76.679.1-2.4
37 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
38 Dijon1441029%75.679.9-4.3
39 Anwil Wloclawek1441029%78.883.1-4.4
40 Nymburk1441029%78.484.5-6.1
41 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
42 Fuenlabrada1431121%77.386.4-9.1
43 Ludwigsburg1431121%73.983.1-9.1
44 Opava1421214%68.092.1-24.1
45 Petrol Olimpija141137%74.982.6-7.6
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 55 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2016181569
Bamberg1715171867
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